Seattle Seahawks
Picks

1st in NFC West (12 - 3 - 0)

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at

Sun, Dec 28 13:00 ET

SEA @ CAR Picks

Receptions Made

Rico Dowdle u2.5 Receptions Made (+105)

Projection 2.21 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The model projects the Panthers to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.8% pass rate.. The predictive model expects the Panthers to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.3%) vs. running backs this year (79.3%).. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's unit has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the NFL.

Passing Yards

Sam Darnold u235.5 Passing Yards (-111)

Projection 225.39 (Under)

Best Odds

u235.5 -111

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u235.5 -111

u230.5 -110

u225.5 -114

u230.5 -115

u226.5 -114

The Seahawks are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.. The projections expect the Seahawks as the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.. The Seahawks have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.4 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to throw 31.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

-111 at DraftKings

Interceptions Thrown

Sam Darnold u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+126)

Projection 0.44 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 21 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Seahawks are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.. The projections expect the Seahawks as the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.. The Seahawks have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.4 plays per game.. Carolina's defense profiles as the 8th-best in football this year as it relates to forcing interceptions, totaling 0.87 per game.

+126 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Ja'Tavion Sanders o13.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 19.56 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.. This year, the anemic Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered a colossal 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Receiving Yards

AJ Barner o31.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 39.48 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.7%) to tight ends this year (79.7%).. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus TEs this year, yielding 8.88 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.

Receiving Yards

Tetairoa McMillan o54.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 60.04 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Rushing Yards

Rico Dowdle o41.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 58.53 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused offense in the league (42.2% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Panthers.. In this week's game, Rico Dowdle is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 80th percentile among RBs with 14.6 carries.. Out of all running backs, Rico Dowdle grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 55.2% of the workload in his offense's run game.. With an impressive record of 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), Rico Dowdle places among the best pure rushers in the league this year.

Rushing Yards

Bryce Young o14.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 20.42 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused offense in the league (42.2% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Panthers.. Bryce Young's ground effectiveness (6.37 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (79th percentile among QBs).

Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker III o54.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 60.62 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Seahawks are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to run on 47.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects Kenneth Walker III to total 14.1 carries in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Kenneth Walker III has averaged 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to running backs (84th percentile).. This year, the imposing Carolina Panthers run defense has given up a mere 4.82 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 23rd-lowest rate in the NFL.

Rushing Attempts

Sam Darnold u2.5 Rushing Attempts (+100)

Projection 2.1 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.. The Seahawks have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.4 plays per game.. In this week's contest, Sam Darnold is anticipated by our trusted projection set to garner the 6th-fewest carries among all QBs with 2.3. . After taking on 10.9% of his team's rush attempts last year, Sam Darnold has had a smaller role in the run game this year, currently accounting for only 4.9%.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Total

65% picking Seattle vs Carolina to go Over

65% 65%

35% 35%

Total PicksSEA 94, CAR 51

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Under

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Top User Picks

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'liveactiondockery' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.5)

liveactiondockery is #3 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (6-4-1) and +6200 units on the season.

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'teslaxyz' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.5)

teslaxyz is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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'teslaxyz' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Under (42.5)

teslaxyz is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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'samua' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.5)

samua is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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'cryhavoc' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.0)

cryhavoc is #8 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'cryhavoc' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Under (42.5)

cryhavoc is #8 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'samua' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Over (42.5)

samua is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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