Fever vs Mystics Predictions, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Caitlin Clark has come as advertised and a victory tonight over the Washington Mystics would deliver a winning season to the Indiana Fever for the first time since 2015. Our WNBA picks expect this to happen as the Fever won't be resting their stars.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Sep 19, 2024 • 09:27 ET • 4 min read
Caitlin Clark Indiana Fever WNBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Indiana Fever hit the road in search of their 21st victory of the season, but the Washington Mystics stand in their way.

While Indiana hasn’t had a winning season since 2015 — and Washington is trying to make the playoffs — my Fever vs. Mystics predictions and WNBA picks like the away team on the moneyline. 

Fever vs Mystics predictions

My best bet
Fever moneyline (+110 at bet365)

My analysis

Both teams in tonight’s regular-season finale between the Indiana Fever and Washington Mystics have a ton left to play for.  
 
The Fever has already clinched the sixth seed, but they have been chasing their first winning season since 2015. That is huge considering Indiana has the youngest roster in the WNBA.

The Mystics need a win just to remain in the playoff conversation after dropping two of their last three. It's been tough sledding as second-leading scorer Brittney Sykes has been hobbled for much of the second half, rookie forward Aaliyah Edwards has been ruled out tonight, and center Shakira Austin is out for the season. 

With a full roster, Washington ranks 10th in scoring but the Mystics likely won’t outscore the leading offense averaging 91 points since the Olympics. Washington plays stingy defense, but that stop unit will struggle to defend Indiana’s high-scoring trio of Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell, and Aliyah Boston.  

Indiana hasn’t lost to a losing team in July, with their three losses since the Paris break have come against the league leaders. The Fever are 7-0 in their last seven against teams with a losing record and playing on three days' rest. With the game total rising, I like Indiana’s chances of winning a higher-scoring game.

Caitlin Clark pick: Grand Finale

My best bet
Caitlin Clark Over 20.5 points (-115 at bet365)

My analysis

Clark leads the league in assists and 3-pointers made, which is quite an accomplishment for a rookie. She’s also scored 21+ in nine of her 12 games since the Paris break.

The break did her some good. Clark is draining 43% from inside the arc and 34% from downtown since play resumed. The Fever are the sixth seed in the playoffs because of Clark’s improved shooting, and she could have a big scoring tonight.

Washington is a decent defensive team, but Clark and the Fever offense are on a different level. The Mystics won’t be able to double-team her because of Mitchell’s scoring prowess, and that’s where Clark either takes her defender to the cup or nails a step-back three.

Clark is on fire — she scored 35 on Sunday vs. Dallas — and the Mystics backcourt is hobbled, which bodes well for her to clear her scoring prop tonight

Fever vs Mystics same-game parlay (SGP)

Fever moneyline

Caitlin Clark 21+ points

Kelsey Mitchell 20+ points

Kelsey Mitchell benefits from her elite slashing skills; she cuts to the cup better than anyone, and Clark and Boston are looking for her for easy layups. She’s knocking down 45% of her eight triple attempts while draining 50% from the field. 

Mitchell is the second-leading scorer since the break, scoring 20+ in 12 of her 13 contests, and should clear 20+ tonight against the Mystics hobbled backcourt.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Fever vs Mystics odds

Fever vs Mystics live odds

Get the latest Fever vs Mystics WNBA odds for tonight.

Fever vs Mystics opening odds

  • Spread: Indiana +4.5 (-110) | Washington -4.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Indiana +150 | Washington -180
  • Over/Under: Over 162.5 (-110) | Under 162.5 (-110)

Fever vs Mystics spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Indiana opened as high as +4.5 (-110), but news the Fever isn’t resting players has caused the line to dip as low as +2 (-110).
  • Washington is 21-8 ATS across its last 29 games. 
  • The total has spiked from the 162.5 (-110) opener to 165 (-110). The Over is 3-0-0 across their three meetings this season.

Fever vs Mystics trend

The Indiana Fever are 7-0 on the moneyline across their last seven against teams with a losing record. Find more WNBA betting trends for Fever vs. Mystics.

Fever vs Mystics game info

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
Date: Thursday, 9-19-2024
Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: MeTV Indianapolis, Monumental SN

Fever vs Mystics latest injuries

Fever: None.
Mystics: Shakira Austin C (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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