Washington Commanders

NFL Player Props

With a 6-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach. The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 65.9 total plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week. Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Washington Commanders, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.3 per game) this year. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Washington's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Commanders are expected by the predictive model to call only 64.6 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week. Opposing offenses have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football. This year, the stout Eagles defense has allowed a paltry 61.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-smallest rate in football. The Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Commanders are expected by the predictive model to call only 64.6 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week. Opposing offenses have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football. As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Philadelphia's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The 5th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a whopping 59.6 per game on average). This week, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.9 targets. A.J. Brown's 90.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 77.6.

A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog this week. The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Commanders this year (a colossal 60.4 per game on average). The model projects Zach Ertz to earn 5.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends. Zach Ertz has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 17.5% this year, which puts him in the 89th percentile among TEs. With an exceptional 3.7 adjusted receptions per game (84th percentile) this year, Zach Ertz stands as one of the leading TEs in the pass game in the league.

The 5th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a whopping 59.6 per game on average). The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to total 2.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs. Saquon Barkley's 85.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a substantial growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 72.6% rate.