Green Bay Packers
Picks

2nd in NFC North (8 - 3 - 1)

Next Game

at

Sun, Dec 7 16:25 ET

CHI @ GB Picks

Receptions Made

Christian Watson u3.5 Receptions Made (+100)

Projection 3.09 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 6.5 points.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. The projections expect the Packers offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.00 seconds per play.

+100 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

Caleb Williams o192.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 198.67 (Over)

Best Odds

o192.5 -110

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o193.5 -114

o192.5 -110

o193.5 -114

o192.5 -115

o193.5 -114

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.. At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.

Receiving Yards

Rome Odunze o38.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Projection 54.65 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.. At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.

-111 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Josh Jacobs o12.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 18.66 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

In this contest, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the model to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.3 targets.. Josh Jacobs has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 11.3% this year, which places him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Josh Jacobs rates as one of the leading pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an outstanding 20.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.. When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Chicago's LB corps has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

Receiving Yards

Luke Musgrave o11.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 15.57 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This year, the poor Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded a massive 86.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in football.. The Bears pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus TEs this year, giving up 8.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in football.. When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Chicago's LB corps has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

Receiving Yards

Christian Watson u53.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 48.19 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 6.5 points.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. The projections expect the Packers offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.00 seconds per play.. Christian Watson's 9.9 adjusted yards per target this year shows a material drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 10.9 mark.. Christian Watson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a remarkable drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.1% figure.

Receiving Yards

Colston Loveland u33.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 30.93 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This year, the formidable Packers defense has given up a measly 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 5th-fewest in football.. The Packers pass defense has shown good efficiency versus TEs this year, conceding 5.90 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in football.. The Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

-115 at DraftKings

Rushing Yards

Caleb Williams o19.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 23.11 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 11 hours ago

EV Model Rating

At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.

Rushing Yards

D'Andre Swift u48.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 45.41 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.. While D'Andre Swift has accounted for 49.5% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Chicago's run game this week at 39.2%.. With an atrocious tally of 2.77 yards after contact (21st percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift places among the easiest-to-tackle RBs in the league.. This year, the porous Green Bay Packers run defense has yielded a massive 3.80 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 30th-highest rate in the league.. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Green Bay's safety corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

-114 at FanDuel

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Spread

62% picking Chicago

62% 62%

38% 38%

Total Picks CHI 341, GB 212

Spread

CHI

GB

Spread

Top User Picks

More Picks

Spread

'jenjay23' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

jenjay23 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (11-1-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread

CHI

GB

Spread

Total

'jenjay23' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (45.5)

jenjay23 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (11-1-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Sandsaver727' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

Sandsaver727 is #3 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

Spread

CHI

GB

Spread

Total

'Sandsaver727' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Under (46.5)

Sandsaver727 is #3 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'Jhusagic' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (44.5)

Jhusagic is #5 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Jhusagic' is picking Green Bay to cover (-6.5)

Jhusagic is #5 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread

CHI

GB

Spread

Spread

'adamort22' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

adamort22 is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (9-2-1) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread

CHI

GB

Spread

Total

'adamort22' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Under (45.5)

adamort22 is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (9-2-1) and +4700 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'CJONES1068' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Under (46.5)

CJONES1068 is #7 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'CJONES1068' is picking Green Bay to cover (-6.5)

CJONES1068 is #7 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Spread

CHI

GB

Spread

Total

'Roundrobinking' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (45.5)

Roundrobinking is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Roundrobinking' is picking Chicago to cover (+5.5)

Roundrobinking is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread

CHI

GB

Spread

Total

'dberry963' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (44.5)

dberry963 is #8 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'dberry963' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

dberry963 is #8 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Spread

CHI

GB

Spread

Pages Related to This Topic

Top Green Bay Pick Leaders Season 2025-2026

Rank	Leader	L10	Units

News & Analysis

More News

NFL TD Props: The Best Touchdown Scorer Bets for Week 14

Dak Prescott Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Cowboys vs Lions Props & Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials

Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming

US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps

Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools

The Covers community has

810,221

lifetime members worldwide

Join our community today

Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.

Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo

Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.