The NFL MVP odds board took another shuffling after Week 11 action.
The Buffalo Bills delivered the Kansas City Chiefs' first loss of the season, propelling Josh Allen into overall favorite status. Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes fell out of the Top 3 thanks to the loss combined with Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions obliterating the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Here are the latest NFL odds surrounding the NFL MVP.
2024-25 NFL MVP odds
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
 Josh Allen |
+150 | +125 | +150 |
 Lamar Jackson |
+200 | +200 | +190 |
 Jared Goff |
+600 | +800 | +600 |
 Patrick Mahomes |
+1,100 | +1,200 | +1,200 |
 Jalen Hurts |
+1,200 | +1,700 | +1,400 |
 Kyler Murray |
+1,500 | +1,700 | +2,000 |
 Justin Herbert |
+2,000 | +2,500 | +2,200 |
 Brock Purdy |
+2,200 | +6,500 | +3,500 |
 Joe Burrow |
+2,500 | +4,500 | +3,500 |
 Jayden Daniels |
+2,500 | +4,000 | +3,000 |
Odds as of 11-18.
NFL MVP favorites
Josh Allen (+150)
Josh Allen wasn't his sharpest during the Buffalo Bills' Week 11 win, going 27-for-40 for 262 yards and one touchdown to go along with one pick, but the Kansas City Chiefs defense is among the best. And being responsible for KC's first loss of the season means something.
Besides, Allen didn't only rely on his arm. He led the Bills in rushing yards (55 on 12 carries) and ran for a late touchdown to put the game on ice. Allen & Co. get a much-deserved bye and he will go into Week 12 as the betting favorite to win NFL MVP.
| YARDS | TD | INT | QBR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2,543 | 18 | 5 | 72.6 |
Lamar Jackson (+200)
Lamar Jackson was wobbly against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 11, completing 16 of 33 passes for 207 yards and one TD to one INT in the 18-16 loss. Had the Baltimore Ravens QB put out a dynamite performance, it would have been reasonable to expect him to have held onto the top spot. As it is, he's now behind Allen by a modest number.
| YARDS | TD | INT | QBR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2,876 | 25 | 3 | 75.1 |
Jared Goff (+600)
Patrick Mahomes & Co. fell to the Bills and Jared Goff looked superhuman in the Detroit Lions' 52-6 annihilation of the Jacksonville Jaguars. Goff was 24-for-29 with 412 passing yards (his most in a single game since 2019), four touchdown passes, and zero interceptions.
This was a welcome performance after he threw a career-worst five picks in Week 10 (somehow a Detroit victory) while completing just half of his passing attempts.
| YARDS | TD | INT | QBR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2,492 | 20 | 9 | 59.2 |
Patrick Mahomes (+1,100)
Patrick Mahomes is having a weird season. Not a bad one, but a weird one. His TD:INT ratio of 15:11 is concerning, and he's outside the Top 5 in all major passing categories.
Mahomes held down a Top 3 spot on the NFL MVP odds board up until Week 11, but that was mainly due to the Kansas City Chiefs going undefeated in that stretch. The perfect season narrative is no longer something Patty can hold on to, and the K.C. quarterback will need to step up his play immensely if he wants to hang in the MVP convo with the juggernauts listed above him.
| YARDS | TD | INT | QBR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2,404 | 15 | 11 | 67.0 |
NFL MVP odds movement over time
NFL MVP odds prediction
Josh Allen scoring the game-clinching touchdown against Kansas City propelled him to favorite status, and I think he'll stay there for the remainder of the season.
The Buffalo Bills have a much-deserved bye in Week 12, then face a daunting three-game run that includes dates with the 49ers, Rams, and Detroit Lions. However, Buffalo is no stranger to beating top teams, and if the Bills can go at least 2-1 in that stretch, it sets up Allen to pile on the stats against the Jets and two games vs. the lowly Pats to close out the season.
Grab Allen at plus money while you still can.
Pick: Josh Allen (+150 at DraftKings)
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Notable NFL MVP betting splits
- Through 11 weeks, Jared Goff holds 11.5% of MVP tickets, while Josh Allen has 16.3% of handle at BetMGM.
- Jackson has seen his odds go from +900 to as low as +110 at BetMGM.
- Jared Goff is considered the highest liability at BetMGM.
Popular NFL futures markets
2024 NFL MVP opening odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes |
+600 |
| Josh Allen |
+650 |
| Joe Burrow |
+800 |
| Lamar Jackson |
+900 |
 Jordan Love |
+1,200 |
| Brock Purdy |
+1,200 |
| Justin Herbert |
+1,200 |
 C.J. Stroud |
+1,400 |
| Jalen Hurts |
+1,500 |
 Dak Prescott |
+1,500 |
Opening odds for the 2024 NFL MVP award were released immediately after Super Bowl LVIII on February 12, 2024. Surprise, surprise, all 10 spots were occupied by quarterbacks.
NFL MVP winners by position
| Position | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
| Quarterback | 47 |
| Running back | 13 |
| Fullback | 4 |
| Halfback | 1 |
| Kicker | 1 |
| Defensive tackle | 1 |
| Linebacker | 1 |
Offensive players have dominated the NFL MVP Award since its inception. Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) are the only defensive players to receive the honor since 1957.
NFL MVP winners by team
| Team | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers |
10 |
 Indianapolis Colts |
8 |
| San Francisco 49ers |
5 |
 Cleveland Browns |
4 |
 Los Angeles Rams |
4 |
 Las Vegas Raiders |
4 |
 New England Patriots |
3 |
| Washington Commanders |
3 |
| Kansas City Chiefs |
3 |
The rest of the league has a way to go before catching up with the Packers. Green Bay's 10 NFL MVP trophies are split among Paul Hornung (1961), Jim Taylor (1962), Bart Starr (1966), Brett Favre (1995, 1996, 1997), and Aaron Rodgers (2011, 2014, 2020, 2021).
Former NFL MVP winners
| Player | Year | Opening Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson |
2023 | +1,600 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2022 | +700 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2021 | +800 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2020 | +3,000 |
| Lamar Jackson |
2019 | +4,000 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2018 | +3,525 |
| Tom Brady |
2017 | +385 |
 Matt Ryan |
2016 | +7,500 |
 Cam Newton |
2015 | +5,200 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2014 | +600 |
Listed above are the last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award, with Aaron Rodgers claiming three of them while on the Green Bay Packers.
NFL MVP Odds FAQs
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is the betting favorite to win the 2024-25 NFL MVP award.
Lamar Jackson won the NFL MVP award in 2023 after leading the Baltimore Ravens to a stellar 13-4 record.
Running back Adrian Peterson won the NFL MVP award in 2012 as a member of the Minnesota Vikings.
While it's rare, a defensive player can win the MVP. The most famous example is linebacker Lawrence Taylor, who won in 1986. However, offensive players, particularly quarterbacks, typically dominate the award.
Who Decides the NFL MVP Winner? The winner is determined by a vote from 50 sportswriters, broadcasters, and former players from each of the 32 NFL cities. Additionally, fans can submit votes via an online ballot. The player with the most points wins the award.
Yes, you can place multiple bets on different players for the MVP award, though your potential payout will depend on the odds at the time of your bet and the likelihood of each player's performance.
In the event of a tie, the NFL MVP will typically be awarded to multiple players, although this has only happened a few times in league history. Betting sites usually clarify the rules for tied outcomes in their terms and conditions.
A longshot MVP bet is a wager on a player who is considered an unlikely winner of the MVP award. These bets often have high odds, which means a larger payout if the player somehow wins.
