Josh Allen Remains The NFL MVP Odds Favorite Over Lamar Jackson

Bills QB Josh Allen played just one snap vs. the Patriots in Week 18 while Ravens QB Lamar Jackson threw for two TD passes vs. the Browns. The NFL MVP odds fluctuated but Allen remains the favorite.

Robert Criscola - Contributor at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Publishing Editor
Jan 6, 2025 • 09:12 ET • 4 min read
NFL MVP odds
Photo By - Kimberly P. Mitchell / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Updated NFL MVP odds have Josh Allen as a -230 favorite after playing just one snap to extend his games played streak in Week 18. Lamar Jackson played on Saturday and put up a modest statline vs. the Browns, going 16-for-32 for 217 yards and two TDs. He also ran nine times for 63 yards.

Here are the latest NFL odds surrounding the NFL MVP with Week 18 in the books.

NFL MVP odds

Here is a look at updated NFL MVP odds. Compare Most Valuable Player odds from the top sportsbooks and click on the odds to bet now. Josh Allen (-230) is the current favorite.

Player DraftKings FanDuel bet365*
49ers Josh Allen -230 -470 -350
Ravens Lamar Jackson +185 +360 +250
Bengals Joe Burrow +1400 +2200 +2500
Eagles Saquon Barkley +6000 +5000 +4000
Lions Jared Goff +10000 +20000 +10000
Vikings Sam Darnold +10000 +20000 +10000

*bet365 odds as of 1-2.

NFL MVP odds are constantly in flux throughout the regular season. Here are what NFL Most Valuable Player odds looked like at the start of this season.

  • Patrick Mahomes (+500)
  • Josh Alen (+850)
  • Joe Burrow (+900)
  • Jalen Hurts (+1000)
  • CJ Stroud (+1000)
  • Jordan Love (+1400)
  • Lamar Jackson (+1600)
  • Brock Purdy (+1600)
  • Dak Prescott (+1800)
  • Aaron Rodgers (+2000)
  • Jared Goff (+2200)
  • Tua Tagovailoa (+2500)
  • Justin Herbert (+3000)
  • Matthew Stafford (+3000)
  • Trevor Lawrence (+3500)
  • Baker Mayfield (+6600)

NFL MVP betting odds favorites

Here is a look at NFL MVP betting odds favorites.

Josh Allen NFL MVP odds (-230)

The Bills quarterback separated himself from the NFL MVP odds pack with a fantastic stretch of play, but the narrative seemingly changed overnight after the Bills barely squeaked by the lowly Patriots in Week 16. However, if you're a Josh Allen ticket holder, don't sweat. 

Allen led the charge in a 40-14 smacking of the New York Jets, where he accounted for three scores and zero interceptions prior to essentially taking Week 18 off with the No. 2 seed locked up.

Lamar Jackson NFL MVP odds (+185)

Lamar Jackson has the second-lowest NFL MVP odds following a massive win over the Houston Texans and a division-clinching triumph over the Cleveland Browns to end the year. He is, by far, the biggest threat to Allen's MVP chances at this point, but is it too little too late?

Joe Burrow NFL MVP odds (+1400)

Joe Burrow's late playoff surge opened up the MVP narrative, with his eye-popping stats turning heads. But the Bengals simply left themselves too much to do late in the year and were eliminated following the Denver Broncos' win in Week 18.

NFL MVP odds movement over time

NFL MVP predictions

Oddsmakers are telling us that if the season ended today, Josh Allen (-230) would be the NFL MVP over Lamar Jackson (+185 at bet365). 

Kyle LaRusic's NFL MVP prediction: Josh Allen

Josh Allen scoring the game-clinching touchdown against Kansas City last month propelled him to favorite status, and I think he'll stay there for the remainder of the season.

Allen owned the Jets in Week 17, and if that's the last time we see him in the regular season, he made a great closing argument.

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Who are people betting on for NFL MVP?

The numbers are in at BetMGM, and they paint an interesting picture of the 2025 NFL MVP race.

The sportsbook is reporting Jared Goff is generating the highest ticket percentage at 12.1%. The highest handle percentage, meanwhile, belongs to Josh Allen at 17.7%. BetMGM lists Goff as its biggest liability at this point in the season.


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NFL MVP winners by position

Position NFL MVP Awards
Quarterback 47
Running back 13
Fullback 4
Halfback 1
Kicker 1
Defensive tackle 1
Linebacker 1

Offensive players have dominated the NFL MVP Award since its inception. Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) are the only defensive players to receive the honor since 1957.

NFL MVP winners by team

Team NFL MVP Awards
Packers Green Bay Packers 10
Colts Indianapolis Colts 8
49ers San Francisco 49ers 5
Browns Cleveland Browns 4
Rams Los Angeles Rams 4
Raiders Las Vegas Raiders 4
Patriots New England Patriots 3
Commanders Washington Commanders 3
Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs 3

The rest of the league has a way to go before catching up with the Packers. Green Bay's 10 NFL MVP trophies are split among Paul Hornung (1961), Jim Taylor (1962), Bart Starr (1966), Brett Favre (1995, 1996, 1997), and Aaron Rodgers (2011, 2014, 2020, 2021).

Former NFL MVP winners

Player Year Opening Odds
Ravens Lamar Jackson 2023 +1,600
Chiefs Patrick Mahomes 2022 +700
Jets Aaron Rodgers 2021 +800
Jets Aaron Rodgers 2020 +3,000
Ravens Lamar Jackson 2019 +4,000
Chiefs Patrick Mahomes 2018 +3,525
Dolphins Tom Brady 2017 +385
Cowboys Matt Ryan 2016 +7,500
Cowboys Cam Newton 2015 +5,200
Jets Aaron Rodgers 2014 +600

Listed above are the last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award, with Aaron Rodgers claiming three of them while on the Green Bay Packers.

NFL MVP Odds FAQs

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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