Seattle Seahawks

2nd in NFC West (10 - 3 - 0)

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INDIndianapolis Indianapolis
at
Seattle SEASeattle
Sun, Dec 14 16:25 ET

IND @ SEA Picks

NFL Picks
Score First Touchdown
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo Jaxon Smith-Njigba Score First Touchdown (Yes: +500)
Best Odds
 +500 Caesars
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst
 +475
 +400
 +420
 +450
 +500

JSN has five TDs in five games.

Touchdowns
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo Jaxon Smith-Njigba o0.5 Touchdowns (-120)
Best Odds
o0.5 +100 BetMGM
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Jeremy Jones image
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst
o0.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  -115
o0.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +100
o0.5  -110
These are quick bet odds

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has caught eight touchdowns this season from wide alignment, and the Colts have allowed 13 touchdowns to players from that exact alignment. 

Read Full Analysis
Touchdowns
Michael Pittman Jr. logo Michael Pittman Jr. o0.5 Touchdowns (+475)
Best Odds
o0.5 +500 DraftKings
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
o0.5  +500
o0.5  +500
o0.5  +490
o0.5  +400
o0.5  +475

There are plenty of unknowns with this Indy offense, but all the wideouts are sitting at +450 or longer, which is hard to ignore whether it’s Riley Leonard or Philip Rivers starting. When Daniel Jones went down last week, Leonard stepped in and threw 10 of his 29 attempts to Michael Pittman. That’s serious volume. The matchup in Seattle isn’t ideal, but Leonard is expected to practice this week, and that level of target share paired with a +475 price is an easy play for me. Even Alec Pierce at +675 is appealing.

Touchdowns
Rashid Shaheed logo Rashid Shaheed o0.5 Touchdowns (+285)
Best Odds
o0.5 +325 BetMGM
Pick made: 3 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
o0.5  +290
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +280
o0.5  +280
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +325
o0.5  +290
These are quick bet odds

Shaheed starting to find his way in this Seahawks game plan after coming to Seattle at the trade deadline. He had his biggest receiving day against Atlanta last week, with four grabs on five catches for 67 yards but his results have been tempered by a schedule loaded with zone defenses – which is something the speedy Shaheed struggles against. Against Indy, however, he takes on man-centric schemes and his grades spike in one-on-one coverage. What’s more the Colts could be down both starting corners in Gardiner and Ward. With JSN drawing double, Shaheed is ripe to rip some backups for a TD in Week 15.

Receptions Made
Jonathan Taylor logo
Jonathan Taylor u2.5 Receptions Made (+121)
Projection 2.21 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 +121 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u2.5  +121
These are quick bet odds
u2.5  +120
u2.5  +104
These are quick bet odds
u2.5  +120
These are quick bet odds
u2.5  +115
These are quick bet odds
The projections expect the Colts to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 54.8 plays per game.. This year, the strong Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a mere 78.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.
+121 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Completions
PR
Philip Rivers o16.5 Passing Completions (-130)
Projection 20 (Over)
Best Odds
o16.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o16.5  -110
o16.5  -114
o16.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
o16.5  -118
The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. In this week's contest, Philip Rivers is projected by the projections to total the 9th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.3. . The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.
-110 at bet365
Passing Attempts
PR
Philip Rivers o27.5 Passing Attempts (-115)
Projection 33.35 (Over)
Best Odds
o27.5 +102 FanDuel
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
o27.5  +102
o27.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. In this week's contest, Philip Rivers is projected by the projections to total the 9th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.3. . The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.
+102 at FanDuel
Passing Yards
Sam Darnold logo
Sam Darnold u233.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 226.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u233.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u227.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
u233.5  -110
u229.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u233.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u229.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a giant 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 50.4% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 127.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.. The Seahawks have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 30.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Michael Pittman Jr. logo
Michael Pittman Jr. o31.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 47.18 (Over)
Best Odds
o31.5 -112 DraftKings
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o31.5  -112
o33.5  -110
o31.5  -114
o33.5  -115
o31.5  -117
The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.. The projections expect Michael Pittman to total 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
-112 at DraftKings
Receiving Yards
TW
Tyler Warren o36.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
Projection 46.98 (Over)
Best Odds
o34.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o36.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
o34.5  -110
o35.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o35.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
AJ Barner logo
AJ Barner o30.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 36.53 (Over)
Best Odds
o24.5 -225 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o30.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -110
o30.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o24.5  -225
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.2 per game) this year.. The Indianapolis Colts defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (68.0) to TEs this year.. This year, the weak Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a massive 8.35 yards.. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.
-225 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Jonathan Taylor logo
Jonathan Taylor u19.5 Receiving Yards (-116)
Projection 16.44 (Under)
Best Odds
u19.5 -116 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u19.5  -116
These are quick bet odds
u16.5  -105
u16.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u14.5  +100
These are quick bet odds
u16.5  +107
These are quick bet odds
The projections expect the Colts to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 54.8 plays per game.. Jonathan Taylor has accrued a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 14th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Jonathan Taylor's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a significant drop-off in his effectiveness in space over last season's 8.3% mark.. This year, the strong Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a mere 78.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.
-116 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Jaxon Smith-Njigba u97.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 91.19 (Under)
Best Odds
u97.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u97.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u97.5  -110
u96.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u97.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u97.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a giant 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 50.4% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 127.0 plays on offense called: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.. The Seahawks have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows an impressive diminishment in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 4.6% figure.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Kenneth Walker III logo
Kenneth Walker III o12.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Projection 14.68 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -108 DraftKings
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o12.5  -108
o14.5  -110
o12.5  -114
o14.5  -110
o12.5  -115
The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.2 per game) this year.. Kenneth Walker III's 7.2 adjusted yards per target this season represents a noteable boost in his receiving ability over last season's 6.1 figure.. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.
-108 at DraftKings

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

61% picking Seattle

39%
61%

Total Picks IND 335, SEA 529

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'kriskro' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+13.5)

kriskro is #1 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108
Total

'kriskro' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (43.0)

kriskro is #1 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -137
42 -109
Total

'any007' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (43.5)

any007 is #10 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -137
42 -109
Spread

'any007' is picking Seattle to cover (-10.5)

any007 is #10 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108
Spread

'bluetide007' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+3.5)

bluetide007 is #2 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (8-5-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108
Total

'bluetide007' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Under (46.5)

bluetide007 is #2 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (8-5-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -137
42 -109
Total

'dispnum1' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

dispnum1 is #2 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (10-2-1) and +6200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -137
42 -109
Spread

'dispnum1' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+14.0)

dispnum1 is #2 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (10-2-1) and +6200 units on the season.

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108
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'fttrdoyle' is picking Seattle to cover (-3.5)

fttrdoyle is #3 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5250 units on the season.

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108
Total

'fttrdoyle' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Under (46.5)

fttrdoyle is #3 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -137
42 -109
Total

'Busch Light' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

Busch Light is #3 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-1) and +6200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -137
42 -109
Spread

'Busch Light' is picking Seattle to cover (-13.5)

Busch Light is #3 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-1) and +6200 units on the season.

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108
Total

'jessestars' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

jessestars is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +6200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -137
42 -109
Spread

'jessestars' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+11.5)

jessestars is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +6200 units on the season.

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108
Spread

'bigblue' is picking Seattle to cover (-14.0)

bigblue is #6 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108
Total

'cfox69' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

cfox69 is #7 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -137
42 -109
Spread

'cfox69' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+13.5)

cfox69 is #7 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108
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'Fyourself' is picking Seattle to cover (-13.5)

Fyourself is #7 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (8-2-1) and +5750 units on the season.

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108
Total

'Fyourself' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (43.0)

Fyourself is #7 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (8-2-1) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -137
42 -109
Spread

'JamesGang' is picking Seattle to cover (-13.5)

JamesGang is #8 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Spread
IND
SEA
Spread
+14.5 -122
-13.5 -108
Total

'JamesGang' picks Indianapolis vs Seattle to go Over (41.5)

JamesGang is #8 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -137
42 -109

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