Los Angeles Rams
Picks

2nd in NFC West (7 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

at

Sun, Nov 16 16:05 ET

SEA @ LA Picks

Spread

LA -2.5 (-110)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

The Rams have shifted into cruise control and covered the number in each of their four consecutive wins. Los Angeles quarterback Matthew Stafford has also paced the league in adjusted EPA per play and success rate while throwing four 7.3 yards per attempt and a 67.7 completion percentage during the winning streak. He’s thrown 14 touchdowns without an interception, too. Obviously, Seattle QB Sam Darnold has also been a statistical darling, but I’m anticipating the Los Angeles defense to do just enough to keep him off balance Sunday. So, with this spread below the key number of 3, I’m happy to take the home team – especially with Stafford playing at an elite level.

MoneyLine

LA (-136)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

The Rams are rolling and can pull away from the NFC West pack with a win at home in Week 11. Los Angeles has to tame this Seattle defense, but has done a great job keeping QB Matt Stafford clean and Sean McVay’s play-action offense will keep the Seahawks guessing. As for the Seattle offense, this is a significant step up in opposition on both sides of the ball. Los Angeles’ zone-centric schemes will limit the Seahawks’ downfield looks and force Sam Darnold into a grinder of a game against a defense ranked among the best in third down defense and red-zone stands.

Score a Touchdown

Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown (Yes: +107)

Projection 0.7 (Yes)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Rams to pass on 62.6% of their downs: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.. With a 59.7% rate of throwing the ball near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league in these situations has been the Rams.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are expected by the predictive model to call 66.3 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (40.4 per game) this year.

+107 at Caesars

Score a Touchdown

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Score a Touchdown (Yes: +122)

Projection 0.6 (Yes)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may drop.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.. While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has received 14.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense near the end zone in this game at 28.9%.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accumulated many more air yards this year (118.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game).. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 94.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 57.6.

+130 at FanDuel

Passing Completions

Sam Darnold o20.5 Passing Completions (-102)

Projection 22.52 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may drop.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.. Sam Darnold's 71.1% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a remarkable boost in his passing accuracy over last year's 66.2% mark.

-102 at DraftKings

Passing Attempts

Sam Darnold o29.5 Passing Attempts (-108)

Projection 32.85 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may drop.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.

-108 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

Matthew Stafford o262.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Projection 288.88 (Over)

Best Odds

o261.5 -114

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o262.5 -112

o261.5 -114

o262.5 -115

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Rams to pass on 62.6% of their downs: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are expected by the predictive model to call 66.3 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (40.4 per game) this year.. With an outstanding record of 254.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Matthew Stafford rates as one of the leading passers in the league this year.

-114 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Sam Darnold o254.5 Passing Yards (-113)

Projection 267.81 (Over)

Best Odds

o252.5 -114

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o254.5 -113

o252.5 -114

o252.5 -115

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may drop.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.. Sam Darnold's 71.1% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a remarkable boost in his passing accuracy over last year's 66.2% mark.. Sam Darnold's pass-game effectiveness has been refined this season, totaling 9.22 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 7.98 rate last season.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Puka Nacua o87.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Projection 97.81 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Rams to pass on 62.6% of their downs: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are expected by the predictive model to call 66.3 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (40.4 per game) this year.. This week, Puka Nacua is forecasted by the projection model to find himself in the 99th percentile among wideouts with 11.3 targets.

-111 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Jaxon Smith-Njigba o101.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Projection 106.08 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o101.5 -111

o100.5 -114

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may drop.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.. In this week's contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 99th percentile among wide receivers with 12.1 targets.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 39.6% Target% this season indicates a substantial growth in his passing game utilization over last season's 24.3% rate.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accumulated many more air yards this year (118.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game).

-115 at Caesars

Rushing Yards

Matthew Stafford o0.5 Rushing Yards (+106)

Projection 2.97 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are expected by the predictive model to call 66.3 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.. While Matthew Stafford has accounted for 3.1% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Los Angeles's ground game in this contest at 8.3%.

+106 at FanDuel

Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker III o44.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Projection 58.56 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 5th-most run-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 42.4% run rate.. The leading projections forecast Kenneth Walker III to accrue 13.6 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.. Kenneth Walker III has averaged 55.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the league among running backs (82nd percentile).. Kenneth Walker III's ground effectiveness has been refined this season, accumulating 4.55 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.59 rate last season.

-110 at DraftKings

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Spread

66% picking L.A. Rams

34% 34%

66% 66%

Total Picks SEA 144, LA 285

Spread

SEA

LA

Spread

Total

61% picking Seattle vs L.A. Rams to go Over

61% 61%

39% 39%

Total PicksSEA 167, LA 109

Total

Over

Under

Total

Top User Picks

More Picks

Total

'NDBLAZERS' picks Seattle vs L.A. Rams to go Over (48.5)

NDBLAZERS is #10 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (6-2-1) and +5350 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'NDBLAZERS' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-3.0)

NDBLAZERS is #10 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (6-2-1) and +5350 units on the season.

Spread

SEA

LA

Spread

Total

'Rossi35' picks Seattle vs L.A. Rams to go Under (47.5)

Rossi35 is #2 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Rossi35' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-2.5)

Rossi35 is #2 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Spread

SEA

LA

Spread

Total

'nora99' picks Seattle vs L.A. Rams to go Over (48.5)

nora99 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (6-0-1) and +5450 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'Haroldjr33' picks Seattle vs L.A. Rams to go Under (48.5)

Haroldjr33 is #3 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'nora99' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-2.5)

nora99 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (6-0-1) and +5450 units on the season.

Spread

SEA

LA

Spread

Spread

'Haroldjr33' is picking Seattle to cover (+2.5)

Haroldjr33 is #3 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

Spread

SEA

LA

Spread

Spread

'chris789' is picking Seattle to cover (+2.5)

chris789 is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Spread

SEA

LA

Spread

Total

'chris789' picks Seattle vs L.A. Rams to go Under (48.5)

chris789 is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'SUNIN65' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-2.5)

SUNIN65 is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (5-3-1) and +4300 units on the season.

Spread

SEA

LA

Spread

Total

'SUNIN65' picks Seattle vs L.A. Rams to go Under (48.5)

SUNIN65 is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (5-3-1) and +4300 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'1003008gl' picks Seattle vs L.A. Rams to go Under (47.5)

1003008gl is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (5-3-1) and +4300 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'1003008gl' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-2.5)

1003008gl is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (5-3-1) and +4300 units on the season.

Spread

SEA

LA

Spread

Pages Related to This Topic

Top L.A. Rams Pick Leaders Season 2025-2026

Rank	Leader	L10	Units

News & Analysis

More News

New York Giants Next Head Coach Odds: McCarthy Leads Betting Market

NFL Survivor Picks & Best Bets for Week 11

NFL Week 11 Predictions & Picks – Underdog Best Bets Against the Spread

Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials

Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming

US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps

Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools

The Covers community has

618,670

lifetime members worldwide

Join our community today

Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.

Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo

Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.