Los Angeles Rams

NFL Player Props

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. With a top-tier 9.2% Red Zone Target Rate (77th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams places among the pass-game running backs with the most usage near the end zone in the league. After accumulating -2.0 air yards per game last year, Kyren Williams has produced significantly more this year, currently boasting 8.0 per game. With an impressive ratio of 0.16 per game through the air (88th percentile), Kyren Williams ranks as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the league among running backs this year.

The Bears are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 134.3 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week. The Bears have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 57.3 plays per game. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (32.4 per game) this year. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Bears profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. Puka Nacua has compiled far more air yards this season (99.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game). Puka Nacua has been in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 68.1 mark this year. Puka Nacua's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 76.1% to 81.0%.