Green Bay Packers

NFL Player Props

With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Packers to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The Green Bay Packers have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.3 plays per game. This year, the daunting Saints defense has yielded a puny 62.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL.

With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Packers to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The Green Bay Packers have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.3 plays per game. Josh Jacobs's 13.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 20.5. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the league.

With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Packers to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The Green Bay Packers have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.3 plays per game. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the league.