Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2nd in NFC South (7 - 9 - 0)

Next Game

Sat, Jan 3 16:30 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tommy Tremble Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Tommy Tremble
T. Tremble
tight end TE • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.17
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.17
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect Tommy Tremble to be much more involved in his offense's passing game near the goal line in this game (11.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.8% in games he has played). In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) versus tight ends this year (78.1%). The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 2nd-most receiving TDs in the league to TEs: 0.69 per game this year.

Tommy Tremble logo

Tommy Tremble

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.17
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.17

The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect Tommy Tremble to be much more involved in his offense's passing game near the goal line in this game (11.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.8% in games he has played). In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) versus tight ends this year (78.1%). The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 2nd-most receiving TDs in the league to TEs: 0.69 per game this year.

All Matchup props

Rico Dowdle Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Rico Dowdle
R. Dowdle
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.47
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.47
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Rico Dowdle's 14.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the league: 81st percentile for running backs. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year.

Rico Dowdle logo

Rico Dowdle

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.47
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.47

The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Rico Dowdle's 14.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the league: 81st percentile for running backs. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year.

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Mike Evans Score a Touchdown Props • Tampa Bay

Mike Evans
M. Evans
wide receiver WR • Tampa Bay
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.37
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.37
Best Odds
Projection Rating

With a top-tier 27.3% Red Zone Target% (97th percentile) this year, Mike Evans stands among the WRs with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL. After accruing 99.0 air yards per game last year, Mike Evans has seen marked improvement this year, now boasting 117.0 per game. Mike Evans grades out in the 85th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.38 per game.

Mike Evans logo

Mike Evans

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.37
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.37

With a top-tier 27.3% Red Zone Target% (97th percentile) this year, Mike Evans stands among the WRs with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL. After accruing 99.0 air yards per game last year, Mike Evans has seen marked improvement this year, now boasting 117.0 per game. Mike Evans grades out in the 85th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.38 per game.

All Matchup props

Tetairoa McMillan Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Tetairoa McMillan
T. McMillan
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.37
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.37
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Tetairoa McMillan logo

Tetairoa McMillan

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.37
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.37

The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Cade Otton Score a Touchdown Props • Tampa Bay

Cade Otton
C. Otton
tight end TE • Tampa Bay
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.11
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.11
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.4%) vs. tight ends this year (79.4%).

Cade Otton logo

Cade Otton

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.11
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.11

The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.4%) vs. tight ends this year (79.4%).

All Matchup props

Bryce Young Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Bryce Young
B. Young
quarterback QB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.06
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.06
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Accounting for a mere 1.7% of his offense's red zone carries this year (23rd percentile among QBs), Bryce Young's lack of mobility makes him no threat as a ball-carrier near the goal line. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year.

Bryce Young logo

Bryce Young

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.06
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.06

The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. Accounting for a mere 1.7% of his offense's red zone carries this year (23rd percentile among QBs), Bryce Young's lack of mobility makes him no threat as a ball-carrier near the goal line. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year.

All Matchup props

Baker Mayfield Score a Touchdown Props • Tampa Bay

Baker Mayfield
B. Mayfield
quarterback QB • Tampa Bay
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.03
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.03
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Totaling zero red zone rush attempts this year, Baker Mayfield's immobility makes him a no threat on the ground near the end zone.

Baker Mayfield logo

Baker Mayfield

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.03
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.03

Totaling zero red zone rush attempts this year, Baker Mayfield's immobility makes him a no threat on the ground near the end zone.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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