Seattle Seahawks

1st in NFC West (13 - 3 - 0)

Next Game

Sat, Jan 3 20:00 ET

SEA @ SF Picks

NFL Picks
MoneyLine
Seattle Seahawks logo SEA (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The 49ers edged the Seahawks in the season opener, but a lot has changed since. The 49ers lost their two best defenders to season-ending injuries, and Sam Darnold has developed chemistry with his new teammates. The 49ers have an explosive offense, but have struggled on defense. They are 24th in the league in defensive dropback success rate while ranking 31st in defensive rush success rate. Meanwhile, Seattle is fifth in defensive dropback success rate and third in success rate against the run. The Seahawks also have a strong offense that ranks second in the league with 29.4 ppg. Back the more balanced team to take this game and the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

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San Francisco 49ers logo SF +1.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Niners have won six straight games, prompted by the play of quarterback Brock Purdy. He’s back to being one of the most efficient arms in the NFL, ranking Top 2 in many advanced passer metrics since returning to the fray in Week 11.

Purdy is playing at an extremely high level the last three games, hovering around 300 passing yards in each outing, completing 72% of attempts, and tallying 11 passing touchdowns to two interceptions. He’s also rushed for 83 yards and two TDs in those showings.

Granted, those stats do come against some less-than-stingy defenses, but I feel much more confident in Purdy’s passing than I do with Sam Darnold right now. The Seahawks QB has shown flashes of why he’s far from elite in recent weeks, especially when it comes to ill-advised throws (four INTs the last four games). 

Score a Touchdown
Zach Charbonnet logo
Zach Charbonnet Score a Touchdown (Yes: +115)
Projection 0.69 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
As it relates to air yards, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the towering 90th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating an impressive 2.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
Score a Touchdown
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Score a Touchdown (Yes: -115)
Projection 0.67 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Our trusted projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense near the end zone in this game (31.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (26.6% in games he has played).. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accrued far more air yards this season (109.0 per game) than he did last season (73.0 per game).. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 89.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 57.6.
Passing Completions
Sam Darnold logo
Sam Darnold o19.5 Passing Completions (-120)
Projection 22.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
Sam Darnold logo
Sam Darnold o238.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 262.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a fantastic 67.7% Adjusted Completion% (87th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold ranks among the most on-target QBs in football.. Sam Darnold grades out as one of the most efficient QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 8.29 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 90th percentile.
Receiving Yards
Ricky Pearsall logo
Ricky Pearsall o41.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 54.28 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.3 per game) this year.
Receiving Yards
Kenneth Walker III logo
Kenneth Walker III o11.5 Receiving Yards (-106)
Projection 15.88 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a stellar 90.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (85th percentile) this year, Kenneth Walker III has been among the best possession receivers in the league among RBs.. Kenneth Walker III's 7.8 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching skills over last season's 6.1 rate.
Receiving Yards
Jauan Jennings logo
Jauan Jennings o44.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 51.91 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.3 per game) this year.. This week, Jauan Jennings is expected by the model to find himself in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.1 targets.
Rushing Yards
Zach Charbonnet logo
Zach Charbonnet o39.5 Rushing Yards (-145)
Projection 53.25 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Seattle Seahawks feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).. The Seahawks have been the 10th-most run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 41.4% run rate.. Zach Charbonnet has earned 39.6% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.. With a stellar tally of 42.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (75th percentile), Zach Charbonnet places among the leading pure rushers in the NFL this year.
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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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61% picking San Francisco

39%
61%

Total Picks SEA 137, SF 215

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62% picking Seattle vs San Francisco to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksSEA 144, SF 89

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Over
Under

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Wahoo8' is picking San Francisco to cover (+1.5)

Wahoo8 is #2 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +6500 units on the season.

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'Wahoo8' picks Seattle vs San Francisco to go Under (49.0)

Wahoo8 is #2 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +6500 units on the season.

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'harrisonian175' is picking Seattle to cover (+1.5)

harrisonian175 is #4 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6870 units on the season.

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'harrisonian175' picks Seattle vs San Francisco to go Over (49.5)

harrisonian175 is #4 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6870 units on the season.

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'LMS387' is picking Seattle to cover (-1.0)

LMS387 is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +6200 units on the season.

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'LMS387' picks Seattle vs San Francisco to go Over (49.0)

LMS387 is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +6200 units on the season.

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'sheffy' is picking San Francisco to cover (-1.5)

sheffy is #8 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-3-1) and +6150 units on the season.

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