Colorado @ Dallas picks
American Airlines Center
COL vs DAL Covers Picks
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Nathan MacKinnon o3.5 Shots (-120)
Nathan MacKinnon has picked up at least a point in seven straight against the Stars, and his shot outputs are even more impressive. He's recorded 4+ shots in 11 of the past 12 head-to-head meetings while averaging 6.09 shots on target over the last 22 matchups. Let me repeat: 6.09 shots on target per game spanning the last 22. Not attempts, shots on net. His shot generation against Dallas is unlike anything we’ve seen.
Colorado (-112)
There will be a dramatic mismatch on the ice in terms of shots on goal when the Avalanche meet the Stars in Game 1. The Avs have registered the second-most SOG since the 4 Nations Face-Off (31.0) and allowed the fourth-fewest (24.5), while the Stars have tallied the fourth-fewest shots for (25.1) and most shots against (33.3) in the same span. It's easy to see why Dallas has dropped seven straight heading into the postseason. With Colorado getting up to full-strength after battling injuries all year long while the Stars sorely miss Miro Heiskanen, expect the Avs to make a statement on Saturday and steal home-ice advantage.
