Los Angeles Rams Picks

Pick made: 19 hours ago

o38.5 -103

o38.5 -110

o38.5 -105

o38.5 -112

The Cardinals have officially shut down Kyler Murray for the rest of the season which means we can keep betting on incumbent QB Jacoby Brissett. Brissett has attempted at least 40 passes in four-straight games and is averaging an incredible 47.5 pass attempts per game during that span. Brissett has also been relatively efficient with that passing volume so there's little reason for head coach Jonathan Gannon to use his impotent rushing attack. Gannon might have to abandon the run even quicker than usual on Sunday since the Cards are 8.5-point dogs against the first-place Rams. Game script should lead to Brissett easily surpassing this number.

Score a Touchdown

Bam Knight Score a Touchdown (Yes: +185)

Best Odds

+185

Pick made: yesterday

+185

There’s some risk here with Trey Benson eligible to return now that his practice window is open, but he was a DNP on Wednesday. With Emari Demercado dealing with an ankle injury and Michael Carter operating as the pass-catching back, Knight could be the RB1 again this week. Knight has scored in three straight games and has been as short as +135 in the TD market. We saw last week that the Rams can be beaten on the ground, as Carolina moved the ball easily in Week 13. If Benson sits and Demercado is limited, this number could drop to around +140, which is closer to where the fair price should be. Even if Benson suits up, Knight still has paths to cash as the likely preferred red-zone option.

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LA -8.0 (-110)

Best Odds

-9.5 -111

Pick made: 4 days ago

-8.5 -108

-8.5 -110

-9.5 -111

-8.5 -110

-9.0 -108

Last week, the Rams were 10.5-point road faves against a 6-6 Panthers team despite traveling to the Eastern Seaboard for a 1:00 p.m. ET kickoff. They ended up losing that game due to a couple of rare picks from Matthew Stafford, but that doesn't justify a shift to -8 this week with easier travel conditions against the 3-9 Cardinals. This is a Rams team that ranks second in the league in DVOA while the Cardinals rank 21st. With five of the Rams last six wins coming by double digits, expect them to bounce back with a lopsided win here.

Score a Touchdown

Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown (Yes: -110)

Projection 0.8 (Yes)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 4 days ago

EV Model Rating

-115

-110

-113

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.2 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Kyren Williams has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 11.2% this year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among RBs.. When talking about air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 97th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a staggering 7.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

-110 at FanDuel

Score a Touchdown

Michael Wilson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +200)

Projection 0.44 (Yes)

Best Odds

+205

Pick made: 4 days ago

EV Model Rating

+200

+205

The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (61.8% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

+205 at Caesars

Passing Completions

Jacoby Brissett o24.5 Passing Completions (-112)

Projection 28.05 (Over)

Best Odds

o24.5 -112

Pick made: 16 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o24.5 -112

o24.5 -115

o24.5 -112

o24.5 -120

o24.5 -122

The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.. Jacoby Brissett's passing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 59.0% to 67.1%.

-112 at DraftKings

Passing Completions

Matthew Stafford o23.5 Passing Completions (+102)

Projection 25.54 (Over)

Best Odds

o22.5 -125

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o23.5 +102

o22.5 -125

o22.5 -128

o23.5 +115

o23.5 +100

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.2 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 39.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.. As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Arizona's group of DEs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the league.

-125 at bet365

Passing Attempts

Jacoby Brissett o38.5 Passing Attempts (-103)

Projection 42.22 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o38.5 -103

o38.5 -110

o38.5 -105

o38.5 -112

The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

-130 at FanDuel

Passing Attempts

Matthew Stafford o34.5 Passing Attempts (-110)

Projection 37.38 (Over)

Best Odds

o34.5 -102

Pick made: 3 days ago

EV Model Rating

o34.5 -110

o35.5 -120

o34.5 -102

o35.5 +105

o34.5 -113

-102 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Matthew Stafford o264.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 296.59 (Over)

Best Odds

o263.5 -115

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o264.5 -113

o264.5 -110

o264.5 -114

o264.5 -115

o263.5 -115

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.2 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 39.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.. Matthew Stafford ranks as one of the leading passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 248.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

-115 at Caesars

Passing Yards

Jacoby Brissett o259.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 281.64 (Over)

Best Odds

o254.5 -112

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o254.5 -112

o259.5 -110

o255.5 -114

o259.5 -115

o255.5 -121

The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.. Jacoby Brissett has passed for many more adjusted yards per game (253.0) this year than he did last year (126.0).

-112 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Kyren Williams o9.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 16.15 (Over)

Best Odds

o9.5 -114

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o10.5 -116

o10.5 -110

o9.5 -114

o10.5 -115

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.2 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Kyren Williams has run a route on 56.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.. Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to accumulate 3.0 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Michael Wilson o68.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 80.85 (Over)

Best Odds

o68.5 -110

Pick made: 14 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o68.5 -110

o69.5 -110

o68.5 -114

o69.5 -115

o68.5 -115

The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

-110 at DraftKings

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

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60% picking L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over

60% 60%

40% 40%

Total PicksLA 272, ARI 180

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Top User Picks

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'qlh' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.5)

qlh is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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ARI

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'qlh' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

qlh is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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'Rossi35' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-1-0) and +6750 units on the season.

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'Rossi35' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-1-0) and +6750 units on the season.

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ARI

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'harrisonian175' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

harrisonian175 is #10 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (5-5-0) and +4660 units on the season.

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'harrisonian175' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.0)

harrisonian175 is #10 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (5-5-0) and +4660 units on the season.

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ARI

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'blimp' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.5)

blimp is #10 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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ARI

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'Busch Light' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

Busch Light is #2 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-2-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Busch Light' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

Busch Light is #2 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-2-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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ARI

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'timstutler25' is picking Arizona to cover (+7.5)

timstutler25 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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ARI

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'timstutler25' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (48.0)

timstutler25 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'nora99' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (48.0)

nora99 is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-2-1) and +5300 units on the season.

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'Octavio' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (48.0)

Octavio is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Octavio' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-7.5)

Octavio is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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ARI

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'nora99' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.0)

nora99 is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-2-1) and +5300 units on the season.

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ARI

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'1003008gl' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

1003008gl is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'1003008gl' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (47.5)

1003008gl is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Noonball' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

Noonball is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-4-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Noonball' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

Noonball is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-4-1) and +5200 units on the season.

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'TheGambler34' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

TheGambler34 is #7 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'iambarnes' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.0)

iambarnes is #8 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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ARI

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'iambarnes' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (48.0)

iambarnes is #8 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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'geoff1954' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.0)

geoff1954 is #9 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-3-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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'geoff1954' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (47.5)

geoff1954 is #9 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-3-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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