Washington Commanders

3rd in NFC East (3 - 6 - 0)

Next Game

DETDetroit Detroit
at
Washington WASWashington
Sun, Nov 9 16:25 ET

DET @ WAS Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Detroit Lions logo DET -8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
-8.5 -105 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
-7.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
-8.0  -110
-8.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
-8.0  -110
These are quick bet odds
-8.0  -112
These are quick bet odds

The Lions are coming off a rare poor performance at home, where they lost 27-24 to the Vikings. This is a get-right spot for them against a Washington team in turmoil. The Commanders have a below-average pass rush while their linebackers and secondary are among the worst in the NFL. Their offense was already struggling due to a slew of injuries at WR but they also just lost franchise QB Jayden Daniels to what looks like a serious injury. The Lions are third in the league in defensive DVOA and eighth in offensive DVOA. They'll be highly motivated to run up the score, given their Week 9 loss and their playoff loss to the Commanders in January.

Spread
Detroit Lions logo DET -4.5 (-102)
Best Odds
-8.5 -105 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
-7.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
-8.0  -110
-8.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
-8.0  -110
These are quick bet odds
-8.0  -112
These are quick bet odds

This is a bounce-back spot for the Lions, and the Commanders could be without No. 1 quarterback Jayden Daniels after he sustained a left elbow injury that was serious enough for him to exit the Week 9 loss to the Seattle Seahawks. Of course, Washington also ranks 17th in defensive DVOA while allowing the sixth-highest EPA per play, so I expect the Detroit offense to have a big day and score enough points to cover the number.

Passing Yards
Marcus Mariota logo
Marcus Mariota o196.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 206.33 (Over)
Best Odds
o196.5 -115 BetMGM
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o196.5  -115
 -
The Washington Commanders may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) since they be starting backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The Commanders are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.. At the moment, the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.. In this contest, Marcus Mariota is forecasted by the projections to average the 7th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.0.
-115 at BetMGM
Interceptions Thrown
Marcus Mariota logo
Marcus Mariota o0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-130)
Projection 1.36 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -130 BetMGM
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o0.5  -130
 -
The Washington Commanders may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) since they be starting backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The Commanders are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.. At the moment, the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.. In this contest, Marcus Mariota is forecasted by the projections to average the 7th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.0.
-130 at BetMGM
Receiving Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Jahmyr Gibbs o18.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 23.32 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -118 BetMGM
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o18.5  -118
 -
In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 94th percentile among RBs with 4.0 targets.. With an exceptional 14.0% Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in football.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 94.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a noteable growth in his pass-catching skills over last season's 82.3% mark.. The Commanders defense has yielded the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (40.0) to running backs this year.. The Commanders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus running backs this year, conceding 8.54 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
-118 at BetMGM

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

78% picking Detroit

78%
22%

Total Picks DET 427, WAS 117

Spread
DET
WAS
Spread
-7.5 -101
+7.5 -102
Total

61% picking Detroit vs Washington to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksDET 198, WAS 129

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -102
51 -132

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'bayonne219a' is picking Washington to cover (+3.5)

bayonne219a is #1 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
DET
WAS
Spread
-7.5 -101
+7.5 -102
Total

'bayonne219a' picks Detroit vs Washington to go Over (51.5)

bayonne219a is #1 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -102
51 -132
Spread

'Kazual12' is picking Washington to cover (+9.0)

Kazual12 is #2 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
DET
WAS
Spread
-7.5 -101
+7.5 -102
Total

'Kazual12' picks Detroit vs Washington to go Under (49.5)

Kazual12 is #2 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -102
51 -132
Spread

'jstoltey' is picking Detroit to cover (-3.0)

jstoltey is #6 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3950 units on the season.

Spread
DET
WAS
Spread
-7.5 -101
+7.5 -102
Spread

'warlock17' is picking Detroit to cover (-7.5)

warlock17 is #8 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +3950 units on the season.

Spread
DET
WAS
Spread
-7.5 -101
+7.5 -102
Total

'warlock17' picks Detroit vs Washington to go Over (50.5)

warlock17 is #8 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +3950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -102
51 -132

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