Each of the last four Giants games have gone Over the total.
The Giants ranked 29th in defensive DVOA before serving 29 points on a platter to the lowly Washington Commanders in Week 15, and New York has now surrendered the third-most yards and fourth-highest EPA per play while also allowing the fourth-most points per game to go along with a miserable 2-11 record. Of course, Minnesota quarterback J.J. McCarthy has also aired it out for 8.8 yards per attempt and the fourth-highest EPA+COPE composite for consecutive outright and against-the-spread wins the past two weeks.
The Vikings defense did enough to hold off the high-powered Cowboys on Sunday night but get a much easier opponent in the Giants offense in Week 16. Minnesota's blitz-heavy schemes and zone defense will get rookie Jaxon Dart fits. Minnesota QB J.J. McCarthy looks like he's finally healthy and settled into this playbook. The Giants are the softest defense he's faced in a long time.