Dream vs Sun Predictions, Picks, & Odds for Today’s WNBA Game

The Connecticut Sun look to continue their dominant season at home from Mohegan Sun Arena against the struggling Atlanta Dream.

With an MVP candidate leading the Sun, the WNBA odds have them as a 12-point favorite in what could be a blowout. 

Find out where my best bets lie in our Dream vs. Sun predictions and WNBA picks on Sunday, July 7.

Dream vs Sun predictions

My best bet
Alyssa Thomas Over 29.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 at bet365)

My analysis

The WNBA is so talent-rich right now that Alyssa Thomas can borderline average a triple-double in back-to-back seasons and still not win MVP. After coming fourth two years ago and being the runner-up last year, it looks like she’ll place Top 3 but not take it home again this season.

While unseating A’ja Wilson atop the WNBA MVP odds is an impossible task, Thomas remains the most unique player in the league. She’s a dominant rebounder with scoring touch around the rim and innate playmaking instincts that allow her to set her teammates up for easy buckets.

Good luck to the Dream. Stopping Thomas isn’t really possible, which is why the Connecticut Sun are 16-4 this season. The 6-foot-2 forward dubbed “The Engine” is averaging a combined 29.6 points, rebounds, and assists, and has bullied the Atlanta Dream in her two games against them this season.

While the Dream did beat the Sun the last time the two played, Thomas is averaging 32 points, rebounds, and assists against them. She should be able to put up similar numbers once again against a Dream team that’s fourth-last in net rating (-6.0). 

Not only is Atlanta in the back half of the league in defensive rating (103.4), but it’s allowing the third-most defensive rebounds per game to opponents (27.3) and giving up the sixth-most assists (20.9).

While Thomas isn’t a high-volume shooter, she can hit the Over on this prop thanks to her rebounds and assists. She’s coming off a triple-double against the Minnesota Lynx, and has hit double-digit rebounds in nine games this season and double-digit assists in four.

Thomas has already gone Over 29.5 points, rebounds, and assists in 11 of 20 games this season.

Dream vs Sun same-game parlay (SGP)

Alyssa Thomas Over 29.5 points + rebounds + assists

DeWanna Bonner Over 1.5 made 3s

Allisha Gray Over 17.5 points

+500 at bet365

What makes the Sun such a tough matchup is Thomas’ ability to find cutters and kick to open shooters, which is why she works perfectly with DeWanna Bonner. At 6-foot-4, the five-time All-Star can space the floor or win down low.

That ability from behind the arc should come in handy against the Dream. Atlanta is allowing the third-highest 3-point percentage in the WNBA (35%) and giving up 8.3 threes per game. 

While Bonner’s shooting has been a little iffy this season, she’s still taking a ton of 3s, leading the team with 5.3 attempts per game. That volume should help her hit at least two for the 11th time this season.

To make this a game against Thomas and Bonner, the Dream need Allisha Gray to keep up her impressive play. With Rhyne Howard out due to an ankle injury, Gray has taken on a bigger workload. As a result, she’s averaging 19.7 ppg over her last four games and has topped 17.5 in five of her last eight.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Dream vs Sun live odds

Get the latest Dream vs. Sun WNBA odds for tonight.

Dream vs Sun opening odds

• Spread: Atlanta +11 | Connecticut -11
• Moneyline: Atlanta +526 | Connecticut -762
• Over/Under: Over 152| Under 152

Dream vs Sun spread and Over/Under analysis

• With the Sun being one of the best teams in the WNBA, they opened between -11 and -12.5 with most books sitting around -12 as tip approaches.
• Connecticut is just 9-11 ATS this season and Atlanta is just as bad at 8-11.
• The Over/Under opened as high as 152.5 with most books coming down to 150.5.
• The Sun are just 9-11 betting the Over this season, but the Dream are 10-9.

Dream vs Sun trend

The Dream have hit the game total Over in five of their last six games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Dream vs. Sun.

Dream vs Sun game info

Dream vs Sun latest injuries

Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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