Seattle Seahawks
Picks

2nd in NFC West (10 - 3 - 0)

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INDIndianapolis

at

Sun, Dec 14 16:25 ET

IND @ SEA Picks

Touchdowns

Michael Pittman Jr. o0.5 Touchdowns (+475)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

There are plenty of unknowns with this Indy offense, but all the wideouts are sitting at +450 or longer, which is hard to ignore whether it’s Riley Leonard or Philip Rivers starting. When Daniel Jones went down last week, Leonard stepped in and threw 10 of his 29 attempts to Michael Pittman. That’s serious volume. The matchup in Seattle isn’t ideal, but Leonard is expected to practice this week, and that level of target share paired with a +475 price is an easy play for me. Even Alec Pierce at +675 is appealing.

Touchdowns

Rashid Shaheed o0.5 Touchdowns (+285)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 days ago

Shaheed starting to find his way in this Seahawks game plan after coming to Seattle at the trade deadline. He had his biggest receiving day against Atlanta last week, with four grabs on five catches for 67 yards but his results have been tempered by a schedule loaded with zone defenses – which is something the speedy Shaheed struggles against. Against Indy, however, he takes on man-centric schemes and his grades spike in one-on-one coverage. What’s more the Colts could be down both starting corners in Gardiner and Ward. With JSN drawing double, Shaheed is ripe to rip some backups for a TD in Week 15.

Total

u42.5 (-105)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 days ago

The Under is getting 50% of the money despite only 43% of the bets.

Spread

SEA -11.5 (-105)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 days ago

The Seahawks are getting 80% of the money despite only 68% of the bets.

Passing Yards

Sam Darnold u233.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 225.97 (Under)

Best Odds

u233.5 -110

Pick made: 20 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u229.5 -111

u233.5 -110

u229.5 -114

u233.5 -115

u230.5 -115

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a giant 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 50.3% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.00 seconds per play.. Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 30.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.. Sam Darnold has thrown for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (213.0) this season than he did last season (256.0).

Receiving Yards

Michael Pittman Jr. o31.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 44.81 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Riley Leonard.. The Colts are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.. The projections expect Michael Pittman to total 7.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Tyler Warren o33.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 44.58 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 22 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Riley Leonard.. The Colts are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

AJ Barner o28.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 34.21 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 22 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.2 per game) this year.. The Indianapolis Colts defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (68.0) to TEs this year.. This year, the weak Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a massive 8.35 yards.. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Kenneth Walker III o12.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 14.88 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 22 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.2 per game) this year.. Kenneth Walker III's 7.2 adjusted yards per target this season represents a noteable boost in his receiving ability over last season's 6.1 figure.. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Jaxon Smith-Njigba u96.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 91.12 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 21 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a giant 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 50.3% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.00 seconds per play.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows an impressive diminishment in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 4.6% figure.

Receiving Yards

Jonathan Taylor o13.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 15.68 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 16 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Riley Leonard.. The Colts are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.. With a remarkable 70.6% Route Participation% (96th percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the league.

Rushing Yards

Jonathan Taylor o74.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 90.51 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The projections expect Jonathan Taylor to accrue 21.1 carries this week, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.. Jonathan Taylor has garnered 82.5% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among RBs.. With a fantastic record of 101.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Jonathan Taylor places among the leading running backs in the league this year.. Jonathan Taylor's rushing effectiveness has gotten better this year, averaging 5.74 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 4.61 rate last year.. Jonathan Taylor has made strides in picking up extra ground yardage this season, notching 3.94 yards-after-contact vs a 2.68 mark last season.

Rushing Yards

Sam Darnold o2.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 6.67 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a giant 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 49.7% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. Sam Darnold's 6.93 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year marks a substantial growth in his running talent over last year's 5.20 figure.. The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker III o60.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 66.44 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 15 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a giant 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 49.7% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. In this week's game, Kenneth Walker III is projected by the model to rank in the 85th percentile among running backs with 15.9 rush attempts.. With an exceptional rate of 56.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (83rd percentile), Kenneth Walker III rates among the leading running backs in football this year.. Kenneth Walker III's 4.6 adjusted yards per carry this year shows a noteable boost in his rushing talent over last year's 3.6 mark.

-110 at DraftKings

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Spread

61% picking Seattle

39% 39%

61% 61%

Total Picks IND 248, SEA 393

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IND

SEA

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Top User Picks

More Picks

Spread

'any007' is picking Seattle to cover (-10.5)

any007 is #10 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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IND

SEA

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'any007' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (43.5)

any007 is #10 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

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'bluetide007' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+3.5)

bluetide007 is #2 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (8-5-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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IND

SEA

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'bluetide007' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Under (46.5)

bluetide007 is #2 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (8-5-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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Under

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'dispnum1' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

dispnum1 is #2 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (10-2-1) and +6200 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

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'dispnum1' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+14.0)

dispnum1 is #2 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (10-2-1) and +6200 units on the season.

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IND

SEA

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'fttrdoyle' is picking Seattle to cover (-3.5)

fttrdoyle is #3 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5250 units on the season.

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IND

SEA

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'fttrdoyle' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Under (46.5)

fttrdoyle is #3 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5250 units on the season.

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Over

Under

Total

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'Busch Light' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

Busch Light is #3 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-1) and +6200 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

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'Busch Light' is picking Seattle to cover (-13.5)

Busch Light is #3 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-1) and +6200 units on the season.

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IND

SEA

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'jessestars' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

jessestars is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +6200 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

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'jessestars' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+11.5)

jessestars is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +6200 units on the season.

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IND

SEA

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'bigblue' is picking Seattle to cover (-14.0)

bigblue is #6 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

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IND

SEA

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'cfox69' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

cfox69 is #7 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

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'cfox69' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+13.5)

cfox69 is #7 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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IND

SEA

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