Los Angeles Rams

1st in NFC West (9 - 3 - 0)

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Sun, Dec 7 16:25 ET

LA @ ARI Picks

NFL Picks
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Los Angeles Rams logo LA -8.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Last week, the Rams were 10.5-point road faves against a 6-6 Panthers team despite traveling to the Eastern Seaboard for a 1:00 p.m. ET kickoff. They ended up losing that game due to a couple of rare picks from Matthew Stafford, but that doesn't justify a shift to -8 this week with easier travel conditions against the 3-9 Cardinals. This is a Rams team that ranks second in the league in DVOA while the Cardinals rank 21st. With five of the Rams last six wins coming by double digits, expect them to bounce back with a lopsided win here. 

Score a Touchdown
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown (Yes: -110)
Projection 0.8 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.9 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Kyren Williams has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 11.2% this year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among RBs.. When talking about air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 97th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a staggering 7.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
Passing Completions
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o23.5 Passing Completions (+115)
Projection 26.25 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.9 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 39.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.. As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Arizona's group of DEs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the league.
Passing Completions
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett o23.5 Passing Completions (-125)
Projection 26.58 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -8-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.. Jacoby Brissett's passing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 59.0% to 67.1%.
Passing Attempts
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett o37.5 Passing Attempts (-110)
Projection 42.17 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -8-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o260.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 305.35 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.9 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 39.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.. Matthew Stafford ranks as one of the leading passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 248.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.
Passing Yards
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett o246.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 285.01 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -8-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.. Jacoby Brissett has passed for many more adjusted yards per game (253.0) this year than he did last year (126.0).
Interceptions Thrown
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett o0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-124)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -8-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Receiving Yards
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams o11.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 16.47 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.9 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Kyren Williams has run a route on 56.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.. Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to accumulate 3.1 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
Receiving Yards
Puka Nacua logo
Puka Nacua o87.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 99.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.9 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The model projects Puka Nacua to accumulate 11.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With an extraordinary 29.9% Target% (96th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua stands among the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams u68.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 61.95 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Rams to run on 37.6% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. The Los Angeles Rams have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.4 plays per game.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. After accounting for 77.4% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Kyren Williams has played a smaller part in the ground game this season, now comprising only 64.2%.. Kyren Williams has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (72.0) this season than he did last season (85.0).
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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'qlh' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.5)

qlh is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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LA
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'qlh' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

qlh is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'Rossi35' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-1-0) and +6750 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'Rossi35' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-1-0) and +6750 units on the season.

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'harrisonian175' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

harrisonian175 is #10 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (5-5-0) and +4660 units on the season.

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'harrisonian175' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.0)

harrisonian175 is #10 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (5-5-0) and +4660 units on the season.

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LA
ARI
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'timstutler25' is picking Arizona to cover (+7.5)

timstutler25 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'timstutler25' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (48.0)

timstutler25 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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Over
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'nora99' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (48.0)

nora99 is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-2-1) and +5300 units on the season.

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Over
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'Octavio' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (48.0)

Octavio is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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Over
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'Octavio' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-7.5)

Octavio is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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LA
ARI
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'nora99' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.0)

nora99 is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-2-1) and +5300 units on the season.

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LA
ARI
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'1003008gl' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

1003008gl is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'1003008gl' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

1003008gl is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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Over
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'Noonball' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

Noonball is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-4-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Noonball' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

Noonball is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-4-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'TheGambler34' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

TheGambler34 is #7 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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