Los Angeles Rams
Picks

3rd in NFC West (11 - 4 - 0)

Next Game

at

Mon, Dec 29 20:15 ET

LA @ ATL Picks

Score a Touchdown

Xavier Smith Score a Touchdown (Yes: +800)

Best Odds

Pick made: 20 hours ago

With Davante Adams likely sidelined again, Xavier Smith should see meaningful snaps as the No. 2 or No. 3 receiver. Smith brings true vertical speed with a sub-4.40 40-yard dash and has the ability to get behind defenses, which showed up last week on a 48-yard catch. He’s a classic boom-or-bust option, but the opportunity is there. Smith ran the third-most routes among the Rams wide receivers and only needs one or two connections to pay off at this number. Konata Mumpfield may draw more attention on Monday night, but at +600 or better, Smith offers the better risk-reward profile.

Spread

ATL +8.5 (-115)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 days ago

The Falcons aren’t going to the tournament but continue to battle with veteran QB Kirk Cousins under center. Atlanta has won back-to-back road games and Monday will be just its second homestand in the past six weeks.

Los Angeles is a much stiffer test defensively than the Falcons’ recent foes but this team has a bevy of offensive weapons, especially with the return of WR Drake London, and head coach Raheem Morris could be coaching for his job on MNF.

This spread opened Atlanta +7.5 and jumped to +8.5, which is an underrated key number in football betting. I like the fight in the Falcons enough to take the pile of points with the home side.

Score a Touchdown

Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown (Yes: -115)

Projection 0.76 (Yes)

Best Odds

Pick made: 11 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.2 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. With a high 9.3% Red Zone Target% (76th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams rates among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.. As it relates to air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 98th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a massive 7.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

-115 at DraftKings

Receptions Made

Drake London o5.5 Receptions Made (-108)

Projection 6.95 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 16 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -8-point underdog in this week's game.. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.. Drake London profiles as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 5.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.

-108 at FanDuel

Passing Completions

Kirk Cousins o21.5 Passing Completions (-105)

Projection 24.23 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -8-point underdog in this week's game.. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.

-132 at DraftKings

Passing Completions

Matthew Stafford o22.5 Passing Completions (-105)

Projection 24.81 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.2 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.0. . When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Atlanta's unit has been lousy this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.

-122 at FanDuel

Passing Attempts

Matthew Stafford o33.5 Passing Attempts (-110)

Projection 37.36 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.2 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.0.

-110 at DraftKings

Passing Attempts

Kirk Cousins o33.5 Passing Attempts (-117)

Projection 36.62 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -8-point underdog in this week's game.. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.

-104 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Kirk Cousins o220.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 274.8 (Over)

Best Odds

o220.5 -110

Pick made: 12 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o222.5 -111

o220.5 -110

o221.5 -114

o220.5 -115

o221.5 -115

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -8-point underdog in this week's game.. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.

Passing Yards

Matthew Stafford o274.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 307.46 (Over)

Best Odds

o267.5 -114

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o269.5 -114

o274.5 -110

o267.5 -114

o274.5 -115

o270.5 -114

The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.2 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.0. . With an outstanding tally of 254.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Matthew Stafford places as one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Drake London o63.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 93.96 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 16 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -8-point underdog in this week's game.. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Colby Parkinson o34.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 46.79 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.2 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. This week, Colby Parkinson is predicted by the model to place in the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 6.8 targets.. While Colby Parkinson has garnered 9.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Los Angeles's passing offense in this week's game at 18.0%.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

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65% picking L.A. Rams

65% 65%

35% 35%

Total Picks LA 327, ATL 176

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LA

ATL

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67% picking L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Over

67% 67%

33% 33%

Total PicksLA 232, ATL 116

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Top User Picks

More Picks

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'SUNIN65' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Over (48.5)

SUNIN65 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (10-4-1) and +7150 units on the season.

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'ljsjr' is picking Atlanta to cover (+8.0)

ljsjr is #1 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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LA

ATL

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'SUNIN65' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.0)

SUNIN65 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (10-4-1) and +7150 units on the season.

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LA

ATL

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'ljsjr' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Under (49.5)

ljsjr is #1 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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'Blondie69' is picking Atlanta to cover (+8.5)

Blondie69 is #10 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (8-7-0) and +4500 units on the season.

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ATL

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'Blondie69' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Under (48.5)

Blondie69 is #10 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (8-7-0) and +4500 units on the season.

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'plasma9' is picking Atlanta to cover (+8.0)

plasma9 is #2 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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LA

ATL

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'chuluckus' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

chuluckus is #3 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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LA

ATL

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'chuluckus' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Under (48.5)

chuluckus is #3 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'warrior7' is picking Atlanta to cover (+8.0)

warrior7 is #4 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (7-8-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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ATL

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'warrior7' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Over (49.5)

warrior7 is #4 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (7-8-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'1003008gl' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

1003008gl is #6 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (10-4-1) and +6100 units on the season.

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LA

ATL

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'1003008gl' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Over (48.5)

1003008gl is #6 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (10-4-1) and +6100 units on the season.

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'timstutler25' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Over (48.5)

timstutler25 is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'timstutler25' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.0)

timstutler25 is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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LA

ATL

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Pages Related to This Topic

Top L.A. Rams Pick Leaders Season 2025-2026

Rank	Leader	L10	Units

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