Philadelphia Eagles
Picks

1st in NFC East (8 - 4 - 0)

Next Game

PHIPhiladelphia

LACL.A. Chargers

Mon, Dec 8 20:15 ET

PHI @ LAC Picks

NFL Picks

Score a Touchdown

A.J. Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: +180)

Best Odds

+180

Pick made: 14 hours ago

+180

AJ Brown’s production is fully back. He has six red-zone targets over his last three games, with at least one in each. The offense hasn’t been lighting up the scoreboard, but Brown was one of the most heavily targeted players last week with 12 looks, converting them into 10 catches and two touchdowns — giving him three scores over his last two games. He was +155 to score last week, and instead of adjusting his number down, the market has gone the other way. Now he gets an indoor matchup with an offense looking to respond after a holiday letdown. His fair price should be around +150.

Rushing Yards

Jalen Hurts o27.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Best Odds

o26.5 -114

Pick made: yesterday

o29.5 -108

o28.5 -110

o26.5 -114

o28.5 -110

o28.5 -114

The Eagles offense is sputtering, and fingers are pointing everywhere, including the press asking why Jalen Hurts isn’t running the ball as much. This offense is at its best when Hurts gets going on the ground and times are getting desperate. He’s had more than seven carries only once in the past eight games and has topped out at 33 rushing yards in that span. The Chargers zone heavy scheme isn’t allowing anything over the top and we could see Hurts forced to run with limited looks downfield. We’ve seen the Bolts give up gains on the ground to nimble QBs like Mahomes, Nix, Dart and Daniels. Projections for Hurts at 34 yards and higher with a ceiling of 42.

Passing Completions

Jalen Hurts o17.5 Passing Completions (-115)

Projection 19.75 (Over)

Best Odds

o17.5 -115

Pick made: 10 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o17.5 -121

o17.5 -115

o17.5 -128

o17.5 -115

o17.5 -130

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

-115 at bet365

Passing Yards

Jalen Hurts o187.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 211.08 (Over)

Best Odds

o187.5 -114

Pick made: 2 days ago

EV Model Rating

o191.5 -112

o192.5 -110

o187.5 -114

o192.5 -115

o189.5 -115

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

-114 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Justin Herbert o209.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 225.06 (Over)

Best Odds

o203.5 -110

Pick made: 16 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o209.5 -111

o203.5 -110

o209.5 -114

o203.5 -115

o206.5 -114

The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.. At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline.. Justin Herbert has attempted 34.1 throws per game this year, grading out in the 87th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

-110 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Dallas Goedert o26.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 40.28 (Over)

Best Odds

o26.5 -110

Pick made: 15 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o30.5 -109

o26.5 -110

o26.5 -115

o28.5 -121

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. In this week's contest, Dallas Goedert is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.6 targets.. Dallas Goedert has accrued a massive 39.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. The Chargers linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

-110 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Oronde Gadsden o33.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 44.42 (Over)

Best Odds

o33.5 -110

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o36.5 -114

o33.5 -110

o33.5 -115

o34.5 -118

The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.. At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline.. The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

-110 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Ladd McConkey o50.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Projection 60.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o47.5 -110

Pick made: 11 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o53.5 -110

o50.5 -120

o51.5 -114

o47.5 -110

o50.5 -125

The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.. At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline.. The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

-110 at BetMGM

Receiving Yards

A.J. Brown o60.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 67.99 (Over)

Best Odds

o60.5 -110

Pick made: 10 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o60.5 -113

o60.5 -110

o60.5 -114

o60.5 -115

o60.5 -120

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. In this week's game, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the projections to land in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 8.5 targets.. A.J. Brown has accrued a colossal 91.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among WRs.

-110 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Saquon Barkley o16.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 20.22 (Over)

Best Odds

o16.5 -110

Pick made: 20 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o16.5 -111

o16.5 -110

o16.5 -115

o16.5 -114

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The projections expect Saquon Barkley to total 3.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.. Saquon Barkley has put up a staggering 3.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. With a terrific 20.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (85th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley has been as one of the top running backs in the pass game in the NFL.. The Chargers linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

-110 at bet365

Rushing Yards

Jalen Hurts o29.5 Rushing Yards (-108)

Projection 42.57 (Over)

Best Odds

o26.5 -114

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o29.5 -108

o28.5 -110

o26.5 -114

o28.5 -110

o28.5 -114

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 5th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to garner 9.5 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks.. Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack in this contest (31.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.0% in games he has played).

-114 at FanDuel

Rushing Attempts

Jalen Hurts o7.5 Rushing Attempts (+116)

Projection 9.33 (Over)

Best Odds

o6.5 -135

Pick made: 15 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o7.5 -106

o6.5 -135

o7.5 +116

o6.5 -145

o7.5 +105

-135 at bet365

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Total

61% picking Philadelphia vs L.A. Chargers to go Over

61% 61%

39% 39%

Total PicksPHI 242, LAC 152

Total

Over

Under

Total

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PHI @ LAC Picks

Consensus Picks

61% picking Philadelphia vs L.A. Chargers to go Over

Top User Picks

'skunty4' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+3.0)

'skunty4' picks Philadelphia vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (40.5)

'rwatterworth' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-2.5)

'Kansas2014' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-2.5)

'Kansas2014' picks Philadelphia vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (40.5)

'rwatterworth' picks Philadelphia vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (40.5)

'CigarSt22' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-2.5)

'CigarSt22' picks Philadelphia vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (42.5)

'robert78lodz' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+2.5)

'Kozman06' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-3.0)

'Kozman06' picks Philadelphia vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (41.5)

'Hoosier' picks Philadelphia vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (40.5)

'bostonutah' picks Philadelphia vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (40.5)

'bostonutah' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+2.5)

'Hoosier' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+2.5)

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