Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1st in NFC South (6 - 4 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 23 20:20 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Kyren Williams
K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.85
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.85
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Rams rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.1% red zone pass rate. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are predicted by the model to call 65.6 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. Kyren Williams has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 13.6% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Kyren Williams

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.85
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.85

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Rams rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.1% red zone pass rate. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are predicted by the model to call 65.6 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. Kyren Williams has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 13.6% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs.

All Matchup props

Puka Nacua Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Puka Nacua
P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.58
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.58
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Rams rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.1% red zone pass rate. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are predicted by the model to call 65.6 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. The projections expect Puka Nacua to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the goal line this week (23.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.0% in games he has played).

Puka Nacua

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.58
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.58

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Rams rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.1% red zone pass rate. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are predicted by the model to call 65.6 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. The projections expect Puka Nacua to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the goal line this week (23.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.0% in games he has played).

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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