Washington Commanders
Picks

3rd in NFC East (3 - 9 - 0)

Next Game

at

Sun, Dec 7 13:00 ET

WAS @ MIN Picks

Touchdowns

Terry McLaurin o0.5 Touchdowns (+220)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

In his first game back after a four-week absence, Terry McLaurin drew 14 targets — tied for the most of any player in Week 13. Even more impressive, he did it on just 49% of the snaps with Marcus Mariota under center. Now he steps into an indoor matchup against a Minnesota team that can’t generate much offense, and he could see a QB upgrade if Jayden Daniels returns. Even if he doesn’t, getting a receiver at better than +200 who’s capable of 10+ targets is an easy play in Week 14. His snap share will only rise as he gets back to full form. With that Week 13 volume, he should be closer to +150.

Passing Yards

J.J. McCarthy o192.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 236.55 (Over)

Best Odds

o186.5 -112

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o186.5 -112

o192.5 -110

o189.5 -115

o188.5 -114

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. Opposing QBs have thrown for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (270.0 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year.. The Commanders pass defense has shown bad efficiency this year, giving up 9.39 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.. The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

-112 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson o66.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 80.59 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. With an elite 97.6% Route% (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.. The model projects Justin Jefferson to notch 10.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.. The Commanders defense has surrendered the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (162.0) vs. wideouts this year.. The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown bad efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 9.63 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.

-113 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

T.J. Hockenson o27.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 34.02 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to earn 5.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.. T.J. Hockenson's 79.6% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates an impressive growth in his receiving ability over last season's 68.8% rate.. This year, the weak Commanders defense has allowed a whopping 68.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-most in the NFL.. The Commanders pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus TEs this year, allowing 9.69 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

-110 at DraftKings

Rushing Yards

Chris Rodriguez Jr. o39.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 46.83 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

Right now, the 7th-most run-focused team in the NFL (42.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Washington Commanders.. While Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been responsible for 24.2% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Washington's rushing attack in this contest at 37.1%.. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s ground efficiency (4.74 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (79th percentile when it comes to RBs).. Chris Rodriguez comes in as one of the leading running backs in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.38 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 79th percentile.. Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (131 per game) against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

More Picks

Spread

'peachiee2023' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.0)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +6250 units on the season.

Spread

WAS

MIN

Spread

Total

'peachiee2023' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Over (42.5)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +6250 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'Kowalabear1994' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Over (41.5)

Kowalabear1994 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Kowalabear1994' is picking Washington to cover (-1.0)

Kowalabear1994 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread

WAS

MIN

Spread

Total

'anibalbas' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Under (42.5)

anibalbas is #4 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5300 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'KRU' is picking Washington to cover (+3.0)

KRU is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread

WAS

MIN

Spread

Total

'KRU' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Under (42.5)

KRU is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Bert1' is picking Washington to cover (+3.0)

Bert1 is #6 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (2-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread

WAS

MIN

Spread

Spread

'jstoltey' is picking Washington to cover (+1.0)

jstoltey is #7 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread

WAS

MIN

Spread

Spread

'chickenhawk3233' is picking Washington to cover (+1.5)

chickenhawk3233 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread

WAS

MIN

Spread

Spread

'greyford' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.0)

greyford is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

Spread

WAS

MIN

Spread

Total

'greyford' picks Washington vs Minnesota to go Over (42.5)

greyford is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Pages Related to This Topic

Top Washington Pick Leaders Season 2025-2026

Rank	Leader	L10	Units

News & Analysis

More News

NFL TD Props: The Best Touchdown Scorer Bets for Week 14

Dak Prescott Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Cowboys vs Lions Props & Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials

Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming

US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps

Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools

The Covers community has

810,221

lifetime members worldwide

Join our community today

Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.

Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo

Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.