San Francisco 49ers

4th in NFC West (6 - 8 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 22 16:25 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tyreek Hill Receptions Made Props • Miami

T. Hill
wide receiver WR • Miami
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Under
-143

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.7 per game) this year. Tyreek Hill's 60.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 77.5. Tyreek Hill's 4.7 adjusted catches per game this year represents a material decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 7.4 mark. Tyreek Hill's 65.1% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 71.2% rate.

Tyreek Hill

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.2

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.7 per game) this year. Tyreek Hill's 60.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 77.5. Tyreek Hill's 4.7 adjusted catches per game this year represents a material decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 7.4 mark. Tyreek Hill's 65.1% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 71.2% rate.

All Matchup props

De'Von Achane Receptions Made Props • Miami

D. Achane
running back RB • Miami
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Under
-124
Prop
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Under
-124
Projection Rating

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.7 per game) this year. The 49ers linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

De'Von Achane

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.6

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.7 per game) this year. The 49ers linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

All Matchup props

Jauan Jennings Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

J. Jennings
wide receiver WR • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Over
-155

This week, Jauan Jennings is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.2 targets. Jauan Jennings's 26.1% Target Share this year signifies a significant gain in his pass game usage over last year's 8.8% rate. Jauan Jennings's receiving skills have been refined this season, compiling 5.1 adjusted catches compared to a measly 1.6 last season. Jauan Jennings's 71.4% Adjusted Catch% this season represents an impressive gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 64.5% mark. The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.7%) to WRs this year (69.7%).

Jauan Jennings

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.4

This week, Jauan Jennings is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.2 targets. Jauan Jennings's 26.1% Target Share this year signifies a significant gain in his pass game usage over last year's 8.8% rate. Jauan Jennings's receiving skills have been refined this season, compiling 5.1 adjusted catches compared to a measly 1.6 last season. Jauan Jennings's 71.4% Adjusted Catch% this season represents an impressive gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 64.5% mark. The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.7%) to WRs this year (69.7%).

All Matchup props

George Kittle Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

G. Kittle
tight end TE • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Over
-145

In this week's contest, George Kittle is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.9 targets. George Kittle's 50.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 97th percentile for TEs. George Kittle's 5.1 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a meaningful progression in his receiving skills over last season's 4.0 figure. George Kittle's 83.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a material improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 72.7% mark. The Dolphins linebackers project as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

George Kittle

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.1
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.1

In this week's contest, George Kittle is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.9 targets. George Kittle's 50.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 97th percentile for TEs. George Kittle's 5.1 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a meaningful progression in his receiving skills over last season's 4.0 figure. George Kittle's 83.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a material improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 72.7% mark. The Dolphins linebackers project as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

All Matchup props

Jonnu Smith Receptions Made Props • Miami

J. Smith
tight end TE • Miami
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-109

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 61.7% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week. The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game. In this week's contest, Jonnu Smith is forecasted by the projection model to find himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs with 8.2 targets. Jonnu Smith's 38.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 28.8. Jonnu Smith's 5.0 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a substantial gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 3.3 mark.

Jonnu Smith

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.7

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 61.7% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week. The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game. In this week's contest, Jonnu Smith is forecasted by the projection model to find himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs with 8.2 targets. Jonnu Smith's 38.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 28.8. Jonnu Smith's 5.0 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a substantial gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 3.3 mark.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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