Cleveland Browns

NFL Player Props

The Browns O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board. The New Orleans Saints pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (81.7%) vs. RBs this year (81.7%).

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 137.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Alvin Kamara is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 100th percentile among RBs with 9.0 targets. Alvin Kamara's 36.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 28.9. With a fantastic 5.0 adjusted receptions per game (100th percentile) this year, Alvin Kamara rates among the leading pass-game RBs in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see 137.4 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 62.1 per game on average). Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 6th-most in the league. Cedric Tillman's pass-catching performance gotten better this season, accumulating 3.5 adjusted catches vs a measly 2.0 last season.

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see 137.4 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 62.1 per game on average). Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 6th-most in the league. David Njoku profiles as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 5.0 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.