WNBA bettors get a battle between the top two picks in the loaded 2024 draft class when Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever visit Cameron Brink and the Los Angeles Spark tonight.
Clark the Fever are still searching for their first win of the year (0-5 SU and 3-2 ATS), and the WNBA odds believe that victory will come in L.A. with Indiana installed as a road favorite. Los Angeles is 1-2 SU to start the season (1-1-1 ATS), defending home court in a win over Washington on Tuesday.
My Fever vs. Sparks prediction sizes up why Rickea Jackson's impact could be on the rise, as I give my best WNBA picks on May 24.
Fever vs Sparks predictions
My best bet
Rickea Jackson Over 9.5 points (-130 at bet365)
My analysis
Overshadowed by the “Caitlin Clark vs. Cameron Brink” storyline is No. 4 pick Rickea Jackson.
Jackson is starting to get more run, logging 31 minutes of floor time off the bench in the win over Washington earlier this week. She finished that game going 4-for-8 for nine points on the heels of 13 points in 22 minutes against Las Vegas last week. She logged only 18 minutes and scored seven points in the Sparks' season opener.
There’s a great shot to make the most of that bump in minutes tonight, facing a Fever defense ranked dead last in the WNBA. Indiana lugs a defensive rating of 113.9 into La-La Land, allowing foes to average almost 92 points on 44.8% shooting.
Player projections for Jackson sit north of 12 points over an estimated 24 minutes. Should she get closer to 30 minutes, like last game, the Tennessee star has a ceiling just shy of 16 points.
WNBA player props are very low on Jackson’s scoring output with some books as short as 9.5 (Over -130) and other shops at 10.5 (Over -114). Given a tempered scoring forecast, the Over 9.5 should be priced as high as -233.
Caitlin Clark odds, prop for tonight
My best bet
Caitlin Clark Under 5.5 rebounds (-115 at BetRivers)
My analysis
Tracking the Caitlin Clark odds has been fun in her first few games, with WNBA player prop markets skewed due to her massive popularity.
For the most part, Clark has lived up to the hype — even if Indiana is winless. There’s no denying her offensive impact, averaging just shy of 18 points and six assists in her first five games as a pro.
Clark has also battled on the boards in those debut outings, pulling down six or more rebounds in three of her last four games. That has her rebound prop sitting at 5.5 O/U on Friday.
That total opened as low as 4.5 at some books and other shops have the Under 5.5 juiced to as high as -130 on Friday morning. Player projections for this matchup in L.A. call for just five rebounds from Clark, who’s taking on the top rebounding team in the WNBA right now.
The Sparks boast a rebound rate of 53.9% through three games, giving up an average of only 32 total rebounds against. The Fever, on the other hand, have been horrific on the glass. They’re second-worst in rebound rate (48%) and snatching less than 33 boards per contest.
If we shop around Friday morning, we can find Clark to go Under five rebounds at -115.
Fever vs Sparks same-game parlay (SGP)
Rickea Jackson Over 9.5 points
Caitlin Clark Under 5.5 rebounds
Los Angeles Sparks +2.5
Jackson can get buckets and is now getting minutes. I expect her to score 10 or more and remind everyone she’s a Top 5 pick too.
Clark’s projections call for five rebounds on the nose against the best rebounding team in the WNBA right now.
My power ratings pumped out a spread closer to a pick’em. Indiana is playing its second road game in three days, and third game in four days.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Fever vs Sparks odds
Fever vs Sparks live odds
Get the latest Fever vs Sparks WNBA odds for tonight.
Fever vs Sparks opening odds
- Spread: Indiana -2.5 (-112) | Los Angeles +2.5 (-108)
- Moneyline: Indiana -152 | Los Angeles +124
- Over/Under: Over 163.5 (-112) | Under 163.5 (-108)
Fever vs Sparks spread and Over/Under analysis
• Los Angeles opened as short as +1.5 for this Friday game, but action on Indiana has bumped this spread to as high as Fever -3 this morning. My WNBA power ratings had this game projected at closer to a pick’em.
• The Over/Under total hit the board at 163.5 points and jumped to as high as 164.5 O/U before buyback on the Under dropped the total back to its original post. Los Angeles is 2-1 O/U to start the season, while Indiana is 3-2 O/U, having played Over in three straight games.
• According to Covers Consensus data, 61% of picks are taking the points with the home team, while 52% of picks on the total are siding with the Over.
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Fever vs Sparks trend
The L.A. Sparks are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games versus Eastern Conference opponents. Find more WNBA betting trends for Fever vs. Sparks.
Fever vs Sparks game info
| Location: | Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date: | Friday, May 24, 2024 |
| Tip-off: | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ION |
Fever vs Sparks latest injuries
Fever: Damaris Dantas F (Out).
Sparks: Azura Stevens F (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Not intended for use in MA.
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