Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4th in NFC South (0 - 3 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Oct 4 13:00 ET

GB @ TB Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Touchdowns
Jordan Love logo Jordan Love o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Play up to 53%. Jordan Love has thrown exactly two touchdown passes in all three games this season. Tampa Bay owns one of the NFL’s best rushing defenses, while Green Bay ranks last in rushing offense, potentially pushing even more responsibility onto Love. 

Anytime Touchdown
Christian Watson logo Christian Watson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +159)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Play up to 45%. Christian Watson has become Jordan Love’s preferred red-zone weapon, commanding 42.9% of Green Bay’s red-zone pass attempts through three games. He already has four touchdowns, including three from inside the 20.

Spread
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail GB -3.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Play up to 55%. Green Bay gets an appealing bounce-back opportunity against an 0-3 Tampa Bay team now turning to rookie Jalon Daniels with Baker Mayfield sidelined. There’s plenty of uncertainty surrounding Daniels’ first NFL start, while Jordan Love gives the Packers the far more proven option under center.

Anytime Touchdown
Bucky Irving logo Bucky Irving Score a Touchdown (Yes: +180)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Buccaneers' offense has a massive downgrade with undrafted rookie quarterback Jalon Daniels under center, but that is certainly priced into this TD prop. Bucky Irving was as short as 56% just two weeks ago, but this still seems 5% too long against a bad Packers team that can't run the ball or stop it. Irving took some snaps off last week because of a back issue but has been fine at practice this week. If the rookie gets into the red zone, Irving will be leaned on heavily, and the Packers are giving up 1.3 rushing TDs to opposing RBs, which is the highest rate in football.

3 LEG PARLAY
Emeka Egbuka profile picture
Emeka Egbuka o3.5 Receptions Made
Receptions Made
Matthew Golden profile picture
Matthew Golden o4.5 Receptions Made
Receptions Made
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5
Spread
Bet now
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

This combo leans into the expected game script. Emeka Egbuka leads Tampa Bay with 20 targets and has caught at least three passes in every game, while Matthew Golden is averaging 10 targets per contest. Pairing both reception props with a Green Bay cover gives the combo multiple compatible paths.

Passing Yards
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love o239.5 Passing Yards (-105)
Projection 239.98 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 36.2 passes in this game, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.. Jordan Love has been one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 219.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.. Opposing teams have passed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (232.0 per game) versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the poor Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a whopping 0.87 YAC.
Rushing Yards
Kaleb Johnson logo
Kaleb Johnson o34.5 Rushing Yards (+105)
Projection 48.79 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love o3.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 7.07 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects Jordan Love to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (10.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).
Rushing Yards
Bucky Irving logo
Bucky Irving o54.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 63.79 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to be the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 45.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Green Bay's DE corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.
Receiving Yards
Bucky Irving logo
Bucky Irving o12.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Projection 18.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.
Receiving Yards
Emeka Egbuka logo
Emeka Egbuka o38.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 48.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for a staggering 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-highest rate in the league.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Green Bay Packers defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a colossal 1.04 YAC.. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Green Bay's CB corps has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Cade Otton logo
Cade Otton o25.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 31.83 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Cade Otton has run a route on 84.2% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Receiving Yards
Tucker Kraft logo
Tucker Kraft o38.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 46.27 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects Tucker Kraft to earn 6.0 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among TEs.. As it relates to air yards, Tucker Kraft ranks in the towering 81st percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing a massive 29.0 per game.. With a fantastic 47.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Tucker Kraft places among the best TE receiving threats in the league.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded a monstrous 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 8th-most in football.
Receiving Yards
Kaleb Johnson logo
Kaleb Johnson o4.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 6.87 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (42.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the porous Buccaneers defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a staggering 8.67 yards.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.
Rushing Attempts
Kaleb Johnson logo
Kaleb Johnson o9.5 Rushing Attempts (+108)
Projection 12.36 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

45% picking Green Bay

45%
55%

Total Picks GB 398, TB 480

Spread
GB
TB
Total

50% picking Green Bay vs Tampa Bay to go Under

50%
50%

Total PicksGB 280, TB 275

Total
Over
Under

GB @ TB · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread
-4.35 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-4.35 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.84% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +100
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
Over 39.5 Total
41.40 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
16.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
Over 39.5 Total

PROJECTION

41.40 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
16.7% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o39.0 -107
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o239.5 Passing Yards
239.98 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
19.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o239.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

239.98 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
19.76% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 36.2 passes in this game, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.. Jordan Love has been one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 219.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.. Opposing teams have passed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (232.0 per game) versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the poor Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a whopping 0.87 YAC.

o233.5 -115
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards
48.79 OVER PROJECTION
+14.3 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

48.79 OVER PROJECTION
+14.3 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

o30.5 -117
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards
7.07 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
24.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

7.07 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
24.72% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects Jordan Love to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (10.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).

o3.5 -113
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o54.5 Rushing Yards
63.79 OVER PROJECTION
+9.3 DIFFERENCE
24.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o54.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

63.79 OVER PROJECTION
+9.3 DIFFERENCE
24.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to be the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 45.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Green Bay's DE corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.

o54.5 -114
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards
18.54 OVER PROJECTION
+6.0 DIFFERENCE
25.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

18.54 OVER PROJECTION
+6.0 DIFFERENCE
25.74% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.

o10.5 -155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) o38.5 Receiving Yards
48.57 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
25.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) o38.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

48.57 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
25.73% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for a staggering 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-highest rate in the league.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Green Bay Packers defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a colossal 1.04 YAC.. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Green Bay's CB corps has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

o35.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) o25.5 Receiving Yards
31.83 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
24.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) o25.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

31.83 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
24.2% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Cade Otton has run a route on 84.2% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

o25.5 -112
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards
46.27 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
23.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

46.27 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
23.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects Tucker Kraft to earn 6.0 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among TEs.. As it relates to air yards, Tucker Kraft ranks in the towering 81st percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing a massive 29.0 per game.. With a fantastic 47.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Tucker Kraft places among the best TE receiving threats in the league.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded a monstrous 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 8th-most in football.

o38.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards
6.87 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
22.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

6.87 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
22.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (42.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the porous Buccaneers defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a staggering 8.67 yards.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

o4.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o65.5 Receiving Yards
67.37 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o65.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

67.37 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. Christian Watson's 84.4% Route Participation Rate this year signifies an impressive growth in his pass attack volume over last year's 71.0% figure.. This week, Christian Watson is anticipated by the projections to rank in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.3 targets.. Christian Watson has put up a whopping 101.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wideouts.. With a remarkable 66.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian Watson has been among the leading pass-catching WRs in the league.

o64.5 -115
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.51% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Cade Otton has run a route on 84.2% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

o2.5 -150
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.21 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.21 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects Tucker Kraft to earn 6.0 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among TEs.. With a remarkable 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Tucker Kraft places among the leading TE receiving threats in football.. The Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.9%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (77.9%).. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

o3.5 -130
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.25% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for a staggering 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

o3.5 +120
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.65 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-10.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.65 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-10.35% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.

o2.5 -110
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.68 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-11.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.68 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-11.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. Christian Watson's 84.4% Route Participation Rate this year signifies an impressive growth in his pass attack volume over last year's 71.0% figure.. This week, Christian Watson is anticipated by the projections to rank in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.3 targets.. Christian Watson checks in as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 4.1 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

o4.5 -134
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made
0.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-14.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

0.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-14.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.1%) versus running backs since the start of last season (89.1%).. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

o0.5 -235
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts
12.36 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
23.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

12.36 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
23.79% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

o8.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts
15.81 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
16.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

15.81 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
16.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to be the 6th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 46.2% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Green Bay's DE corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.

o13.5 -114
FanDuel logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u34.5 Passing Attempts
34.31 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u34.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

34.31 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.17% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Green Bay Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.

u34.5 -124
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u21.5 Passing Completions
21.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

21.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.83% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Green Bay Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.. Jordan Love's 53.7% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteworthy decline in his throwing precision over last year's 67.1% mark.

u21.5 -130
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.18 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.18 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. With a 80.0% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL under these circumstances has been the Buccaneers.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.

+550
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.. Christian Watson has put up a whopping 101.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wideouts.. Christian Watson's 57.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 85th percentile for wide receivers.. With an outstanding ratio of 0.77 per game through the air (99th percentile), Christian Watson places as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among wide receivers since the start of last season.

+170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.09% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. With a 80.0% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL under these circumstances has been the Buccaneers.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.

+190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.. Our trusted projections expect Tucker Kraft to be a more important option in his team's passing offense near the end zone in this week's game (21.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).. As it relates to air yards, Tucker Kraft ranks in the towering 81st percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing a massive 29.0 per game.. With a stellar ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (94th percentile), Tucker Kraft ranks among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league among tight ends since the start of last season.

+265
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-3.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-3.91% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. With a 80.0% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL under these circumstances has been the Buccaneers.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.

+310
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.1%) versus running backs since the start of last season (89.1%).. Since the start of last season, the deficient Buccaneers defense has been gouged for a staggering 0.20 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing RBs: the 10th-biggest rate in the NFL.. The Buccaneers safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

+250
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-10.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-10.5% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.. The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 36.2 passes in this game, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.. With an exceptional rate of 1.53 per game (83rd percentile), Jordan Love has been among the top TD passers in the NFL since the start of last season.. Jordan Love has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest figures in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (2nd percentile).

+825
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.52% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Green Bay Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.. Tampa Bay's defense grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to generating interceptions, accumulating 0.80 per game.

u0.5 +101
DraftKings logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread
-4.35 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-4.35 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.84% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +100
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
Over 39.5 Total
41.40 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
16.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
Over 39.5 Total

PROJECTION

41.40 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
16.7% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o39.0 -107
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o239.5 Passing Yards
239.98 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
19.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o239.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

239.98 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
19.76% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 36.2 passes in this game, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.. Jordan Love has been one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 219.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.. Opposing teams have passed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (232.0 per game) versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the poor Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a whopping 0.87 YAC.

o233.5 -115
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards
48.79 OVER PROJECTION
+14.3 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

48.79 OVER PROJECTION
+14.3 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

o30.5 -117
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards
7.07 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
24.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

7.07 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
24.72% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects Jordan Love to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (10.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).

o3.5 -113
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o54.5 Rushing Yards
63.79 OVER PROJECTION
+9.3 DIFFERENCE
24.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o54.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

63.79 OVER PROJECTION
+9.3 DIFFERENCE
24.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to be the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 45.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Green Bay's DE corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.

o54.5 -114
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards
18.54 OVER PROJECTION
+6.0 DIFFERENCE
25.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

18.54 OVER PROJECTION
+6.0 DIFFERENCE
25.74% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.

o10.5 -155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) o38.5 Receiving Yards
48.57 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
25.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) o38.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

48.57 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
25.73% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for a staggering 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-highest rate in the league.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Green Bay Packers defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a colossal 1.04 YAC.. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Green Bay's CB corps has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

o35.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) o25.5 Receiving Yards
31.83 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
24.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) o25.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

31.83 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
24.2% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Cade Otton has run a route on 84.2% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

o25.5 -112
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards
46.27 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
23.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

46.27 OVER PROJECTION
+7.8 DIFFERENCE
23.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects Tucker Kraft to earn 6.0 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among TEs.. As it relates to air yards, Tucker Kraft ranks in the towering 81st percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing a massive 29.0 per game.. With a fantastic 47.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Tucker Kraft places among the best TE receiving threats in the league.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded a monstrous 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 8th-most in football.

o38.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards
6.87 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
22.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

6.87 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
22.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (42.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the porous Buccaneers defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a staggering 8.67 yards.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

o4.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o65.5 Receiving Yards
67.37 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o65.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

67.37 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. Christian Watson's 84.4% Route Participation Rate this year signifies an impressive growth in his pass attack volume over last year's 71.0% figure.. This week, Christian Watson is anticipated by the projections to rank in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.3 targets.. Christian Watson has put up a whopping 101.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wideouts.. With a remarkable 66.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian Watson has been among the leading pass-catching WRs in the league.

o64.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.51% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Cade Otton has run a route on 84.2% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

o2.5 -150
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.21 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.21 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects Tucker Kraft to earn 6.0 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among TEs.. With a remarkable 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Tucker Kraft places among the leading TE receiving threats in football.. The Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.9%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (77.9%).. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

o3.5 -130
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.25% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for a staggering 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

o3.5 +120
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.65 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-10.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.65 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-10.35% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.

o2.5 -110
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.68 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-11.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.68 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-11.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. Christian Watson's 84.4% Route Participation Rate this year signifies an impressive growth in his pass attack volume over last year's 71.0% figure.. This week, Christian Watson is anticipated by the projections to rank in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.3 targets.. Christian Watson checks in as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 4.1 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

o4.5 -134
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made
0.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-14.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

0.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-14.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.1%) versus running backs since the start of last season (89.1%).. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

o0.5 -235
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts
12.36 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
23.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

12.36 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
23.79% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

o8.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts
15.81 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
16.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

15.81 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
16.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to be the 6th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 46.2% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Green Bay's DE corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.

o13.5 -114
FanDuel logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u34.5 Passing Attempts
34.31 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u34.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

34.31 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.17% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Green Bay Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.

u34.5 -124
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u21.5 Passing Completions
21.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

21.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.83% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Green Bay Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.. Jordan Love's 53.7% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteworthy decline in his throwing precision over last year's 67.1% mark.

u21.5 -130
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.18 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Cade Otton logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
C. Otton (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.18 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. With a 80.0% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL under these circumstances has been the Buccaneers.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.

+550
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.. Christian Watson has put up a whopping 101.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wideouts.. Christian Watson's 57.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 85th percentile for wide receivers.. With an outstanding ratio of 0.77 per game through the air (99th percentile), Christian Watson places as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among wide receivers since the start of last season.

+170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bucky Irving logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
B. Irving (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
12.09% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. With a 80.0% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL under these circumstances has been the Buccaneers.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.

+190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.. Our trusted projections expect Tucker Kraft to be a more important option in his team's passing offense near the end zone in this week's game (21.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).. As it relates to air yards, Tucker Kraft ranks in the towering 81st percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing a massive 29.0 per game.. With a stellar ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (94th percentile), Tucker Kraft ranks among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league among tight ends since the start of last season.

+265
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-3.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Emeka Egbuka logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail
E. Egbuka (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-3.91% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. With a 80.0% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL under these circumstances has been the Buccaneers.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to call the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a massive 58.4 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.

+310
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kaleb Johnson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
K. Johnson (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.1%) versus running backs since the start of last season (89.1%).. Since the start of last season, the deficient Buccaneers defense has been gouged for a staggering 0.20 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing RBs: the 10th-biggest rate in the NFL.. The Buccaneers safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

+250
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-10.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-10.5% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.. At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.. The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 36.2 passes in this game, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.. With an exceptional rate of 1.53 per game (83rd percentile), Jordan Love has been among the top TD passers in the NFL since the start of last season.. Jordan Love has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest figures in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (2nd percentile).

+825
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.52% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Green Bay Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.. Tampa Bay's defense grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to generating interceptions, accumulating 0.80 per game.

u0.5 +101
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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'derekpderek' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (+1.5)

derekpderek is #1 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'derekpderek' picks Green Bay vs Tampa Bay to go Under (47.5)

derekpderek is #1 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'kengoone' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (+1.5)

kengoone is #10 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'kengoone' picks Green Bay vs Tampa Bay to go Under (39.5)

kengoone is #10 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Trankilloboy69' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

Trankilloboy69 is #3 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'ldcpicks' picks Green Bay vs Tampa Bay to go Over (39.5)

ldcpicks is #4 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'dude18555' picks Green Bay vs Tampa Bay to go Under (39.5)

dude18555 is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'ldcpicks' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (+4.5)

ldcpicks is #4 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'dude18555' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

dude18555 is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'simoncald' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

simoncald is #5 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

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'simoncald' picks Green Bay vs Tampa Bay to go Over (39.5)

simoncald is #5 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

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'BigBoss19' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

BigBoss19 is #5 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

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'suckerg' picks Green Bay vs Tampa Bay to go Under (39.5)

suckerg is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

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'tennis' picks Green Bay vs Tampa Bay to go Under (39.5)

tennis is #8 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2300 units on the season.

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'tennis' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

tennis is #8 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2300 units on the season.

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'nit2win' picks Green Bay vs Tampa Bay to go Over (39.5)

nit2win is #9 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'nit2win' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

nit2win is #9 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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