Los Angeles Rams

2nd in NFC West (12 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

Sat, Jan 10 16:30 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tommy Tremble Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Tommy Tremble
T. Tremble
tight end TE • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.17
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.17
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. The model projects Tommy Tremble to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (13.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.8% in games he has played).

Tommy Tremble logo

Tommy Tremble

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.17
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.17

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. The model projects Tommy Tremble to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (13.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.8% in games he has played).

All Matchup props

Colby Parkinson Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Colby Parkinson
C. Parkinson
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.28
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.28
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. Colby Parkinson's 76.5% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a meaningful growth in his pass-catching talent over last year's 65.2% mark. Colby Parkinson grades out in the 94th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an excellent 0.50 per game. This year, the deficient Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 79.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

Colby Parkinson logo

Colby Parkinson

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.28
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.28

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. Colby Parkinson's 76.5% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a meaningful growth in his pass-catching talent over last year's 65.2% mark. Colby Parkinson grades out in the 94th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an excellent 0.50 per game. This year, the deficient Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 79.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Kyren Williams
K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.77
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.77
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. With a top-tier 9.2% Red Zone Target% (77th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. Kyren Williams has notched quite a few more air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game). With an excellent ratio of 0.16 per game through the air (88th percentile), Kyren Williams has been among the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among running backs this year.

Kyren Williams logo

Kyren Williams

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.77
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.77

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. With a top-tier 9.2% Red Zone Target% (77th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. Kyren Williams has notched quite a few more air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game). With an excellent ratio of 0.16 per game through the air (88th percentile), Kyren Williams has been among the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among running backs this year.

All Matchup props

Tetairoa McMillan Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Tetairoa McMillan
T. McMillan
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.36
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.36
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Tetairoa McMillan logo

Tetairoa McMillan

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.36
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.36

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

All Matchup props

Puka Nacua Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Puka Nacua
P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.53
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.53
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. After accruing 75.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has been rising this year, now boasting 92.0 per game. Puka Nacua's 66.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 93rd percentile for WRs. Puka Nacua's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 76.1% to 81.0%.

Puka Nacua logo

Puka Nacua

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.53
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.53

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. After accruing 75.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has been rising this year, now boasting 92.0 per game. Puka Nacua's 66.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 93rd percentile for WRs. Puka Nacua's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 76.1% to 81.0%.

All Matchup props

Rico Dowdle Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Rico Dowdle
R. Dowdle
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.33
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.33
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. Rico Dowdle's 14.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in football: 78th percentile for RBs.

Rico Dowdle logo

Rico Dowdle

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.33
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.33

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. Rico Dowdle's 14.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in football: 78th percentile for RBs.

All Matchup props

Matthew Stafford Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Matthew Stafford
M. Stafford
quarterback QB • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.03
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.03
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The leading projections forecast Matthew Stafford to attempt 35.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-most out of all QBs. Matthew Stafford is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for a measly 1.2% of his offense's rush attempts in the red zone this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks. Matthew Stafford has been among the best touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 2.42 per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

Matthew Stafford logo

Matthew Stafford

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.03
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.03

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The leading projections forecast Matthew Stafford to attempt 35.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-most out of all QBs. Matthew Stafford is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for a measly 1.2% of his offense's rush attempts in the red zone this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks. Matthew Stafford has been among the best touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 2.42 per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

All Matchup props

Bryce Young Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Bryce Young
B. Young
quarterback QB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.03
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.03
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The model projects Bryce Young to attempt 35.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year.

Bryce Young logo

Bryce Young

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.03
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.03

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The model projects Bryce Young to attempt 35.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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