Philadelphia Eagles

Picks

Barkley caught all four passes his way for 27 yards in the NFC Divisional Round. So far in 2025, he’s seen his share of routes, especially in the win over Dallas in Week 1. Philadelphia couldn’t get Barkley going in that opener (just 3.3 ypc), so it found other ways to put the ball in his hands. He was targeted five times for four receptions and 24 yards. Before the playoff matchups with Los Angeles in January, these foes clashed in Week 12. The Eagles jumped on Barkley’s back, with the RB rumbling for 255 yards but adding 47 receiving yards on 4-for-4 receiving. Projections for Barkley this Sunday range from 17 to 22.4 receiving yards versus the Rams.

The Rams rank second in EPA allowed, with an emphasis on the passing defense. That success stems from the pass rush, which is getting excellent pressure with just the front four. Being able to collapse the pocket with just four pass rushers allows L.A.’s LBs to spy QB Jalen Hurts as well as clog up the passing lanes and sniff out shorter throws. And that’s when Hurts drops back. This Philadelphia offense is still anchored in the run.

The Philadelphia Eagles are listed as 3-point favorites at Pinnacle, but I believe the spread should be closer to Eagles -6.5. This is a tough spot for the Los Angeles Rams, who will be on the East Coast playing outdoors for the second straight week. Their offense looks much more comfortable at home in a dome, but on the road—with crowd noise, outdoor conditions, and one of the league’s best pass rushes—it’s a different story. The Eagles’ offensive line is capable of neutralizing Jared Verse, which will force the Rams’ secondary to shoulder even more of the defensive load.

Blake Corum saw a bigger role last week, playing 30% of the snaps and closing out the game with a goal-line touchdown in the fourth quarter. Kyren Williams is coming off a 351-carry season and is averaging just 3.8 yards per carry through two games. Certainly not explosive. Of the five carries inside the 10-yard line this year, Corum has two (for five yards and a TD), while Williams has three (for eight yards and a TD). Both are trusted inside the 5-yard line. Head coach Sean McVay also said after the game that the 70/30 split between Williams and Corum is “much more in alignment” with how he wants the backfield to look going forward.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average).. Jalen Hurts's throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 68.3% to 77.2%.. Since the start of last season, the anemic Rams defense has conceded the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing teams: a massive 4.88 YAC.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average).. This week, A.J. Brown is predicted by the model to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.4 targets.. With an excellent 71.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, A.J. Brown stands as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a whopping 59.5 per game on average).. This week, Saquon Barkley is expected by the projection model to place in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.5 targets.. The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 8.08 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call only 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.. The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this game.. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Philadelphia Eagles, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about air yards, Kyren Williams grades out in the lowly 15th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing just -2.0 per game.. The Rams O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. Saquon Barkley's 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a meaningful reduction in his rushing ability over last season's 5.5 mark.. The Rams safeties rank as the 7th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. The model projects the Eagles to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.5% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. With a stellar record of 43.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (93rd percentile), Jalen Hurts has been among the leading rushing quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season.. The Los Angeles Rams defense owns the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, surrendering 4.66 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this game.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.. The Rams safeties rank as the 7th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to run on 38.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call only 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.. The model projects Kyren Williams to be a much smaller part of his team's ground game in this game (66.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (77.0% in games he has played).. The Philadelphia defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to run on 38.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call only 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast Matthew Stafford to total 1.7 carries this week, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Matthew Stafford is not a mobile QB and has accounted for a lowly 4.8% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 23rd percentile among quarterbacks.