The Seahawks O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
A running game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. The Seahawks pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80%) to running backs this year (80.0%). The Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the 5th-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 10th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.85 seconds per snap. In this contest, T.J. Hockenson is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.6 targets.
The Seahawks O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board. This year, the imposing Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded a paltry 78.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 5th-smallest rate in football.
The Seahawks are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Seahawks. Opposing teams have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in football. Noah Fant's receiving talent has been refined this year, compiling 3.3 adjusted catches vs a mere 2.3 last year.
Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 10th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.85 seconds per snap. Justin Jefferson has run a route on 99.1% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among WRs. In this week's contest, Justin Jefferson is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 97th percentile among wideouts with 10.4 targets. With a stellar 5.8 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson ranks as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the league.
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