Green Bay Packers

1st in NFC North (9 - 3 - 1)

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Sun, Dec 14 16:25 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Jacobs Receptions Made Props • Green Bay

Josh Jacobs
J. Jacobs
running back RB • Green Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.09
Best Odds
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.09
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Jacobs's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 88.4% to 82.6%. This year, the daunting Broncos defense has given up a measly 70.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the smallest rate in the NFL. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Denver's unit has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 10th-best in football.

Josh Jacobs logo

Josh Jacobs

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.09
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.09

Josh Jacobs's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 88.4% to 82.6%. This year, the daunting Broncos defense has given up a measly 70.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the smallest rate in the NFL. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Denver's unit has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 10th-best in football.

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Christian Watson Receptions Made Props • Green Bay

Christian Watson
C. Watson
wide receiver WR • Green Bay
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.44
Best Odds

The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.4%) to wideouts this year (62.4%). As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Denver's unit has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 10th-best in football.

Christian Watson logo

Christian Watson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.44
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.44

The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.4%) to wideouts this year (62.4%). As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Denver's unit has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 10th-best in football.

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Courtland Sutton Receptions Made Props • Denver

Courtland Sutton
C. Sutton
wide receiver WR • Denver
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.6
Best Odds

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 61.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.5 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. The predictive model expects Courtland Sutton to earn 7.8 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among WRs.

Courtland Sutton logo

Courtland Sutton

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.6

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 61.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.5 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. The predictive model expects Courtland Sutton to earn 7.8 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among WRs.

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Evan Engram Receptions Made Props • Denver

Evan Engram
E. Engram
tight end TE • Denver
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.64
Best Odds
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.64
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 61.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.5 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. The model projects Evan Engram to garner 5.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Evan Engram logo

Evan Engram

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.64
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.64

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 61.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.5 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. The model projects Evan Engram to garner 5.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs.

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RJ Harvey Receptions Made Props • Denver

RJ Harvey
R. Harvey
running back RB • Denver
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.51
Best Odds
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.51
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 61.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.5 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

RJ Harvey logo

RJ Harvey

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.51
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.51

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 61.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.5 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. The Broncos offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

All Matchup props

Luke Musgrave Receptions Made Props • Green Bay

Luke Musgrave
L. Musgrave
tight end TE • Green Bay
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.64
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.64
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 130.7 total plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.0 per game) this year.

Luke Musgrave logo

Luke Musgrave

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.64
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.64

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 130.7 total plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.0 per game) this year.

All Matchup props

Romeo Doubs Receptions Made Props • Green Bay

Romeo Doubs
R. Doubs
wide receiver WR • Green Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.46
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Romeo Doubs has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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