New York Giants

2nd in NFC East (0 - 0 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Sep 13 20:20 ET

DAL @ NYG Picks

NFL Picks
Rushing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo Jaxson Dart o33.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

New Giants coach John Harbaugh blasted his team’s pass protection after QB1 Jaxson Dart was sent to the medical tent in the team’s exhibition opener (Dart was cleared of any injury). He’ll need to tighten the bolts before facing Dallas on SNF in Week 1. The Cowboys ranked tops in pressure on passers last season, leading to the No. 1 hurry rate and the second most QB hits (also allowed third most rushing yards to QBs). As a dangerous dual-threat, Dart will see his number called plenty of times in this revamped Ravens-inspired offense and will pick up bonus rushing yards as he scrambles away from pressure. 

Total
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail New York Giants image thumbnail o48.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Offensively, the G-Men are hoping all their young skill players are back from injury in time for this opener. Running back Cam Skattebo and WR Malik Nabers are trending in the right direction, and second-year QB Jaxson Dart has an improved O-line in front of him. We know the Cowboys will score points... but can they stop anyone from scoring? New defensive coordinator Christian Parker is Dallas’ fourth DC in four seasons, and while the draft brought in some much-needed talent, this could still be a team that gives up home run plays.

Passing Yards
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o254.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 260.01 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Dak Prescott has attempted 34.1 passes per game last year, grading out in the 98th percentile among QBs.. Dak Prescott grades out as one of the leading passers in the league last year, averaging a fantastic 243.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.. The New York Giants defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the most in the league.
Rushing Yards
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o5.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 11.04 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.. Dak Prescott's rushing effectiveness (6.28 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL last year (83rd percentile when it comes to QBs).. Last year, the tough Giants run defense has allowed a meager 5.56 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 32nd-smallest rate in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo
Jaxson Dart o28.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 35.83 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to run on 46.9% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. Jaxson Dart has grinded out 26.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest marks in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (92nd percentile).. Last year, the stout Cowboys run defense has conceded a puny 5.14 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 28th-lowest rate in football.
Rushing Yards
Javonte Williams logo
Javonte Williams u74.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Projection 66.62 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rushing Yards
Cam Skattebo logo
Cam Skattebo o49.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Projection 53.91 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to run on 46.9% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. Last year, the stout Cowboys run defense has conceded a puny 5.14 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 28th-lowest rate in football.
Receiving Yards
Jake Ferguson logo
Jake Ferguson o27.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 34.99 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. In this week's game, Jake Ferguson is expected by the projections to slot into the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.8 targets.. With an impressive 17.1% Target Share (85th percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.. Last year, the feeble New York Giants defense has allowed the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a staggering 0.00 YAC.
Receiving Yards
George Pickens logo
George Pickens o66.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 75.04 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. With a sizeable 91.0% Route% (87th percentile) last year, George Pickens places among the wideouts with the most usage in the league.. In this game, George Pickens is expected by the predictive model to land in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 7.8 targets.. Last year, the porous Giants defense has yielded the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a staggering 8.59 yards.
Receiving Yards
Javonte Williams logo
Javonte Williams o12.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 12.86 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Javonte Williams has run a route on 51.3% of his offense's passing plays last year, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.. The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to earn 2.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Last year, the shaky New York Giants pass defense has allowed a whopping 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-largest rate in the league.
Receiving Yards
Isaiah Likely logo
Isaiah Likely u40.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
Projection 36.65 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The model projects the New York Giants as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Isaiah Likely is positioned as one of the worst tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.. The Cowboys safeties grade out as the 9th-best safety corps in football last year in pass coverage.
Receptions Made
Jake Ferguson logo
Jake Ferguson o3.5 Receptions Made (+115)
Projection 4.11 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. In this week's game, Jake Ferguson is expected by the projections to slot into the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.8 targets.. With an impressive 17.1% Target Share (85th percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.. With an outstanding 4.5 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson ranks among the top pass-game TEs in the league.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

66% picking Dallas

66%
34%

Total Picks DAL 238, NYG 122

Spread
DAL
NYG
Total

43% picking Dallas vs N.Y. Giants to go Under

57%
43%

Total PicksDAL 122, NYG 93

Total
Over
Under

DAL @ NYG · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
PASSING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o254.5 Passing Yards
260.01 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
18.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o254.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

260.01 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
18.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Dak Prescott has attempted 34.1 passes per game last year, grading out in the 98th percentile among QBs.. Dak Prescott grades out as one of the leading passers in the league last year, averaging a fantastic 243.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.. The New York Giants defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the most in the league.

o254.5 -110
bet365 logo
PASSING YARDS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o210.5 Passing Yards
215.65 OVER PROJECTION
+5.1 DIFFERENCE
12.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o210.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

215.65 OVER PROJECTION
+5.1 DIFFERENCE
12.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. Last year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a colossal 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the largest rate in the league.. The Cowboys defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the most in the NFL.

o210.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o5.5 Rushing Yards
11.04 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o5.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

11.04 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
26% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.. Dak Prescott's rushing effectiveness (6.28 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL last year (83rd percentile when it comes to QBs).. Last year, the tough Giants run defense has allowed a meager 5.56 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 32nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

o5.5 -110
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o28.5 Rushing Yards
35.83 OVER PROJECTION
+7.3 DIFFERENCE
24.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o28.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

35.83 OVER PROJECTION
+7.3 DIFFERENCE
24.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to run on 46.9% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. Jaxson Dart has grinded out 26.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest marks in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (92nd percentile).. Last year, the stout Cowboys run defense has conceded a puny 5.14 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 28th-lowest rate in football.

o28.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u74.5 Rushing Yards
66.62 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.9 DIFFERENCE
22.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u74.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

66.62 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.9 DIFFERENCE
22.47% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u74.5 -120
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards
53.91 OVER PROJECTION
+4.4 DIFFERENCE
18.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

53.91 OVER PROJECTION
+4.4 DIFFERENCE
18.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to run on 46.9% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. Last year, the stout Cowboys run defense has conceded a puny 5.14 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 28th-lowest rate in football.

o49.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o27.5 Receiving Yards
34.99 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
24.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o27.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

34.99 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
24.9% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. In this week's game, Jake Ferguson is expected by the projections to slot into the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.8 targets.. With an impressive 17.1% Target Share (85th percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.. Last year, the feeble New York Giants defense has allowed the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a staggering 0.00 YAC.

o25.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) o66.5 Receiving Yards
75.04 OVER PROJECTION
+8.5 DIFFERENCE
22.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) o66.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

75.04 OVER PROJECTION
+8.5 DIFFERENCE
22.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. With a sizeable 91.0% Route% (87th percentile) last year, George Pickens places among the wideouts with the most usage in the league.. In this game, George Pickens is expected by the predictive model to land in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 7.8 targets.. Last year, the porous Giants defense has yielded the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a staggering 8.59 yards.

o66.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards
12.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
20.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

12.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
20.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Javonte Williams has run a route on 51.3% of his offense's passing plays last year, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.. The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to earn 2.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Last year, the shaky New York Giants pass defense has allowed a whopping 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-largest rate in the league.

o12.5 -110
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u40.5 Receiving Yards
36.65 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.9 DIFFERENCE
19.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u40.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

36.65 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.9 DIFFERENCE
19.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the New York Giants as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Isaiah Likely is positioned as one of the worst tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.. The Cowboys safeties grade out as the 9th-best safety corps in football last year in pass coverage.

u40.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o55.5 Receiving Yards
61.83 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
4.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o55.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

61.83 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
4.2% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. The Cowboys pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency versus wide receivers last year, allowing 10.03 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.. The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has struggled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in the league.

o55.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.11 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
16.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.11 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
16.42% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. In this week's game, Jake Ferguson is expected by the projections to slot into the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.8 targets.. With an impressive 17.1% Target Share (85th percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.. With an outstanding 4.5 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson ranks among the top pass-game TEs in the league.

o3.5 +115
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the New York Giants as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The Cowboys safeties grade out as the 9th-best safety corps in football last year in pass coverage.

u3.5 +100
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) u5.5 Receptions Made
4.86 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) u5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.86 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the New York Giants as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Dallas's collection of CBs has been terrific last year, projecting as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u5.5 -140
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.06 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.06 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.. Javonte Williams has been one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, hauling in just 76.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 15th percentile.

u2.5 -185
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RECEPTIONS MADE
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.96 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-12.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.96 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-12.5% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. With a sizeable 91.0% Route% (87th percentile) last year, George Pickens places among the wideouts with the most usage in the league.. In this game, George Pickens is expected by the predictive model to land in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 7.8 targets.. George Pickens ranks as one of the best WRs in the NFL last year, averaging a terrific 5.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 96th percentile.

o4.5 -159
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PASSING ATTEMPTS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts
33.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

33.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

u33.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions
19.17 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
1.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.17 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
1.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. Last year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a colossal 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the largest rate in the league.

o18.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions
22.50 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-7.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.50 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-7.94% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Dak Prescott has attempted 34.1 passes per game last year, grading out in the 98th percentile among QBs.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's group of CBs has been very bad last year, ranking as the 9th-worst in the league.

o22.5 -105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.49 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.49 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. Last year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a colossal 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the largest rate in the league.. Last year, the shaky Cowboys defense has conceded a whopping 1.53 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the worst rate in the NFL.

+170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.48 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.48 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. With an exceptional 21.0% Red Zone Target Rate (87th percentile) last year, George Pickens has been as one of the wideouts with the highest volume near the end zone in football.. George Pickens has notched a whopping 97.0 air yards per game last year: 94th percentile among WRs.. George Pickens has been in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 56.1 figure last year.

+170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.76 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.76 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. With an elite 12.0% Red Zone Target Share (86th percentile) last year, Javonte Williams places among the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.. With a terrific ratio of 0.12 per game through the air (86th percentile), Javonte Williams rates among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to RBs last year.. Last year, the shaky New York Giants pass defense has allowed a whopping 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-largest rate in the league.

-160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. Our trusted projections expect Isaiah Likely to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the end zone this week (20.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been last year (13.7% in games he has played).. Isaiah Likely ranks in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends last year with a remarkable 10.1% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

+300
Hard Rock Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.33 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.33 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Jake Ferguson has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.1% last year, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.. As it relates to air yards, Jake Ferguson grades out in the towering 82nd percentile among tight ends last year, averaging a monstrous 29.0 per game.. Jake Ferguson's 32.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in football: 80th percentile for TEs.

+250
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. Last year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a colossal 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the largest rate in the league.

+108
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.38% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Dak Prescott has been among the top TD throwers in football last year, averaging a stellar 1.67 per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's group of CBs has been very bad last year, ranking as the 9th-worst in the league.

+750
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the New York Giants as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects Jaxson Dart to attempt 32.0 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.. Jaxson Dart has logged a lowly 0.31 interceptions per game last year, ranking in the 92nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Dallas's collection of CBs has been terrific last year, projecting as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u0.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
PASSING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o254.5 Passing Yards
260.01 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
18.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o254.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

260.01 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
18.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Dak Prescott has attempted 34.1 passes per game last year, grading out in the 98th percentile among QBs.. Dak Prescott grades out as one of the leading passers in the league last year, averaging a fantastic 243.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.. The New York Giants defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the most in the league.

o254.5 -110
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PASSING YARDS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o210.5 Passing Yards
215.65 OVER PROJECTION
+5.1 DIFFERENCE
12.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o210.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

215.65 OVER PROJECTION
+5.1 DIFFERENCE
12.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. Last year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a colossal 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the largest rate in the league.. The Cowboys defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the most in the NFL.

o210.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o5.5 Rushing Yards
11.04 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o5.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

11.04 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
26% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.. Dak Prescott's rushing effectiveness (6.28 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL last year (83rd percentile when it comes to QBs).. Last year, the tough Giants run defense has allowed a meager 5.56 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 32nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

o5.5 -110
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o28.5 Rushing Yards
35.83 OVER PROJECTION
+7.3 DIFFERENCE
24.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o28.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

35.83 OVER PROJECTION
+7.3 DIFFERENCE
24.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to run on 46.9% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. Jaxson Dart has grinded out 26.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest marks in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (92nd percentile).. Last year, the stout Cowboys run defense has conceded a puny 5.14 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 28th-lowest rate in football.

o28.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u74.5 Rushing Yards
66.62 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.9 DIFFERENCE
22.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u74.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

66.62 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.9 DIFFERENCE
22.47% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u74.5 -120
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards
53.91 OVER PROJECTION
+4.4 DIFFERENCE
18.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

53.91 OVER PROJECTION
+4.4 DIFFERENCE
18.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to run on 46.9% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. Last year, the stout Cowboys run defense has conceded a puny 5.14 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 28th-lowest rate in football.

o49.5 -118
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RECEIVING YARDS
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o27.5 Receiving Yards
34.99 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
24.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o27.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

34.99 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
24.9% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. In this week's game, Jake Ferguson is expected by the projections to slot into the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.8 targets.. With an impressive 17.1% Target Share (85th percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.. Last year, the feeble New York Giants defense has allowed the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a staggering 0.00 YAC.

o25.5 -135
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RECEIVING YARDS
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) o66.5 Receiving Yards
75.04 OVER PROJECTION
+8.5 DIFFERENCE
22.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) o66.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

75.04 OVER PROJECTION
+8.5 DIFFERENCE
22.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. With a sizeable 91.0% Route% (87th percentile) last year, George Pickens places among the wideouts with the most usage in the league.. In this game, George Pickens is expected by the predictive model to land in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 7.8 targets.. Last year, the porous Giants defense has yielded the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a staggering 8.59 yards.

o66.5 -114
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RECEIVING YARDS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards
12.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
20.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

12.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
20.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Javonte Williams has run a route on 51.3% of his offense's passing plays last year, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.. The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to earn 2.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Last year, the shaky New York Giants pass defense has allowed a whopping 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-largest rate in the league.

o12.5 -110
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u40.5 Receiving Yards
36.65 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.9 DIFFERENCE
19.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u40.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

36.65 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.9 DIFFERENCE
19.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the New York Giants as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Isaiah Likely is positioned as one of the worst tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.. The Cowboys safeties grade out as the 9th-best safety corps in football last year in pass coverage.

u40.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o55.5 Receiving Yards
61.83 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
4.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o55.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

61.83 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
4.2% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. The Cowboys pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency versus wide receivers last year, allowing 10.03 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.. The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has struggled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in the league.

o55.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.11 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
16.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.11 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
16.42% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. In this week's game, Jake Ferguson is expected by the projections to slot into the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.8 targets.. With an impressive 17.1% Target Share (85th percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.. With an outstanding 4.5 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson ranks among the top pass-game TEs in the league.

o3.5 +115
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the New York Giants as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The Cowboys safeties grade out as the 9th-best safety corps in football last year in pass coverage.

u3.5 +100
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) u5.5 Receptions Made
4.86 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) u5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.86 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the New York Giants as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Dallas's collection of CBs has been terrific last year, projecting as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u5.5 -140
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.06 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.06 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.. Javonte Williams has been one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, hauling in just 76.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 15th percentile.

u2.5 -185
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RECEPTIONS MADE
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.96 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-12.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.96 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-12.5% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. With a sizeable 91.0% Route% (87th percentile) last year, George Pickens places among the wideouts with the most usage in the league.. In this game, George Pickens is expected by the predictive model to land in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 7.8 targets.. George Pickens ranks as one of the best WRs in the NFL last year, averaging a terrific 5.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 96th percentile.

o4.5 -159
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PASSING ATTEMPTS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts
33.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

33.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

u33.5 -115
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PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions
19.17 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
1.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.17 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
1.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. Last year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a colossal 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the largest rate in the league.

o18.5 -115
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PASSING COMPLETIONS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions
22.50 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-7.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.50 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-7.94% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Dak Prescott has attempted 34.1 passes per game last year, grading out in the 98th percentile among QBs.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's group of CBs has been very bad last year, ranking as the 9th-worst in the league.

o22.5 -105
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.49 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.49 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. Last year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a colossal 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the largest rate in the league.. Last year, the shaky Cowboys defense has conceded a whopping 1.53 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the worst rate in the NFL.

+170
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.48 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
George Pickens logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
G. Pickens (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.48 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. With an exceptional 21.0% Red Zone Target Rate (87th percentile) last year, George Pickens has been as one of the wideouts with the highest volume near the end zone in football.. George Pickens has notched a whopping 97.0 air yards per game last year: 94th percentile among WRs.. George Pickens has been in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 56.1 figure last year.

+170
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.76 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.76 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. With an elite 12.0% Red Zone Target Share (86th percentile) last year, Javonte Williams places among the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.. With a terrific ratio of 0.12 per game through the air (86th percentile), Javonte Williams rates among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to RBs last year.. Last year, the shaky New York Giants pass defense has allowed a whopping 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-largest rate in the league.

-160
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. Our trusted projections expect Isaiah Likely to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the end zone this week (20.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been last year (13.7% in games he has played).. Isaiah Likely ranks in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends last year with a remarkable 10.1% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

+300
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.33 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.33 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Jake Ferguson has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.1% last year, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.. As it relates to air yards, Jake Ferguson grades out in the towering 82nd percentile among tight ends last year, averaging a monstrous 29.0 per game.. Jake Ferguson's 32.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in football: 80th percentile for TEs.

+250
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 130.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.6 per game) last year.. Last year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a colossal 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the largest rate in the league.

+108
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.38% EV

ANALYSIS

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys last year (a colossal 60.6 per game on average).. Dak Prescott has been among the top TD throwers in football last year, averaging a stellar 1.67 per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's group of CBs has been very bad last year, ranking as the 9th-worst in the league.

+750
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INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the New York Giants as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects Jaxson Dart to attempt 32.0 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.. Jaxson Dart has logged a lowly 0.31 interceptions per game last year, ranking in the 92nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Dallas's collection of CBs has been terrific last year, projecting as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u0.5 -115
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