The New York Liberty travel to the Windy City for the final time this season and are favored to win their third consecutive game against the Chicago Sky.
The Liberty have convincingly won their previous two meetings with the Sky, and my Liberty vs. Sky predictions expect the trend to continue this afternoon.
Read on for my free WNBA picks for Saturday, July 13.
Liberty vs Sky predictions
My best bet
Liberty -5.5 (-108 at DraftKings)
My analysis
The New York Liberty and Chicago Sky square off Saturday in a rematch of their Thursday bout where the Liberty used their vast experience to stave off a pesky Sky offense for a fourth-quarter blowout.
The Thursday night clash followed what has been the soundtrack of the first three games of their season series; Chicago competes hard for three quarters before New York’s Olympians — Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones, and Sabrina Ionescu — take over the fourth.
The Liberty won’t want to lose this game. New York is 1.5 games ahead of the Connecticut Sun in the WNBA standings, and they meet the Sun on Tuesday night in their last tilt before the break. The past two games with Connecticut have been close, and they don’t want to go into the Olympic break looking up at the Sun.
Preventing Sky guard Chennedy Carter from going off early is the key today, and I believe N.Y. will. Carter scored 14 of her 22 points Thursday night on 6-for-14 shooting. The Liberty made her life difficult by throwing bodies at her in the first half, and by trapping and double-teaming the Sky leading scorer across the final 20 minutes.
Keeping Carter from early scoring outbursts is the first step, and that’s where Stewart and Jones take over. They were extremely physical Thursday against Sky rookies Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso; the Sky may have won the battle of the boards (36-30), but the Liberty combined for 37 points while holding the inexperienced rookie duo to 18 points on 9 of 22 shooting, and ultimately winning by a big number.
Expect the Liberty to come up big on both ends of the floor and cover the number today.
Liberty vs Sky same-game parlay (SGP)
I expect to see New York sending one last message in likely the final time they meet Chicago this season.
It will be difficult for the Sky to clear their team total when they haven’t done so in their last three, and that’s mostly because Angel Reese has failed to clear her season scoring average in four of her past six.
Reese has recorded 15 consecutive double-doubles, but she barely did so Thursday night because Stewart and Jones know how to shut her down offensively. Reese hasn’t scored 14+ in any of their previous three games.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Liberty vs Sky odds
Liberty vs Sky live odds
Get the latest Liberty vs Sky WNBA odds for tonight.
Liberty vs Sky opening odds
- Spread: New York -8.5 (-110) | Chicago +8.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: New York -350 | Chicago +275
- Over/Under: Over 165.5 (-105) | Under 165.5 (-115)
Liberty vs Sky spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Liberty opened favored by as many as eight points and are 6-2 ATS as the away team and 2-1 ATS this season against the Sky.
- The Sky are +5.5 underdogs across the betting boards and are 4-9 ATS across their past 13 and 1-6 ATS this season against teams with above .500 records.
- Over/Under markets opened as high as 166.5 (-110). Over 163 (-112) is the best number and price for that market while Under 163.5 is trading odds from -105 to -110.
- The Over is 2-1-0 across their past three contests.
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Liberty vs Sky trend
The Liberty are 6-2 ATS across their last eight away games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Liberty vs. Sky.
Liberty vs Sky game info
Location: | Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL |
Date: | Saturday, 7-13-2024 |
Tip-off: | 1:00 p.m. ET |
TV: | ABC |
Liberty vs Sky latest injuries
Liberty: No injuries to report.
Sky: Elizabeth Williams C (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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