Washington Commanders

3rd in NFC East (3 - 7 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 16 09:30 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaylen Waddle Score a Touchdown Props • Miami

Jaylen Waddle
J. Waddle
wide receiver WR • Miami
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (58.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Miami Dolphins. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With a high 25.0% Red Zone Target Share (93rd percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle places among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. Jaylen Waddle has accumulated far more air yards this season (84.0 per game) than he did last season (56.0 per game). Jaylen Waddle's 60.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.

Jaylen Waddle

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.51
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.51

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (58.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Miami Dolphins. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With a high 25.0% Red Zone Target Share (93rd percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle places among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. Jaylen Waddle has accumulated far more air yards this season (84.0 per game) than he did last season (56.0 per game). Jaylen Waddle's 60.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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