Washington Commanders
Picks

3rd in NFC East (3 - 9 - 0)

Next Game

at

Sun, Dec 7 13:00 ET

WAS @ MIN Picks

Passing Yards

J.J. McCarthy o190.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 234.86 (Over)

Best Odds

o190.5 -110

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o190.5 -110

o190.5 -115

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. Opposing QBs have thrown for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (270.0 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year.. The Commanders pass defense has shown bad efficiency this year, giving up 9.38 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.. The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson o63.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 80.18 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. With an elite 97.6% Route% (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.. The model projects Justin Jefferson to notch 10.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.. This year, the deficient Washington Commanders pass defense has conceded a massive 69.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.. The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown bad efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 9.63 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.

Receiving Yards

T.J. Hockenson o27.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 33.87 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to earn 5.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.. T.J. Hockenson's 79.6% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates an impressive growth in his receiving ability over last season's 68.8% rate.. This year, the weak Commanders defense has allowed a whopping 68.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-most in the NFL.. The Commanders pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus TEs this year, allowing 9.70 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Total

60% picking Washington vs Minnesota to go Under

40% 40%

60% 60%

Total PicksWAS 90, MIN 136

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Top User Picks

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'peachiee2023' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.0)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +6250 units on the season.

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WAS

MIN

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'peachiee2023' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Over (42.5)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +6250 units on the season.

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'Kowalabear1994' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Over (41.5)

Kowalabear1994 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'Kowalabear1994' is picking Washington to cover (-1.0)

Kowalabear1994 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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WAS

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'anibalbas' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Under (42.5)

anibalbas is #4 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5300 units on the season.

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'KRU' is picking Washington to cover (+3.0)

KRU is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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MIN

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'KRU' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Under (42.5)

KRU is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'Bert1' is picking Washington to cover (+3.0)

Bert1 is #6 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (2-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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WAS

MIN

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'jstoltey' is picking Washington to cover (+1.0)

jstoltey is #7 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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WAS

MIN

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'chickenhawk3233' is picking Washington to cover (+1.5)

chickenhawk3233 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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WAS

MIN

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'greyford' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.0)

greyford is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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'greyford' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Over (42.5)

greyford is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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