With the offense (and defense) beat up, the Green Bay Packers should lean on star RB Josh Jacobs, who has logged 17+ carries in each of his last six competitive games — with exceptions being six carries in Week 18 (where the backups played the second half) and 13 carries in a 34-0 blowout win in Week 16 (he was rested early) — in an effort both to protect a banged-up Jordan Love... but also keep Saquon Barkley and the Eagles offense off the field.
We have two of the more run-heavy playbooks doing battle in Philadelphia, which means short gains with the clock running — a recipe for Under results. The Eagles and Packers sit No. 1 and No. 3 respectively in rushing play percentage. What’s more, you have elite defenses (No. 3 and No. 4 in EPA allowed per play) that protect against the pass, especially Philadelphia, which has allowed the second-fewest passes of 20+ yards on the season. The Eagles have found their sweet spot in Vic Fangio’s tricky defensive schemes, coming a long way since that Week 1 meeting with the Packers in Brazil. This has been the best stop unit in the NFL since Week 10 and has given up more than 20 points at home only twice this season (2-6 O/U at Lincoln Financial Field).