Two teams destined for a first-round playoff matchup will fight for home-court advantage when the Seattle Storm hosts the Las Vegas Aces tonight.
There will be a real postseason feel, and my Aces vs. Storm predictions for September 17 explain why the Under is your best option in this affair. Read all about it in the WNBA picks below.
Aces vs Storm predictions
My best bet
Under 163 (-110 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The Seattle Storm will be down Jewell Loyd and center Ezi Magbegor tonight, which is why the line moved so much in the direction of the Las Vegas Aces. Perhaps too far, as I still expect Seattle to take this game seriously and put up a real fight in front of its home fans.
With the spread looking so unappetizing, the total is a much better target.
The Aces have allowed an average of just 73 points over their last eight games, and with Seattle missing its best scorer and another key starter, it’s going to be tough for it to disrupt the trend.
The Storm have had mixed results on defense so far this year, though they did hold Las Vegas to just 65 points in the first matchup between these teams back in June.
Seattle ranks fourth in the league in defensive rating (96.2 ppg). That number is often offset somewhat by the Storm’s fast pace of play — second in the league in most pace metrics — but it’s likely Seattle will rein in its offense with Loyd out of the lineup, resulting in fewer possessions.
Las Vegas has hit the Under in seven of its last eight games, and both sides should be taking this game seriously and giving full effort on the defensive end.
Aces vs Storm same-game parlay (SGP)
Under 163
Storm +8
A'ja Wilson Under 27.5 points
Going along with the Under, I’ll take the Storm getting a generous eight points. Lower-scoring games tend towards closer finals, and the Aces have only won by as much as nine points once in the first three games between these teams this year — and that game took place in Las Vegas.
I’ll also take A’ja Wilson to hit the Under on her scoring prop. The WNBA has never seen a scorer quite like Wilson, but I can’t expect her to get Over 27.5 points in a tough matchup on the road late in the year. Wilson has only hit that total once in her last four games and also came up short of that total in two of her three games against Seattle this season.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Aces vs Storm odds
Aces vs Storm live odds
Get the latest Aces vs Storm WNBA odds for tonight.
Aces vs Storm opening odds
- Spread: Las Vegas -5.5 (-110) | Seattle +5.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Las Vegas -250 | Seattle +200
- Over/Under: Over 163.5 (-110) | Under 163.5 (-110)
Aces vs Storm spread and Over/Under analysis
- Both teams have struggled against the spread this season. Las Vegas is 17-20-1 ATS, while Seattle is only slightly better at 18-20.
- The Aces have covered in two of their three meetings against the Storm this season and are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against Seattle overall.
- The Under has a 22-16 edge in Aces games this season and also has a 21-16-1 record in Storm games in 2024.
- Las Vegas is playing to an average total of 167.2 points per game this year, with Seattle posting an average total of 162.2 ppg.
Aces vs Storm trend
The Under is 6-0 in Las Vegas’ last six games overall. Find more WNBA betting trends for Aces vs. Storm.
Aces vs Storm game info
| Location: | Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA |
| Date: | Tuesday, 9-17-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Silver State Sports & Entertainment Network, FOX 13+ |
Aces vs Storm latest injuries
Aces: No injuries to report.
Storm: Ezi Magbegor C (Out), Jewell Loyd G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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