Washington Commanders

3rd in NFC East (3 - 9 - 0)

Next Game

WASWashington Washington
at
Minnesota MINMinnesota
Sun, Dec 7 13:00 ET

WAS @ MIN Picks

NFL Picks
Rushing Yards
Jayden Daniels logo Jayden Daniels o38.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o35.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: yesterday
Jeremy Jones image
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst
o36.5  -111
o39.5  -110
o35.5  -114
o39.5  -115
o37.5  -118

Jayden Daniels is an excellent rusher when needed out of the pocket and the Vikings rank 25th in the NFL in allowing quarterback scrambles. 

Read Full Analysis
Touchdowns
Terry McLaurin logo Terry McLaurin o0.5 Touchdowns (+220)
Best Odds
o0.5 +220 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
o0.5  +200
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +190
o0.5  +200
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +220
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +205
These are quick bet odds

In his first game back after a four-week absence, Terry McLaurin drew 14 targets — tied for the most of any player in Week 13. Even more impressive, he did it on just 49% of the snaps with Marcus Mariota under center. Now he steps into an indoor matchup against a Minnesota team that can’t generate much offense, and he could see a QB upgrade if Jayden Daniels returns. Even if he doesn’t, getting a receiver at better than +200 who’s capable of 10+ targets is an easy play in Week 14. His snap share will only rise as he gets back to full form. With that Week 13 volume, he should be closer to +150.

Receptions Made
Deebo Samuel logo
Deebo Samuel o4.5 Receptions Made (+120)
Projection 5.23 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +120 BetMGM
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o4.5  +104
o4.5  +115
o4.5  +116
o4.5  +120
o4.5  -107
These are quick bet odds
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. The projections expect Deebo Samuel Sr. to total 7.6 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.. Deebo Samuel Sr. has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this year (25.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.6%).. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s receiving skills have improved this season, accumulating 4.9 adjusted receptions vs just 3.6 last season.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 63.6% to 79.0%.
+120 at BetMGM
Passing Completions
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o16.5 Passing Completions (-113)
Projection 20.46 (Over)
Best Odds
o16.5 -113 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o16.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -120
o16.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o16.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
o16.5  -118
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in the league against the Commanders defense this year (74.2% Adjusted Completion%).. The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
-113 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Completions
Jayden Daniels logo
Jayden Daniels o18.5 Passing Completions (-121)
Projection 22 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -121 DraftKings
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o18.5  -121
o18.5  -135
o18.5  -125
o18.5  -140
o19.5  -113
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.
-121 at DraftKings
Passing Completions
Marcus Mariota logo
Marcus Mariota o19.5 Passing Completions (-105)
Projection 22.21 (Over)
Best Odds
o17.5 -144 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o19.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
 -
o17.5  -144
These are quick bet odds
 -
o19.5  +102
The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.
-144 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o28.5 Passing Attempts (-102)
Projection 32.17 (Over)
Best Odds
o28.5 -102 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o28.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -120
o28.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -124
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
-102 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Marcus Mariota logo
Marcus Mariota o28.5 Passing Attempts (-114)
Projection 32.18 (Over)
Best Odds
o28.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o30.5  +100
These are quick bet odds
 -
o28.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o30.5  +101
The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o185.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 237.76 (Over)
Best Odds
o185.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o185.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o185.5  -110
o185.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o185.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o199.5  +112
These are quick bet odds
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. Opposing QBs have thrown for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (270.0 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year.. The Commanders pass defense has shown bad efficiency this year, giving up 9.39 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.. The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
-110 at bet365
Passing Yards
Jayden Daniels logo
Jayden Daniels o209.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 246.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o209.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o211.5  -112
o209.5  -110
o214.5  -114
o209.5  -125
o211.5  -115
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.
-110 at bet365
Passing Yards
Marcus Mariota logo
Marcus Mariota o215.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 242.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o208.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o215.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
 -
o208.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o213.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Chris Rodriguez Jr. logo
Chris Rodriguez Jr. o0.5 Receiving Yards (+110)
Projection 4.73 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +110 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o0.5  +110
 -
o0.5  +105
These are quick bet odds
 -
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 18.6% Route% this year shows a meaningful boost in his air attack volume over last year's 6.6% rate.. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has accrued a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.
+110 at bet365

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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'twobwin' is picking Washington to cover (+1.5)

twobwin is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +6800 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
MIN
Spread
-1.0 -105
+1.5 -107
Total

'twobwin' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Under (42.0)

twobwin is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +6800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -118
Total

'ramon87' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Over (44.0)

ramon87 is #10 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -118
Spread

'ramon87' is picking Washington to cover (-1.5)

ramon87 is #10 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
MIN
Spread
-1.0 -105
+1.5 -107
Spread

'peachiee2023' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.0)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +6250 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
MIN
Spread
-1.0 -105
+1.5 -107
Total

'peachiee2023' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Over (42.5)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +6250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -118
Spread

'mccabe40' is picking Minnesota to cover (+1.5)

mccabe40 is #2 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
MIN
Spread
-1.0 -105
+1.5 -107
Total

'mccabe40' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Over (44.0)

mccabe40 is #2 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -118
Spread

'Kowalabear1994' is picking Washington to cover (-1.0)

Kowalabear1994 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
MIN
Spread
-1.0 -105
+1.5 -107
Total

'Kowalabear1994' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Over (41.5)

Kowalabear1994 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -118
Total

'anibalbas' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Under (42.5)

anibalbas is #4 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -118
Total

'KRU' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Under (42.5)

KRU is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -118
Spread

'KRU' is picking Washington to cover (+3.0)

KRU is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
MIN
Spread
-1.0 -105
+1.5 -107
Spread

'Bert1' is picking Washington to cover (+3.0)

Bert1 is #6 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (2-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
MIN
Spread
-1.0 -105
+1.5 -107
Spread

'jstoltey' is picking Washington to cover (+1.0)

jstoltey is #7 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
MIN
Spread
-1.0 -105
+1.5 -107
Spread

'chickenhawk3233' is picking Washington to cover (+1.5)

chickenhawk3233 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
MIN
Spread
-1.0 -105
+1.5 -107
Total

'chickenhawk3233' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Under (44.0)

chickenhawk3233 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -118
Total

'greyford' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Over (42.5)

greyford is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -118
Spread

'greyford' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.0)

greyford is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
MIN
Spread
-1.0 -105
+1.5 -107
Spread

'moman' is picking Minnesota to cover (+1.5)

moman is #9 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
MIN
Spread
-1.0 -105
+1.5 -107

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