Wimbledon is here at long last, and we’re looking at a women’s draw with a ton of parity this year.
Unlike at Roland Garros, or even the two hardcourt Grand Slams, this isn’t a tournament where we can safely say Iga Swiatek is the player to beat. She’s been good on grass over the years, sure, but far from dominant with just nine wins in 13 matches here.
The World No. 1 will be looking to make the semifinals here for the first time ever, but in a bit of good news for the Pole, the Wimbledon odds favorites enter this one with several question marks.
Who’s trending in the right direction heading into this year’s championships? Let’s open up the form book and hand out some longshots to target in our 2024 Women’s Wimbledon betting preview.
Wimbledon women's championship odds
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | +275 | +350 | +320 |
| Iga Swiatek | +350 | +340 | +350 |
| Elena Rybakina | +450 | +500 | +450 |
| Coco Gauff | +600 | +600 | +650 |
| Naomi Osaka | +1,200 | +1,300 | +1,300 |
| Marketa Vondrousova | +1,400 | +3,400 | +2,500 |
| Ons Jabeur | +1,600 | +1,500 | +1,600 |
| Mirra Andreeva | +2,000 | +2,300 | +2,500 |
| Jessica Pegula | +2,000 | +1,800 | +2,200 |
Odds as of 6/25.
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Wimbledon women's favorites
Who's hot
Iga Swiatek (+350 at bet365)
It’s hard to say Swiatek’s not hot at the moment given she’s won 19 consecutive matches dating back to the start of Madrid in late April. In doing so, she’s taken home the last three tournaments she’s entered in – including this year’s French Open.
The qualifier here is that Swiatek will enter Wimbledon without a single grass-court match this year, so she’s in a little bit of a different spot than the others on this list. With that said, even though grass hasn’t been her strong suit over the years due to her preference to play with heavy topspin, Swiatek did go 7-1 on the surface a season ago.
Ons Jabeur (+1,600 at bet365)
The World No. 10 found a bit of life this spring after a long stretch of disappointment, running out to the quarterfinals of the French Open and taking that form onto the grass where she went 4-1 prior to retiring against Coco Gauff.
The positive news is that it seemed Jabeur’s retirement was due to extremely hot conditions or perhaps an illness. She’s looking much better these days and has made the final two years in a row here at the All-England Club.
Jessica Pegula (+2,000 at bet365)
The American still resides squarely inside the world’s top 10 despite a tumultuous season which has seen her miss time due to injury and suffer some surprising defeats. She’s nursed herself back to full health after almost two months away from the game, entering into three grass-court tournaments and coming out of them with a 5-2 record.
Pegula may have been defeated in her most recent match, which came in the first round of Eastbourne, but we can excuse that defeat given Emma Raducanu played well and Pegula was a bit fatigued after taking home the title in Berlin. As far as the best in the world go, Pegula’s just as hot as anyone.
Jasmine Paolini (+5,000 at bet365)
The Italian is out to prove she’s not a one-hit-wonder, building off her appearance in the French Open final with a couple of wins on the grass to no losses as of this writing. It remains to be seen how she’ll stack up to better competition as Eastbourne rolls on, or how things will go against the large field at Wimbledon, but at the moment there’s nothing suggesting that the late bloomer can’t be a problem in the coming weeks.
Paolini may be just 8-13 in her career on grass, but she’s 4-3 now over the past two seasons and does have the power to use this surface to her advantage. She was also working on a career-best season even before her French Open run, winning in Dubai earlier in the season and piling up a ton of wins.
Who's Not
Aryna Sabalenka (+320 at DraftKings)
The Belarusian may enter this tournament as the favorite, but she sure doesn’t feel like it at the moment.
Yes, it’s true that Sabalenka’s all-world serve and forehand are tough to stop on fast grass courts, and she’s not only made back-to-back Wimbledon semifinals but has put together a nice career record on the turf.
It’s also true that she’s lost two of her last three matches now, suffering a disappointing loss in the Roland Garros quarterfinals to Mirra Andreeva before retiring from just her second grass-court match of the year due to shoulder pain.
It’s not looking all that great right now for Sabalenka, and bettors should approach her with caution.
Elena Rybakina (+500 at FanDuel)
Ironically, it seems the injury bug was contagious in Berlin as Rybakina was forced to retire just a day after advancing past an injured Sabalenka after hurting her abdomen.
It couldn’t have come at a worse time, either, given the World No. 4 had a deflating quarterfinal loss of her own at the French Open and was hoping to build back some form on a surface she’s dominated on for many years.
Like Sabalenka, Rybakina has the tools to be a weapon here given her incredible power – and those tools led her to a Wimbledon title a couple of seasons back. She’ll enter this one in a bit of a strange spot, however.
Wimbledon women's sleepers
Players to watch
Emma Raducanu (+2,000 at bet365)
Do I like putting her here? I really don’t. But it’s hard to deny that Raducanu has the game to beat almost anyone when she heats up and begins to play with rhythm and confidence.
The Brit has had two tough seasons, and prior to missing last year’s championships at the All England Club was knocked out in just the second round. She did, however, make the fourth round here in her debut three years ago, and her run to the US Open title years back was well-documented.
Playing at home with some form now, going 4-2 on grass over the last couple of weeks on a surface she has displayed a ton of potential on, it’s hard to ignore her value.
Jelena Ostapenko (+5,000 at bet365)
I feel like I include her here every tournament, but that’s the kind of potential that Ostapenko has. She hits big and plays a very aggressive style of tennis, a play style that works very well on the grass. She’s been excellent on the surface as a result of her career, and in the last three years stands at 17-7 in all grass competitions.
Ostapenko’s won a Grand Slam before, years ago at Roland Garros, and has made the semis here before as well. Why not?
Longshots to avoid
Danielle Collins (4,000 at bet365)
It pains me to say it, as I’ve enjoyed her farewell tour just as much as anybody, but it’s hard to believe in Collins at Wimbledon given the 7-10 record she owns on turf throughout her long career. The American has only reached the third round once in five appearances, totaling a 4-5 record overall.
In theory, her skills should translate to grass. However, that’s just a theory – and as we’ve seen over the years with a ton of players in both the men’s and women’s draws it’s a surface that takes time and practice to master. I’ll circle back on Collins as a longshot ahead of the US Open.
