Los Angeles Rams

1st in NFC West (9 - 3 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 7 16:25 ET

LA @ ARI Picks

NFL Picks
Sacks
Jared Verse logo Jared Verse o0.3 Sacks (+120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
Jeremy Jones image
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst

The Rams have a deadly pass rush and Verse has been getting heavily involved in the sacks in the second half of the season. 

Score First Touchdown
Davante Adams logo Davante Adams Score First Touchdown (Yes: +475)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Davante Adams leads WRs in touchdowns with 14, and the entire NFL in red zone targets (28), while also having scored in six straight games.

Passing Attempts
Jacoby Brissett logo Jacoby Brissett o37.5 Passing Attempts (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Cardinals have officially shut down Kyler Murray for the rest of the season which means we can keep betting on incumbent QB Jacoby Brissett. Brissett has attempted at least 40 passes in four-straight games and is averaging an incredible 47.5 pass attempts per game during that span. Brissett has also been relatively efficient with that passing volume so there's little reason for head coach Jonathan Gannon to use his impotent rushing attack. Gannon might have to abandon the run even quicker than usual on Sunday since the Cards are 8.5-point dogs against the first-place Rams. Game script should lead to Brissett easily surpassing this number.

Score a Touchdown
Bam Knight logo Bam Knight Score a Touchdown (Yes: +185)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

There’s some risk here with Trey Benson eligible to return now that his practice window is open, but he was a DNP on Wednesday. With Emari Demercado dealing with an ankle injury and Michael Carter operating as the pass-catching back, Knight could be the RB1 again this week. Knight has scored in three straight games and has been as short as +135 in the TD market. We saw last week that the Rams can be beaten on the ground, as Carolina moved the ball easily in Week 13. If Benson sits and Demercado is limited, this number could drop to around +140, which is closer to where the fair price should be. Even if Benson suits up, Knight still has paths to cash as the likely preferred red-zone option.

Spread
Los Angeles Rams logo LA -8.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Last week, the Rams were 10.5-point road faves against a 6-6 Panthers team despite traveling to the Eastern Seaboard for a 1:00 p.m. ET kickoff. They ended up losing that game due to a couple of rare picks from Matthew Stafford, but that doesn't justify a shift to -8 this week with easier travel conditions against the 3-9 Cardinals. This is a Rams team that ranks second in the league in DVOA while the Cardinals rank 21st. With five of the Rams last six wins coming by double digits, expect them to bounce back with a lopsided win here. 

Score a Touchdown
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown (Yes: -110)
Projection 0.86 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.1 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Kyren Williams has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 11.2% this year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among RBs.. When talking about air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 97th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a staggering 7.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
Score a Touchdown
Michael Wilson logo
Michael Wilson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +200)
Projection 0.46 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (61.8% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o261.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 284.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.3 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 38.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs.. Matthew Stafford ranks as one of the leading passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 248.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
Passing Yards
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett o253.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 274.03 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.. Jacoby Brissett has passed for many more adjusted yards per game (253.0) this year than he did last year (126.0).
Receiving Yards
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams o10.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 15.94 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.1 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Kyren Williams has run a route on 56.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.. When talking about air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 97th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a staggering 7.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
Receiving Yards
Colby Parkinson logo
Colby Parkinson o25.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 32.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.1 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Colby Parkinson's 90.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 65.2% mark.. This year, the porous Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a monstrous 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 9th-most in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Michael Wilson logo
Michael Wilson o73.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 81.97 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Receiving Yards
Bam Knight logo
Bam Knight o17.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 19.92 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Rushing Yards
Bam Knight logo
Bam Knight o38.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 54.75 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.. In this week's game, Bam Knight is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 78th percentile among RBs with 13.2 rush attempts.. The leading projections forecast Bam Knight to be a less important option in his offense's ground game in this game (22.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (41.3% in games he has played).
Rushing Yards
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett o11.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Projection 14.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.. After comprising 5.6% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Jacoby Brissett has played a bigger part in the run game this season, now making up 12.5%.. With a fantastic total of 2.49 yards-after-contact (86th percentile), Jacoby Brissett ranks among the leading running QBs in football this year.
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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

61% picking L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksLA 496, ARI 318

Total
Over
Under

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'qlh' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.5)

qlh is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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'qlh' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

qlh is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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Over
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'Rossi35' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-1-0) and +6750 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'Rossi35' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-1-0) and +6750 units on the season.

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'harrisonian175' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

harrisonian175 is #10 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (5-5-0) and +4660 units on the season.

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'harrisonian175' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.0)

harrisonian175 is #10 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (5-5-0) and +4660 units on the season.

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ARI
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'blimp' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.5)

blimp is #10 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'Busch Light' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

Busch Light is #2 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-2-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Busch Light' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

Busch Light is #2 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-2-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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ARI
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'timstutler25' is picking Arizona to cover (+7.5)

timstutler25 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'timstutler25' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (48.0)

timstutler25 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'bauer2015' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

bauer2015 is #3 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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Over
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'bauer2015' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-10.0)

bauer2015 is #3 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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ARI
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'nora99' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (48.0)

nora99 is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-2-1) and +5300 units on the season.

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'Octavio' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (48.0)

Octavio is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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Over
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'Octavio' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-7.5)

Octavio is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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LA
ARI
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'nora99' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.0)

nora99 is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-2-1) and +5300 units on the season.

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ARI
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'1003008gl' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

1003008gl is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'1003008gl' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

1003008gl is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'kermitfrog' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

kermitfrog is #5 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'kermitfrog' is picking Arizona to cover (+10.0)

kermitfrog is #5 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'TOPDOG440' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

TOPDOG440 is #6 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'TOPDOG440' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-10.0)

TOPDOG440 is #6 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Noonball' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

Noonball is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-4-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Noonball' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

Noonball is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-4-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'TheGambler34' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

TheGambler34 is #7 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'iambarnes' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.0)

iambarnes is #8 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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ARI
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'iambarnes' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (48.0)

iambarnes is #8 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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'sghawks' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

sghawks is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (6-4-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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'sghawks' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-10.0)

sghawks is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (6-4-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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ARI
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'geoff1954' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.0)

geoff1954 is #9 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-3-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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'geoff1954' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

geoff1954 is #9 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-3-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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Over
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'bradfordb' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

bradfordb is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (6-4-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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'bradfordb' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-10.0)

bradfordb is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (6-4-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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ARI
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