Green Bay Packers

1st in NFC North (5 - 2 - 1)

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Mon, Nov 10 20:15 ET

PHI @ GB Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Jalen Hurts logo Jalen Hurts Score a Touchdown (Yes: +135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Shoutout to Covers’ Jason Logan for putting this TD angle on my radar for Monday night. Saquon Barkley is dealing with a groin injury, and the Tush Push might be the best way to close out Week 10. Back on May 21 at the league’s spring meetings, Packers CEO Mark Murphy called the Tush Push “bad for the game” and said it “involves no skill.” The proposal to ban it actually came from Green Bay. Jalen Hurts might take that personally — and could find the end zone multiple times Monday night.

Score a Touchdown
Jalen Hurts logo Jalen Hurts Score a Touchdown (Yes: +140)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

This one is personal for the Philadelphia Eagles. In the offseason, the Packers lobbied to have the “Tush Push” banned and brought a vote to the league, which was ultimately shot down. So, naturally, if there’s a shot the Eagles can use the “Brotherly Shove” to score a touchdown in Week 10’s matchup with Green Bay, you know they’re going to take it. Jalen Hurts hasn’t rushed for a touchdown in two games, which is a notable drought for the Eagles QB – often powered by the “Tush Push”. In fact, Hurts hasn’t gone three straight games without a rushing TD since the end of the 2023 season (in which he sat most of Week 18 and didn’t score in the Wild Card). This offensive line is fresh and ready to serve some sour grapes to Green Bay on MNF. FYI: Two TDs is paying +1000. Just sayin'.

MoneyLine
Philadelphia Eagles logo PHI (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Eagles have had two weeks to tighten the bolts for a strong start to the second half of the season. Philadelphia was on a bye in Week 9, watching the Packers put up a dud against Carolina. Vic Fangio will have something special schemed for Jordan Love, who struggles under pressure – specifically with a dominant front four rush. That’s Philly’s strength. Love will also be without TE Tucker Kraft for Week 10 and rookie WR Matthew Golden left Week 9 with a shoulder injury. The Eagles offense has looked much stronger in recent weeks, boasting the highest EPA per play since Week 7. I’m passing on the points and taking the Eagles outright on the moneyline.

Score a Touchdown
Saquon Barkley logo
Saquon Barkley Score a Touchdown (Yes: +110)
Projection 0.66 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Green Bay Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.. With a sizeable 20.0% Red Zone Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.. Saquon Barkley's 20.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 94th percentile for RBs.. Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 85.2% to 89.5%.. With a fantastic rate of 0.25 per game through the air (93rd percentile), Saquon Barkley stands among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among running backs this year.
Receptions Made
Josh Jacobs logo
Josh Jacobs u2.5 Receptions Made (+132)
Projection 2.42 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are forecasted by the model to call just 60.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.. Josh Jacobs's 80.4% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a significant decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 88.4% rate.
Passing Completions
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love u20.5 Passing Completions (-110)
Projection 18.72 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are forecasted by the model to call just 60.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.. This year, the tough Eagles defense has surrendered a meager 66.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-best rate in the NFL.
Passing Attempts
Jalen Hurts logo
Jalen Hurts o26.5 Passing Attempts (-120)
Projection 29.33 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Green Bay Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.
Passing Yards
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love u235.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 212.87 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are forecasted by the model to call just 60.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.. Jordan Love's 206.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year marks a material diminishment in his throwing proficiency over last year's 234.0 figure.. This year, the tough Eagles defense has surrendered a meager 66.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-best rate in the NFL.
Passing Yards
Jalen Hurts logo
Jalen Hurts o194.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 209.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Green Bay Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.. With a stellar 69.8% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Jalen Hurts ranks as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in football.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest level in football against the Packers defense this year (73.1% Adjusted Completion%).
Receiving Yards
Dallas Goedert logo
Dallas Goedert o31.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 42.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Green Bay Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.. In this week's game, Dallas Goedert is projected by the predictive model to place in the 91st percentile among TEs with 6.4 targets.. Dallas Goedert has been a key part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 20.8% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.. In regards to air yards, Dallas Goedert ranks in the towering 96th percentile among tight ends this year, totaling a colossal 42.0 per game.. With an impressive 45.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (93rd percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert has been among the leading TEs in the pass game in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Saquon Barkley logo
Saquon Barkley o13.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 20.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Green Bay Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.. In this game, Saquon Barkley is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 87th percentile among RBs with 3.8 targets.. With a remarkable 13.6% Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.. With a remarkable 19.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (91st percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places among the leading running backs in the pass game in the league.. Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 85.2% to 89.5%.
Receiving Yards
A.J. Brown logo
A.J. Brown o58.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 64.11 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Green Bay Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.. The model projects A.J. Brown to notch 8.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
Receiving Yards
Luke Musgrave logo
Luke Musgrave u31.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 29.07 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are forecasted by the model to call just 60.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.. The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.4%) to tight ends this year (67.4%).. This year, the tough Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a measly 5.8 yards.
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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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62% picking Philadelphia

62%
38%

Total Picks PHI 510, GB 314

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66% picking Philadelphia vs Green Bay to go Over

66%
34%

Total PicksPHI 333, GB 168

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Over
Under

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Sandsaver727' is picking Philadelphia to cover (+3.0)

Sandsaver727 is #1 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'Sandsaver727' picks Philadelphia vs Green Bay to go Under (45.0)

Sandsaver727 is #1 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'n1stunnor' picks Philadelphia vs Green Bay to go Over (46.0)

n1stunnor is #1 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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'n1stunnor' is picking Philadelphia to cover (+2.0)

n1stunnor is #1 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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GB
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'fttrdoyle' is picking Green Bay to cover (-2.5)

fttrdoyle is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'fttrdoyle' picks Philadelphia vs Green Bay to go Over (44.5)

fttrdoyle is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'Jhusagic' is picking Philadelphia to cover (+3.0)

Jhusagic is #2 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'Jhusagic' picks Philadelphia vs Green Bay to go Over (45.0)

Jhusagic is #2 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'OXPrez24' picks Philadelphia vs Green Bay to go Over (44.5)

OXPrez24 is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'OXPrez24' is picking Philadelphia to cover (+2.5)

OXPrez24 is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'blueminer000' is picking Green Bay to cover (-2.5)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'blueminer000' picks Philadelphia vs Green Bay to go Over (45.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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Under
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