Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1st in NFC South (8 - 6 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 22 20:20 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rico Dowdle Receptions Made Props • Dallas

R. Dowdle
running back RB • Dallas
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
-114

The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by the projection model to call 67.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL.

Rico Dowdle

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by the projection model to call 67.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL.

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Jake Ferguson Receptions Made Props • Dallas

J. Ferguson
tight end TE • Dallas
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
-155

The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL. Jake Ferguson ranks as one of the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a remarkable 4.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

Jake Ferguson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.8

The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL. Jake Ferguson ranks as one of the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a remarkable 4.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

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Bucky Irving Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

B. Irving
running back RB • Tampa Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

A running game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a 4-point favorite this week. Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.1 per game) this year. This year, the tough Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded a paltry 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.

Bucky Irving

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.4

A running game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a 4-point favorite this week. Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.1 per game) this year. This year, the tough Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded a paltry 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.

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Mike Evans Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

M. Evans
wide receiver WR • Tampa Bay
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
+102

A running game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a 4-point favorite this week. Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.1 per game) this year.

Mike Evans

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.4

A running game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a 4-point favorite this week. Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.1 per game) this year.

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CeeDee Lamb Receptions Made Props • Dallas

C. Lamb
wide receiver WR • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-128

The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by the projection model to call 67.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL.

CeeDee Lamb

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.6

The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by the projection model to call 67.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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