Detroit Lions

1st in NFC North (9 - 1 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 24 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Made Props • Detroit

A. St. Brown
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
7.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7
Best Odds
Under
-167
Prop
7.5 Receptions Made
Projection
7
Best Odds
Under
-167
Projection Rating

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Lions, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points. The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.9 plays per game. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Prop: 7.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7
Prop:
7.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Lions, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points. The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.9 plays per game. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

All Matchup props

Josh Downs Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

J. Downs
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

This game's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Colts, who are heavy -7.5-point underdogs. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year. Josh Downs's pass-catching performance improved this season, notching 5.6 adjusted catches vs a measly 4.0 last season.

Josh Downs

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

This game's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Colts, who are heavy -7.5-point underdogs. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year. Josh Downs's pass-catching performance improved this season, notching 5.6 adjusted catches vs a measly 4.0 last season.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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