Los Angeles Chargers

2nd in AFC West (7 - 4 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 30 16:25 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ashton Jeanty Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas

Ashton Jeanty
A. Jeanty
running back RB • Las Vegas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.49
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.49
Best Odds
Projection Rating

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week. The Raiders have been the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.2% red zone pass rate. The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

Ashton Jeanty logo

Ashton Jeanty

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.49
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.49

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week. The Raiders have been the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.2% red zone pass rate. The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Oronde Gadsden Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Chargers

Oronde Gadsden
O. Gadsden
tight end TE • L.A. Chargers
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.43
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.43
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average). Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

Oronde Gadsden logo

Oronde Gadsden

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.43
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.43

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average). Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

All Matchup props

Tre Tucker Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas

Tre Tucker
T. Tucker
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.23
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.23
Best Odds
Projection Rating

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week. The Raiders have been the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.2% red zone pass rate. The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

Tre Tucker logo

Tre Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.23
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.23

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week. The Raiders have been the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.2% red zone pass rate. The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Ladd McConkey Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Chargers

Ladd McConkey
L. McConkey
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.32
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.32
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average). Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume. The Raiders pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.9%) to wideouts this year (68.9%). The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

Ladd McConkey logo

Ladd McConkey

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.32
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.32

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average). Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume. The Raiders pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.9%) to wideouts this year (68.9%). The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

All Matchup props

Brock Bowers Score a Touchdown Props • Las Vegas

Brock Bowers
B. Bowers
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.31
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.31
Best Odds
Projection Rating

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week. The Raiders have been the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.2% red zone pass rate. The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

Brock Bowers logo

Brock Bowers

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.31
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.31

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week. The Raiders have been the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.2% red zone pass rate. The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Justin Herbert Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Chargers

Justin Herbert
J. Herbert
quarterback QB • L.A. Chargers
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.13
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.13
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average). Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume. Justin Herbert has been among the top touchdown throwers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 1.73 per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

Justin Herbert logo

Justin Herbert

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.13
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.13

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average). Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume. Justin Herbert has been among the top touchdown throwers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 1.73 per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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