Washington Commanders

3rd in NFC East (3 - 10 - 0)

Next Game

WASWashington Washington
at
New York NYGN.Y. Giants
Sun, Dec 14 13:00 ET

WAS @ NYG Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo Jaxson Dart u208.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
u209.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 2 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
u207.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
u209.5  -110
u203.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u207.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u205.5  -114
These are quick bet odds

While Jaxson Dart has shown promise at times, he also doesn’t have a lot of help. In 10 games played, he’s averaging just 155.6 passing yards per contest. He’s cashed the Under in three of his last four appearances as well. 

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Touchdowns
Theo Johnson logo Theo Johnson o0.5 Touchdowns (+250)
Best Odds
o0.5 +250 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
o0.5  +215
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +225
o0.5  +230
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +250
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +225
These are quick bet odds

The Commanders are a strong matchup for any pass catcher, as their defense is one of six in the league allowing two or more passing touchdowns per game. The New York passing game should remain steady with Jaxson Dart, who’s coming into Week 15 with some extra rest. Theo Johnson has been one of Dart’s most reliable options. The rookie tied for the team lead with eight targets last week, accounting for 33 percent of Dart’s attempts. He also showed some frustration in the loss, which could translate into a motivated performance on Sunday. This is playable to +210.

Receptions Made
John Bates logo
John Bates o1.5 Receptions Made (+145)
Projection 2.01 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +145 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o1.5  +145
 -
o1.5  +145
These are quick bet odds
 -
The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The leading projections forecast John Bates to be much more involved in his offense's passing game in this contest (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).. John Bates's 79.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents an impressive boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 70.2% mark.. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
+145 at bet365
Passing Completions
Jaxson Dart logo
Jaxson Dart u18.5 Passing Completions (-110)
Projection 16.62 (Under)
Best Odds
u18.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u18.5  -119
These are quick bet odds
u18.5  -115
u18.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
u18.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u18.5  -120
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. Our trusted projections expect Jaxson Dart to throw 29.2 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo
Jaxson Dart u209.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 179.34 (Under)
Best Odds
u209.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
u207.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
u209.5  -110
u203.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u207.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u205.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. Our trusted projections expect Jaxson Dart to throw 29.2 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Jaxson Dart comes in as one of the worst passers in football this year, averaging 157.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 17th percentile.
-110 at bet365
Passing Yards
Marcus Mariota logo
Marcus Mariota u205.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 186.98 (Under)
Best Odds
u208.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u201.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u205.5  -110
u201.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u208.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u203.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.34 seconds per play, the projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.. The leading projections forecast Marcus Mariota to attempt 31.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.. Marcus Mariota's throwing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 76.3% to 63.2%.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Chris Rodriguez Jr. logo
Chris Rodriguez Jr. o0.5 Receiving Yards (+155)
Projection 4.53 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +155 bet365
Pick made: 21 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o0.5  +155
 -
o0.5  +145
These are quick bet odds
 -
The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 18.8% Route Participation% this season conveys a material gain in his pass game usage over last season's 6.6% mark.. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has put up a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. This year, the feeble Giants pass defense has yielded a monstrous 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
+155 at bet365
Receiving Yards
John Bates logo
John Bates o9.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 18 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -120 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o9.5  -110
 -
o8.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
 -
The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The leading projections forecast John Bates to be much more involved in his offense's passing game in this contest (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).. John Bates's 79.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents an impressive boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 70.2% mark.. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
-120 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Deebo Samuel logo
Deebo Samuel o41.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 47.26 (Over)
Best Odds
o40.5 -110 DraftKings
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o40.5  -110
o41.5  -110
o42.5  -112
o41.5  -118
o42.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. This week, Deebo Samuel Sr. is expected by the projection model to slot into the 83rd percentile among WRs with 7.3 targets.. Deebo Samuel Sr. has been much more involved in his team's passing offense this year (25.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.6%).. Deebo Samuel Sr. comes in as one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an impressive 47.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.. The New York Giants defense has yielded the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (159.0) to wide receivers this year.
-110 at DraftKings
Receiving Yards
Jacory Croskey-Merritt logo
Jacory Croskey-Merritt o3.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 5.35 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o3.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
 -
The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. This year, the feeble Giants pass defense has yielded a monstrous 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Wan'Dale Robinson logo
Wan'Dale Robinson u58.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 53.56 (Under)
Best Odds
u58.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u58.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u58.5  -110
u57.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u56.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
u57.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. Wan'Dale Robinson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a noteable regression in his efficiency in space over last year's 3.9% rate.
-110 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Tyrone Tracy Jr. logo
Tyrone Tracy Jr. o13.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 15.23 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -102 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o15.5  -107
These are quick bet odds
o13.5  -110
o13.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
o13.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o13.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Giants are forecasted by the projection model to run 65.7 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).. The New York O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. This year, the feeble Washington Commanders defense has conceded a whopping 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 8th-worst in football.. The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency vs. RBs this year, conceding 8.06 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.
-102 at FanDuel
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
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66% picking N.Y. Giants

34%
66%

Total Picks WAS 431, NYG 831

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WAS
NYG
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+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
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'lenny2098' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.5)

lenny2098 is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (8-5-0) and +6200 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
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+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'lenny2098' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (46.5)

lenny2098 is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (8-5-0) and +6200 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'blueminer000' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (46.5)

blueminer000 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'hungcodon' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.0)

hungcodon is #10 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
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+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'blueminer000' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.5)

blueminer000 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
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+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'anibalbas' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (47.5)

anibalbas is #2 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +5800 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'Manning2008SB' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.5)

Manning2008SB is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
Spread
+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'Manning2008SB' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (46.5)

Manning2008SB is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
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'Gary64' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.0)

Gary64 is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +5300 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
Spread
+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'moman' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.5)

moman is #3 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
Spread
+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'moman' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (46.5)

moman is #3 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
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'gamble04' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (47.5)

gamble04 is #4 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5250 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Total
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'gamble04' is picking Washington to cover (+2.5)

gamble04 is #4 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5250 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
Spread
+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
Total

'CappersClub' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (47.5)

CappersClub is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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Over
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'CappersClub' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.0)

CappersClub is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
Spread
+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'mccabe40' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.5)

mccabe40 is #5 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
Spread
+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'mccabe40' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (46.5)

mccabe40 is #5 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Total
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'tolro234' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (47.5)

tolro234 is #6 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'tolro234' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.0)

tolro234 is #6 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
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+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'WonderfulWino' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (46.5)

WonderfulWino is #6 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4950 units on the season.

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Over
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Total
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'puppucci' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+2.5)

puppucci is #7 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (8-5-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
Spread
+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'puppucci' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (47.5)

puppucci is #7 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (8-5-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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'rquiroz' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.5)

rquiroz is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (3-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
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+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'rquiroz' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (46.5)

rquiroz is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (3-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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Over
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'jerem14' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.0)

jerem14 is #8 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5300 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
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+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'RAZORAZE283' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (46.5)

RAZORAZE283 is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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Over
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'london79' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+2.5)

london79 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (7-5-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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WAS
NYG
Spread
+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126
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'london79' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (47.5)

london79 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (7-5-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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Over
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'SNID' picks Washington vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (46.0)

SNID is #9 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Total
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'SNID' is picking Washington to cover (+2.5)

SNID is #9 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5200 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
NYG
Spread
+2.5 +105
-2.5 -126

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