Philadelphia Eagles

Picks

Buffalo has been strong against tight ends, but the price here makes this worth a look. Harold Fannin found the end zone against this defense last week on six targets and four catches, showing that scoring opportunities can still exist at the position. Dallas Goedert doesn’t need to win as a traditional inline tight end to get there. We saw that in Week 15, when both of his touchdowns came on creative usage near the goal line, including a shuffle pass in close. After that two-touchdown game, Goedert was priced around +190 last week. He scored again, yet his touchdown number has somehow drifted roughly 45 cents longer in a spot where Philadelphia may need more from him and the passing game. At +200 or better, Goedert remains a buy in virtually any matchup.

The Eagles didn't pull away from the Washington Commanders in Week 16 until third-string QB Josh Johnson entered the game, and Philly ranked 27th in offensive DVOA while generating the ninth-lowest EPA per play over the prior six weeks. So, with the Bills rattling off four consecutive wins and sporting a 6-1 record at Highmark Stadium, I don't think the Eagles can put enough points on the board to cover the number in Week 17.