Seattle Seahawks
Picks

1st in NFC West (12 - 3 - 0)

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Sun, Dec 28 13:00 ET

SEA @ CAR Picks

Score a Touchdown

Tetairoa McMillan Score a Touchdown (Yes: +195)

Best Odds

Pick made: 13 hours ago

Seattle’s defense looked very beatable in Week 16, and if Carolina is forced into a pass-heavy script, the ball is going to Tetairoa McMillan at a massive rate. He’s seen roughly every third target when the Panthers drop back, yet this is the longest his touchdown price has been in four games despite scoring in four of his last five. There’s really only one reliable option to back in the Panthers’ passing game, and it’s McMillan. Given his role, usage, and consistency in the red zone, he’s a player I’m comfortable backing weekly at +170 or better.

Passing Yards

Sam Darnold u233.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 225.65 (Under)

Best Odds

u233.5 -110

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u225.5 -112

u233.5 -110

u225.5 -114

u233.5 -115

u227.5 -114

The Seahawks are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.. The projections expect the Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.72 seconds per play) will play at the 11th-slowest tempo among all games this week.. The Seahawks have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.4 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to throw 31.8 passes in this contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Interceptions Thrown

Sam Darnold u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+122)

Projection 0.44 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 days ago

EV Model Rating

The Seahawks are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.. The projections expect the Seahawks as the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.. The Seahawks have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.4 plays per game.. Carolina's defense profiles as the 8th-best in football this year as it relates to forcing interceptions, totaling 0.87 per game.

+122 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

AJ Barner o29.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 39.68 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.6%) to tight ends this year (79.6%).. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus TEs this year, yielding 8.85 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Ja'Tavion Sanders o14.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 19.81 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.. This year, the anemic Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered a colossal 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 7th-worst in the NFL.

Receiving Yards

Tetairoa McMillan o53.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 60.74 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Kenneth Walker III o10.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 13.41 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

With a stellar 89.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Kenneth Walker III stands as one of the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.. Kenneth Walker III's 8.3 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a material growth in his receiving skills over last season's 6.1 mark.

-114 at DraftKings

Rushing Yards

Bryce Young o14.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 21.2 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

At the present time, the 9th-most run-focused offense in the league (41.4% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Panthers.. Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack in this game (13.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.3% in games he has played).. Bryce Young's ground effectiveness (6.34 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (79th percentile among QBs).

Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker III o49.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 60.78 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Seahawks are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to run on 46.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects Kenneth Walker III to total 14.1 carries in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Kenneth Walker III has averaged 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to running backs (84th percentile).. Kenneth Walker III's 4.7 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a substantial progression in his running proficiency over last year's 3.6 mark.

-114 at FanDuel

Rushing Yards

Rico Dowdle o48.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 57.83 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

At the present time, the 9th-most run-focused offense in the league (41.4% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Panthers.. In this week's game, Rico Dowdle is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 78th percentile among RBs with 14.4 carries.. Out of all running backs, Rico Dowdle grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 55.6% of the workload in his offense's run game.. With an impressive record of 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), Rico Dowdle places among the best pure rushers in the league this year.

-114 at FanDuel

Rushing Yards

Sam Darnold o4.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 6.17 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Seahawks are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to run on 46.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. The Panthers linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

-114 at DraftKings

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Total

63% picking Seattle vs Carolina to go Over

63% 63%

37% 37%

Total PicksSEA 154, CAR 92

Total

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Under

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Top User Picks

More Picks

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'liveactiondockery' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.5)

liveactiondockery is #3 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (6-4-1) and +6200 units on the season.

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CAR

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'jessestars' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.5)

jessestars is #5 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +6100 units on the season.

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'jessestars' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Over (42.0)

jessestars is #5 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +6100 units on the season.

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'teslaxyz' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.5)

teslaxyz is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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'teslaxyz' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Under (42.5)

teslaxyz is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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'samua' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.5)

samua is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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'cryhavoc' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.0)

cryhavoc is #8 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'cryhavoc' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Under (42.5)

cryhavoc is #8 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'samua' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Over (42.5)

samua is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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