New England Patriots

1st in AFC East (9 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

NENew England New England
at
Cincinnati CINCincinnati
Sun, Nov 23 13:00 ET

NE @ CIN Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: +100)
Projection 0.67 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +100 DraftKings
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
 +100
 +100
 -110
 -
 -102
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -8-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects Chase Brown to be a more important option in his offense's passing game near the goal line in this game (18.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (8.2% in games he has played).
+100 at DraftKings
Passing Attempts
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco o37.5 Passing Attempts (-107)
Projection 42.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o37.5 -107 DraftKings
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o37.5  -107
 -
o37.5  -110
 -
o37.5  -110
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -8-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. In this game, Joe Flacco is expected by the projection model to total the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 41.8.
-107 at DraftKings
Passing Yards
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco o232.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 263.07 (Over)
Best Odds
o232.5 -113 DraftKings
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o232.5  -113
 -
o232.5  -114
 -
o233.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -8-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. In this game, Joe Flacco is expected by the projection model to total the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 41.8. . Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the league against the Patriots defense this year (73.3% Adjusted Completion%).
-113 at DraftKings
Passing Yards
Drake Maye logo
Drake Maye u250.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 242.48 (Under)
Best Odds
u250.5 -111 DraftKings
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u250.5  -111
 -
u248.5  -114
 -
u248.5  -115
The Patriots are a heavy 8-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New England Patriots to pass on 52.7% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
-111 at DraftKings
Receiving Yards
Tee Higgins logo
Tee Higgins o67.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 82.11 (Over)
Best Odds
o66.5 -130 FanDuel
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o67.5  -113
 -
o66.5  -130
 -
o67.5  -114
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -8-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. In this contest, Tee Higgins is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.4 targets.. This year, the feeble New England Patriots defense has allowed the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a massive 8.76 yards.
-130 at FanDuel
Receiving Yards
Stefon Diggs logo
Stefon Diggs o54.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 60.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o52.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o54.5  -113
 -
o52.5  -114
 -
o52.5  -117
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. In this game, Stefon Diggs is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 87th percentile among WRs with 7.8 targets.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. Stefon Diggs has been one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an impressive 59.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.. This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 8th-worst rate in the league.
-114 at FanDuel

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

62% picking New England

62%
38%

Total Picks NE 271, CIN 165

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-7.5 -128
+8.5 -111

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'ChOmP' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+8.0)

ChOmP is #1 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-7.5 -128
+8.5 -111
Total

'Ohyarain' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (50.0)

Ohyarain is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -104
51.5 -146
Spread

'Ohyarain' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

Ohyarain is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-7.5 -128
+8.5 -111
Total

'Jhusagic' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (49.5)

Jhusagic is #4 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -104
51.5 -146
Total

'fttrdoyle' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (49.5)

fttrdoyle is #4 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -104
51.5 -146
Spread

'fttrdoyle' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

fttrdoyle is #4 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-7.5 -128
+8.5 -111
Spread

'Jhusagic' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

Jhusagic is #4 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-7.5 -128
+8.5 -111
Spread

'Alexmaldonado' is picking New England to cover (-5.5)

Alexmaldonado is #5 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-7.5 -128
+8.5 -111
Total

'Alexmaldonado' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (50.5)

Alexmaldonado is #5 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -104
51.5 -146
Spread

'dixdixpa33' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

dixdixpa33 is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-7.5 -128
+8.5 -111
Total

'dixdixpa33' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (51.0)

dixdixpa33 is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -104
51.5 -146
Spread

'dahnguyen' is picking New England to cover (-5.5)

dahnguyen is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-7.5 -128
+8.5 -111
Total

'dahnguyen' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (51.0)

dahnguyen is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -104
51.5 -146
Total

'Technique' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (50.0)

Technique is #7 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -104
51.5 -146
Spread

'Technique' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

Technique is #7 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-7.5 -128
+8.5 -111
Spread

'roxwawy20' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

roxwawy20 is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-7.5 -128
+8.5 -111
Total

'roxwawy20' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (51.0)

roxwawy20 is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -104
51.5 -146
Spread

'CJONES1068' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

CJONES1068 is #9 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-7.5 -128
+8.5 -111

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