Washington Commanders

Picks

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 5.5 points.. The model projects the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.. In this contest, Jalen Hurts is predicted by the projection model to wind up with the 3rd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.0.

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders as the 2nd-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst unit in football last year in regard to stopping the run.

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 5.5 points.. The predictive model expects the Eagles as the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. With a remarkable rate of 26.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (92nd percentile), Jalen Hurts rates among the leading rushing QBs in football last year.. Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (142 per game) against the Commanders defense last year.

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders as the 2nd-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst unit in football last year in regard to stopping the run.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.. With an awful rate of 2.65 yards after contact (14th percentile) last year, Saquon Barkley stands among the weakest RBs in football.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.. With a high 84.6% Route Participation Rate (96th percentile) last year, Dallas Goedert has been among the TEs with the biggest workloads in the league.. Our trusted projections expect Dallas Goedert to earn 6.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.. Last year, the anemic Commanders defense has been gouged for the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a monstrous 10.17 yards.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jayden Daniels in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. In this contest, Chig Okonkwo is forecasted by the model to rank in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.0 targets.. With an extraordinary 14.8% Target Share (78th percentile) last year, Chig Okonkwo stands as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the league.. Chig Okonkwo has notched a staggering 22.0 air yards per game last year: 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jayden Daniels in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. In this week's game, Terry McLaurin is predicted by the model to rank in the 84th percentile among wideouts with 6.8 targets.. Terry McLaurin has put up a monstrous 83.0 air yards per game last year: 88th percentile among wideouts.. Terry McLaurin's 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for wideouts.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.. With a top-tier 59.9% Route Participation% (95th percentile) last year, Saquon Barkley stands as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the league.. In this contest, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the projections to place in the 91st percentile among running backs with 3.4 targets.. The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency vs. running backs last year, yielding 7.38 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the NFL.

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 5.5 points.. The model projects the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.. DeVonta Smith rates as one of the weakest WRs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 1st percentile.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.. With a high 84.6% Route Participation Rate (96th percentile) last year, Dallas Goedert has been among the TEs with the biggest workloads in the league.. Dallas Goedert ranks as one of the leading pass-game tight ends last year, averaging a terrific 3.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.. Last year, the shaky Commanders pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 80.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 5.5 points.. The model projects the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.. With a weak 76.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (10th percentile) last year, Saquon Barkley stands as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.. Last year, the daunting Commanders defense has yielded a measly 78.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 5.5 points.. The model projects the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jayden Daniels in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. In this contest, Chig Okonkwo is forecasted by the model to rank in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.0 targets.. With an extraordinary 14.8% Target Share (78th percentile) last year, Chig Okonkwo stands as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the league.. With an impressive 2.8 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) last year, Chig Okonkwo ranks as one of the best TEs in the pass game in football.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jayden Daniels in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. In this week's game, Terry McLaurin is predicted by the model to rank in the 84th percentile among wideouts with 6.8 targets.. Terry McLaurin's 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for wideouts.. The Eagles cornerbacks rank as the 7th-worst unit in the league last year in covering pass-catchers.

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 5.5 points.. The predictive model expects the Eagles as the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The leading projections forecast Jalen Hurts to garner 8.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the most among all quarterbacks.. Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball, comprising 22.1% of his offense's carries last year, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 53.0% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The Commanders have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, averaging a measly 53.6 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in football against the Commanders defense last year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of CBs has been easily exploitable last year, grading out as the worst in the league.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.. With a remarkable 28.8% Red Zone Target Rate (96th percentile) last year, Dallas Goedert stands as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.. Dallas Goedert has put up a colossal 37.0 air yards per game last year: 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. Dallas Goedert's 40.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in the league: 92nd percentile for tight ends.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.. Jalen Hurts has been among the top TD passers in football last year, averaging a remarkable 1.47 per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in football against the Commanders defense last year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).. Last year, the weak Commanders defense has allowed a whopping 1.94 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.. With an impressive 20.8% Red Zone Target Rate (86th percentile) last year, DeVonta Smith places as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in football.. When talking about air yards, DeVonta Smith grades out in the towering 89th percentile among wide receivers last year, accumulating an impressive 86.0 per game.. DeVonta Smith's 64.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in football: 91st percentile for wideouts.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather this week.. When talking about air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the towering 90th percentile among running backs last year, averaging a monstrous 2.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more impressive than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).. Saquon Barkley has been in the 92nd percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a massive 17.9 figure last year.. With a stellar ratio of 0.12 per game through the air (86th percentile), Saquon Barkley has been as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among RBs last year.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jayden Daniels in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. With an impressive 23.5% Red Zone Target Rate (93rd percentile) last year, Terry McLaurin rates among the WRs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.. Terry McLaurin has put up a monstrous 83.0 air yards per game last year: 88th percentile among wideouts.. Terry McLaurin's 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for wideouts.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jayden Daniels in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. The Eagles cornerbacks rank as the 7th-worst unit in the league last year in covering pass-catchers.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 53.0% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The Commanders have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, averaging a measly 53.6 plays per game.