New York Jets

3rd in AFC East (4 - 10 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 22 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Davante Adams Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Jets

D. Adams
wide receiver WR • N.Y. Jets
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5
Best Odds
Under
-140

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.5 per game) this year. Davante Adams has been a much smaller piece of his team's air attack this season (28.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (35.2%). The Rams pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57.9%) vs. WRs this year (57.9%).

Davante Adams

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.5 per game) this year. Davante Adams has been a much smaller piece of his team's air attack this season (28.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (35.2%). The Rams pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57.9%) vs. WRs this year (57.9%).

All Matchup props

Puka Nacua Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
7.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Under
-146

A running game script is implied by the Rams being a 3-point favorite in this game. Puka Nacua has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (68.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (91.7%). When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year. The Jets pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.6%) to wideouts this year (62.6%).

Puka Nacua

Prop: 7.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
7.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.1

A running game script is implied by the Rams being a 3-point favorite in this game. Puka Nacua has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (68.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (91.7%). When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year. The Jets pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.6%) to wideouts this year (62.6%).

All Matchup props

Breece Hall Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Jets

B. Hall
running back RB • N.Y. Jets
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Under
-145

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.5 per game) this year. Breece Hall's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 85.1% to 76.5%. When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Los Angeles's DE corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

Breece Hall

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.5 per game) this year. Breece Hall's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 85.1% to 76.5%. When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Los Angeles's DE corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

All Matchup props

Tyler Conklin Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Jets

T. Conklin
tight end TE • N.Y. Jets
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Under
-141
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Under
-141
Projection Rating

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.5 per game) this year. This year, the daunting Rams defense has given up a paltry 72.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 9th-smallest rate in football. When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Los Angeles's DE corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

Tyler Conklin

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.2

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.5 per game) this year. This year, the daunting Rams defense has given up a paltry 72.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 9th-smallest rate in football. When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Los Angeles's DE corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

All Matchup props

Kyren Williams Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 133.3 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. Kyren Williams's 88.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates an impressive boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 68.1% rate. As it relates to defensive ends pass-rushing, New York's unit has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the league.

Kyren Williams

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.8
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.8

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 133.3 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. Kyren Williams's 88.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates an impressive boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 68.1% rate. As it relates to defensive ends pass-rushing, New York's unit has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the league.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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