Los Angeles Rams
Picks

1st in NFC West (10 - 3 - 0)

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at

Sun, Dec 14 16:25 ET

DET @ LA Picks

Touchdowns

Colby Parkinson o0.5 Touchdowns (+240)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

Getting Colby Parkinson at better than +200 when he’s scored in four of his last five games is a great value. He’s not the top option in the passing game, but he’s reliably seeing around five targets a game, and half of his looks over the last three weeks have come in the red zone. This matchup has the potential to reach 50-plus points with both offenses scoring indoors. Among all pass catchers in this game, Parkinson offers the best value. The LA running back prices have stabilized, and Detroit continues to concentrate usage around its usual playmakers with Amon-Ra St. Brown healthy.

Spread

DET +6.0 (-110)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

Los Angeles has almost no home-field edge at SoFi Stadium, especially against teams like the Lions, who have widespread fanbases and travel well. There will be no shortage of Honolulu Blue in the stands this Sunday. The Lions should be able to grind out gains on the ground but exploit a soft secondary for L.A. with a talent group of receivers.

Passing Attempts

Matthew Stafford o33.5 Passing Attempts (+100)

Projection 37.86 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.3% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are expected by the projection model to call 67.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.. The model projects Matthew Stafford to throw 39.5 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.

+100 at Caesars

Passing Attempts

Jared Goff o33.5 Passing Attempts (-113)

Projection 37.24 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Lions, who are -6-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by our trusted projection set to call 67.5 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower ground volume.. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Passing Yards

Jared Goff o252.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 288.43 (Over)

Best Odds

o252.5 -110

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o252.5 -111

o252.5 -110

o253.5 -114

o252.5 -115

o252.5 -114

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Lions, who are -6-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by our trusted projection set to call 67.5 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower ground volume.. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Passing Yards

Matthew Stafford o264.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 295.97 (Over)

Best Odds

o264.5 -110

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o268.5 -112

o264.5 -110

o267.5 -114

o264.5 -130

o267.5 -115

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.3% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are expected by the projection model to call 67.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.. With an exceptional rate of 250.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Matthew Stafford rates as one of the leading passers in the league this year.. This year, the weak Detroit Lions defense has yielded a massive 241.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 9th-worst in the league.

Receiving Yards

Amon-Ra St. Brown o73.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 97.5 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Lions, who are -6-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by our trusted projection set to call 67.5 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower ground volume.. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Receiving Yards

Puka Nacua o94.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 105.55 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.3% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are expected by the projection model to call 67.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.. The model projects Puka Nacua to accrue 11.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.. This year, the porous Lions defense has yielded a colossal 166.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 5th-worst in the NFL.

Receiving Yards

Colby Parkinson o29.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 31.92 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.3% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are expected by the projection model to call 67.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.. In this week's contest, Colby Parkinson is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.8 targets.. Colby Parkinson's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 65.2% to 85.7%.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Total

61% picking Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Over

61% 61%

39% 39%

Total PicksDET 191, LA 121

Total

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Under

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Top User Picks

More Picks

Spread

'Rossi35' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-4.5)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +6700 units on the season.

Spread

DET

LA

Spread

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'Rossi35' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Under (51.0)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +6700 units on the season.

Total

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Under

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'nora99' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Under (55.0)

nora99 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +6300 units on the season.

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Under

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Spread

'nora99' is picking Detroit to cover (+5.5)

nora99 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +6300 units on the season.

Spread

DET

LA

Spread

Spread

'Noonball' is picking Detroit to cover (+4.5)

Noonball is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +6200 units on the season.

Spread

DET

LA

Spread

Total

'Noonball' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Under (51.0)

Noonball is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +6200 units on the season.

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Under

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'SUNIN65' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Over (51.5)

SUNIN65 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

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Spread

'SUNIN65' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-4.5)

SUNIN65 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread

DET

LA

Spread

Spread

'1003008gl' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-4.5)

1003008gl is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread

DET

LA

Spread

Total

'1003008gl' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Over (51.0)

1003008gl is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

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Over

Under

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Pages Related to This Topic

Top L.A. Rams Pick Leaders Season 2025-2026

Rank	Leader	L10	Units

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