Tennessee Titans

3rd in AFC South (1 - 4 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Oct 20 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tony Pollard Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

T. Pollard
running back RB • Tennessee
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

The Titans have been the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 56.6% pass rate. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The 6th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (a mere 54.0 per game on average).

Tony Pollard

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.2
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.2

The Titans have been the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 56.6% pass rate. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The 6th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (a mere 54.0 per game on average).

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Chig Okonkwo Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

C. Okonkwo
tight end TE • Tennessee
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are enormous -7-point underdogs. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in football. Chigoziem Okonkwo's 85.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a meaningful progression in his receiving prowess over last year's 71.8% figure. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's unit has been awful this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

Chig Okonkwo

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are enormous -7-point underdogs. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in football. Chigoziem Okonkwo's 85.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a meaningful progression in his receiving prowess over last year's 71.8% figure. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's unit has been awful this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

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DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

D. Hopkins
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are enormous -7-point underdogs. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in football. Our trusted projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to garner 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Our trusted projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack in this game (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.4% in games he has played). DeAndre Hopkins's 67.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys an impressive growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 56.6% mark.

DeAndre Hopkins

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.8

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are enormous -7-point underdogs. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in football. Our trusted projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to garner 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Our trusted projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack in this game (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.4% in games he has played). DeAndre Hopkins's 67.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys an impressive growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 56.6% mark.

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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