Tennessee Titans

3rd in AFC South (2 - 8 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 24 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dalton Schultz Receptions Made Props • Houston

D. Schultz
tight end TE • Houston
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Texans to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 61.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. With an impressive 77.2% Route% (89th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz rates among the TEs with the most usage in the NFL. The leading projections forecast Dalton Schultz to total 5.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs.

Dalton Schultz

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.3

The predictive model expects the Texans to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 61.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. With an impressive 77.2% Route% (89th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz rates among the TEs with the most usage in the NFL. The leading projections forecast Dalton Schultz to total 5.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs.

All Matchup props

Calvin Ridley Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

C. Ridley
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week. As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. Calvin Ridley's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, notching a measly 3.4 adjusted receptions vs 4.6 last year. Calvin Ridley's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 58.9% to 49.3%. The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (58.7%) versus wideouts this year (58.7%).

Calvin Ridley

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.3

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week. As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. Calvin Ridley's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, notching a measly 3.4 adjusted receptions vs 4.6 last year. Calvin Ridley's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 58.9% to 49.3%. The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (58.7%) versus wideouts this year (58.7%).

All Matchup props

Chig Okonkwo Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

C. Okonkwo
tight end TE • Tennessee
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
+132
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
+132
Projection Rating

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are massive underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The predictive model expects Chigoziem Okonkwo to accumulate 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among TEs.

Chig Okonkwo

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.5

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are massive underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The predictive model expects Chigoziem Okonkwo to accumulate 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among TEs.

All Matchup props

Nico Collins Receptions Made Props • Houston

N. Collins
wide receiver WR • Houston
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Texans to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 61.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. In this game, Nico Collins is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 93rd percentile among wideouts with 8.5 targets. With an exceptional 5.9 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, Nico Collins rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

Nico Collins

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.5

The predictive model expects the Texans to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 61.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. In this game, Nico Collins is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 93rd percentile among wideouts with 8.5 targets. With an exceptional 5.9 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, Nico Collins rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Joe Mixon Receptions Made Props • Houston

J. Mixon
running back RB • Houston
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Texans to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 61.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. In this week's game, Joe Mixon is projected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.5 targets. Joe Mixon has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 10.9% this year, which places him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

Joe Mixon

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.5

The predictive model expects the Texans to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 61.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. In this week's game, Joe Mixon is projected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.5 targets. Joe Mixon has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 10.9% this year, which places him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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