Pittsburgh Steelers

1st in AFC North (9 - 7 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Jan 4 20:20 ET

BAL @ PIT Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o200.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 207.97 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A running game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Aaron Rodgers's throwing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.8% to 66.8%.
Receiving Yards
Kenneth Gainwell logo
Kenneth Gainwell o27.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 41.72 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A running game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. Our trusted projections expect Kenneth Gainwell to notch 7.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.. The leading projections forecast Kenneth Gainwell to be much more involved in his team's pass attack in this game (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.6% in games he has played).
Receiving Yards
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pat Freiermuth o31.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 35.14 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A running game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The projections expect Pat Freiermuth to earn 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs.. The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Rushing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o0.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Projection 2.61 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
Derrick Henry logo
Derrick Henry u96.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 85.67 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Ravens will be starting backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.. Derrick Henry has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (92.0) this year than he did last year (118.0).. The Steelers defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 4.11 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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61% picking Baltimore

61%
39%

Total Picks BAL 171, PIT 108

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BAL
PIT

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'stom5900' is picking Baltimore to cover (-3.0)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +8450 units on the season.

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BAL
PIT
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'stom5900' picks Baltimore vs Pittsburgh to go Over (42.5)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +8450 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'bugsy1958' is picking Baltimore to cover (-3.0)

bugsy1958 is #5 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6050 units on the season.

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'bugsy1958' picks Baltimore vs Pittsburgh to go Over (41.0)

bugsy1958 is #5 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6050 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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