Green Bay Packers

3rd in NFC North (4 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Oct 25 16:25 ET

GB @ DET Picks

NFL Picks
Anytime Touchdown
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo Amon-Ra St. Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: -127)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Amon-Ra St. Brown is trading at 55% on Kalshi to score a touchdown, and I'm backing the Detroit Lions wide receiver at that price, as I put his chances closer to 59% to find the end zone against the Green Bay Packers. St. Brown hasn't scored in either of his last two games, but his volume hasn't dropped off, as he's seen 11 targets in each contest. After scoring five touchdowns over the first three weeks, I expect St. Brown to add a sixth to his resume coming out of the bye week in an indoor game.

Anytime Touchdown
Matthew Golden logo Matthew Golden Score a Touchdown (Yes: +163)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This is a 53.5-point indoor total, and Matthew Golden is 2.63x as a potential No. 1 passing option who should have a fair price closer to 2.4x. Golden had 13 targets and 204 air yards last week and could have scored multiple TDs in what ended up being a one-TD effort. His 26% target share is three points higher than Christian Watson's, yet Watson is priced 30 points shorter to score. Golden has TDs in three of his last four games, along with a hefty seven red-zone targets over the last three weeks, tied for the most of any player in that span. Detroit has been one of the most generous teams to opposing WRs this year, allowing 179 yards per game (fourth most) and 1.08 TDs per game (fifth most). The Lions have also been awful in the red zone, allowing TDs on 81% of opponents' trips, the second-highest rate in football, while surrendering 29.6 points per game.

Passing Yards
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff o275.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 325.15 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Jared Goff to throw 40.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.. Jared Goff's 295.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a remarkable gain in his throwing talent over last season's 239.0 rate.
Passing Yards
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love o281.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 312.27 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.
Rushing Yards
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff o0.5 Rushing Yards (-132)
Projection 5.97 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A running game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).
Receiving Yards
Josh Jacobs logo
Josh Jacobs o8.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 16.31 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.
Receiving Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Amon-Ra St. Brown o79.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 96.24 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 11.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. This year, the deficient Packers pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Sam LaPorta logo
Sam LaPorta o49.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 57.32 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. Sam LaPorta has run a route on 84.0% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. In this week's contest, Sam LaPorta is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 93rd percentile among TEs with 6.9 targets.
Receiving Yards
Matthew Golden logo
Matthew Golden o72.5 Receiving Yards (-117)
Projection 82.69 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.
Receiving Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Jahmyr Gibbs o37.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 43.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 50.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a meaningful growth in his receiving talent over last year's 33.0 mark.. The Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (38.0) to running backs this year.
Receiving Yards
Tucker Kraft logo
Tucker Kraft o49.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 54.46 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.
Passing Attempts
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love o37.5 Passing Attempts (-102)
Projection 43.13 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

68% picking Detroit

32%
68%

Total Picks GB 242, DET 510

Spread
GB
DET
Total

78% picking Green Bay vs Detroit to go Over

78%
22%

Total PicksGB 405, DET 114

Total
Over
Under

GB @ DET · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
DET -3.5 spread
-3.70 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
DET -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-3.70 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.84% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +100
BetRivers logo
TOTAL
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail Detroit Lions image thumbnail
Over 53.5 Total
57.40 OVER PROJECTION
+3.9 DIFFERENCE
18.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail Detroit Lions image thumbnail
Over 53.5 Total

PROJECTION

57.40 OVER PROJECTION
+3.9 DIFFERENCE
18.44% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o53.5 -108
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o275.5 Passing Yards
325.15 OVER PROJECTION
+49.7 DIFFERENCE
26.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o275.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

325.15 OVER PROJECTION
+49.7 DIFFERENCE
26.46% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Jared Goff to throw 40.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.. Jared Goff's 295.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a remarkable gain in his throwing talent over last season's 239.0 rate.

o274.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o281.5 Passing Yards
312.27 OVER PROJECTION
+30.8 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o281.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

312.27 OVER PROJECTION
+30.8 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o274.5 -130
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
5.97 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
27.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

5.97 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
27.01% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).

o0.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o47.5 Rushing Yards
50.39 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
13.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o47.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

50.39 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
13.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Josh Jacobs has been given 58.7% of his offense's carries last year, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.. Josh Jacobs has generated 58.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the largest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (91st percentile).. The Lions defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 4.88 adjusted yards-per-carry.

o47.5 -120
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o90.5 Rushing Yards
93.50 OVER PROJECTION
+3.0 DIFFERENCE
9.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o90.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

93.50 OVER PROJECTION
+3.0 DIFFERENCE
9.1% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 100th percentile among RBs with 21.6 carries.. Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (109.0) this season than he did last season (66.0).

o90.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o8.5 Receiving Yards
16.31 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
26.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o8.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

16.31 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
26.02% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o8.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o79.5 Receiving Yards
96.24 OVER PROJECTION
+16.7 DIFFERENCE
25.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o79.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

96.24 OVER PROJECTION
+16.7 DIFFERENCE
25.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 11.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. This year, the deficient Packers pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.

o75.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards
57.32 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
24.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

57.32 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
24.23% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. Sam LaPorta has run a route on 84.0% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. In this week's contest, Sam LaPorta is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 93rd percentile among TEs with 6.9 targets.

o49.5 -111
Caesars Odds logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o72.5 Receiving Yards
82.69 OVER PROJECTION
+10.2 DIFFERENCE
23.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o72.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

82.69 OVER PROJECTION
+10.2 DIFFERENCE
23.59% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o70.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o37.5 Receiving Yards
43.26 OVER PROJECTION
+5.8 DIFFERENCE
23.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o37.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

43.26 OVER PROJECTION
+5.8 DIFFERENCE
23.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 50.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a meaningful growth in his receiving talent over last year's 33.0 mark.. The Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (38.0) to running backs this year.

o37.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards
54.46 OVER PROJECTION
+5.0 DIFFERENCE
19.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

54.46 OVER PROJECTION
+5.0 DIFFERENCE
19.98% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o49.5 -113
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.78% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o4.5 -155
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.07 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.07 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.2% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o4.5 +100
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.96 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.96 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.23% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.. Josh Jacobs checks in as one of the best pass-catching RBs last year, averaging an impressive 2.3 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 87th percentile.

o1.5 -117
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o7.5 Receptions Made
7.64 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o7.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.64 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 11.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. This year, the deficient Packers pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.

o7.5 +110
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o37.5 Passing Attempts
43.13 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
23.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o37.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

43.13 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
23.88% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o36.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts
38.68 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
17.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

38.68 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
17.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Jared Goff to throw 40.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

o34.5 -170
theScore Bet logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions
28.12 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
21.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

28.12 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
21.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Jared Goff to throw 40.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.. With a fantastic 67.3% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Jared Goff ranks among the most accurate QBs in football.

o23.5 -125
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions
24.90 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
16.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

24.90 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
16.56% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o22.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.2 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Jared Goff to throw 40.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.. When it comes to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

+1550
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.55 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.55 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.18% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

+155
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.76 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.76 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.81% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.2 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 40.0% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. After totaling 85.0 air yards per game last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has shown good development this year, now averaging 93.0 per game.

-120
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) Anytime Touchdown
1.13 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

1.13 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.2 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. As it relates to air yards, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the towering 96th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a whopping 10.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).. Jahmyr Gibbs rates in the 99th percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 29.8 figure this year.

-300
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.88% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

+185
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.53 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.53 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.33% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

-115
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.36 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.36 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.2 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. With an elite 22.5% Red Zone Target Share (92nd percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta ranks among the tight ends with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.. Sam LaPorta has accrued many more air yards this season (51.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).

+180
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.08 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-23.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.08 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-23.28% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

+800
DraftKings logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.22% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this game.. In totaling just 0.04 interceptions per game this year, Jared Goff places among the top QBs in football (91st percentile).. The Green Bay Packers have intercepted 1.24 throws per game this year, grading out as the best defense in football by this stat.. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in the league.

u0.5 -130
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-9.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-9.09% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o0.5 -132
BetRivers logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
DET -3.5 spread
-3.70 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
DET -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-3.70 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.84% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +100
BetRivers logo
TOTAL
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail Detroit Lions image thumbnail
Over 53.5 Total
57.40 OVER PROJECTION
+3.9 DIFFERENCE
18.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail Detroit Lions image thumbnail
Over 53.5 Total

PROJECTION

57.40 OVER PROJECTION
+3.9 DIFFERENCE
18.44% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o53.5 -108
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o275.5 Passing Yards
325.15 OVER PROJECTION
+49.7 DIFFERENCE
26.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o275.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

325.15 OVER PROJECTION
+49.7 DIFFERENCE
26.46% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Jared Goff to throw 40.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.. Jared Goff's 295.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a remarkable gain in his throwing talent over last season's 239.0 rate.

o274.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o281.5 Passing Yards
312.27 OVER PROJECTION
+30.8 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o281.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

312.27 OVER PROJECTION
+30.8 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o274.5 -130
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
5.97 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
27.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

5.97 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
27.01% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).

o0.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o47.5 Rushing Yards
50.39 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
13.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o47.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

50.39 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
13.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Josh Jacobs has been given 58.7% of his offense's carries last year, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.. Josh Jacobs has generated 58.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the largest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (91st percentile).. The Lions defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 4.88 adjusted yards-per-carry.

o47.5 -120
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o90.5 Rushing Yards
93.50 OVER PROJECTION
+3.0 DIFFERENCE
9.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o90.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

93.50 OVER PROJECTION
+3.0 DIFFERENCE
9.1% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 100th percentile among RBs with 21.6 carries.. Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (109.0) this season than he did last season (66.0).

o90.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o8.5 Receiving Yards
16.31 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
26.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o8.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

16.31 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
26.02% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o8.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o79.5 Receiving Yards
96.24 OVER PROJECTION
+16.7 DIFFERENCE
25.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o79.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

96.24 OVER PROJECTION
+16.7 DIFFERENCE
25.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 11.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. This year, the deficient Packers pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.

o75.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards
57.32 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
24.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

57.32 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
24.23% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. Sam LaPorta has run a route on 84.0% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. In this week's contest, Sam LaPorta is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 93rd percentile among TEs with 6.9 targets.

o49.5 -111
Caesars Odds logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o72.5 Receiving Yards
82.69 OVER PROJECTION
+10.2 DIFFERENCE
23.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o72.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

82.69 OVER PROJECTION
+10.2 DIFFERENCE
23.59% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o70.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o37.5 Receiving Yards
43.26 OVER PROJECTION
+5.8 DIFFERENCE
23.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o37.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

43.26 OVER PROJECTION
+5.8 DIFFERENCE
23.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 50.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a meaningful growth in his receiving talent over last year's 33.0 mark.. The Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (38.0) to running backs this year.

o37.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards
54.46 OVER PROJECTION
+5.0 DIFFERENCE
19.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

54.46 OVER PROJECTION
+5.0 DIFFERENCE
19.98% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o49.5 -113
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.78% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o4.5 -155
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.07 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.07 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.2% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o4.5 +100
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.96 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.96 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.23% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.. Josh Jacobs checks in as one of the best pass-catching RBs last year, averaging an impressive 2.3 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 87th percentile.

o1.5 -117
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o7.5 Receptions Made
7.64 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o7.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.64 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 11.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. This year, the deficient Packers pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.

o7.5 +110
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o37.5 Passing Attempts
43.13 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
23.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o37.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

43.13 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
23.88% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o36.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts
38.68 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
17.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

38.68 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
17.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Jared Goff to throw 40.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

o34.5 -170
theScore Bet logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions
28.12 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
21.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

28.12 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
21.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Jared Goff to throw 40.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.. With a fantastic 67.3% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Jared Goff ranks among the most accurate QBs in football.

o23.5 -125
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions
24.90 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
16.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

24.90 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
16.56% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o22.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.2 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Jared Goff to throw 40.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.. When it comes to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

+1550
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.55 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.55 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.18% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

+155
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.76 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.76 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.81% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.2 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 40.0% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. After totaling 85.0 air yards per game last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has shown good development this year, now averaging 93.0 per game.

-120
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) Anytime Touchdown
1.13 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

1.13 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.2 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. As it relates to air yards, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the towering 96th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a whopping 10.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).. Jahmyr Gibbs rates in the 99th percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 29.8 figure this year.

-300
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.88% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

+185
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.53 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Josh Jacobs logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Jacobs (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.53 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.33% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

-115
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.36 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.36 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 136.2 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. With an elite 22.5% Red Zone Target Share (92nd percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta ranks among the tight ends with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.. Sam LaPorta has accrued many more air yards this season (51.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).

+180
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.08 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-23.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.08 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-23.28% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

+800
DraftKings logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.22% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this game.. In totaling just 0.04 interceptions per game this year, Jared Goff places among the top QBs in football (91st percentile).. The Green Bay Packers have intercepted 1.24 throws per game this year, grading out as the best defense in football by this stat.. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in the league.

u0.5 -130
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-9.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-9.09% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in football.

o0.5 -132
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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'nextclique' picks Green Bay vs Detroit to go Over (50.5)

nextclique is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.

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'nextclique' is picking Green Bay to cover (+2.5)

nextclique is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.

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DET
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'Jemiliano' is picking Green Bay to cover (+2.5)

Jemiliano is #3 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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'Jemiliano' picks Green Bay vs Detroit to go Over (50.5)

Jemiliano is #3 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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'jo14014' is picking Green Bay to cover (+2.5)

jo14014 is #5 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +3450 units on the season.

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'rgut' is picking Green Bay to cover (+2.5)

rgut is #5 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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'rgut' picks Green Bay vs Detroit to go Under (50.5)

rgut is #5 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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'PlusOdds' picks Green Bay vs Detroit to go Over (50.5)

PlusOdds is #6 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.

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'bonny2bag' is picking Detroit to cover (-2.5)

bonny2bag is #7 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +3950 units on the season.

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'bonny2bag' picks Green Bay vs Detroit to go Over (50.5)

bonny2bag is #7 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +3950 units on the season.

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'JLayne' is picking Green Bay to cover (+2.5)

JLayne is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'JLayne' picks Green Bay vs Detroit to go Over (50.5)

JLayne is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'kenpitch' picks Green Bay vs Detroit to go Over (53.5)

kenpitch is #8 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +3950 units on the season.

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'kenpitch' is picking Green Bay to cover (+2.5)

kenpitch is #8 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +3950 units on the season.

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