Washington Commanders

NFL Player Props

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 29.13 seconds per play. Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league. This year, the strong Eagles defense has given up a paltry 60.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 6th-smallest rate in the NFL. The Philadelphia cornerbacks rank as the best collection of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

Our trusted projections expect Dallas Goedert to accumulate 5.4 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile among TEs. With an excellent 4.4 adjusted catches per game (89th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert stands among the best pass-game tight ends in the NFL. Dallas Goedert's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 73.8% to 84.4%.

This week, A.J. Brown is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.2 targets. A.J. Brown's 91.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 77.6. The Washington Commanders cornerbacks grade out as the worst unit in football this year in defending receivers.

The Commanders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script. In this week's game, Zach Ertz is expected by the predictive model to land in the 88th percentile among TEs with 5.7 targets. With an impressive 19.2% Target% (93rd percentile) this year, Zach Ertz places as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in the NFL. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Commanders ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year. With a stellar 3.7 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, Zach Ertz stands as one of the best pass-game tight ends in football.

Saquon Barkley's 88.2% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a meaningful gain in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 72.6% figure.