The New York Liberty will try to snap out of their mini-funk on Friday night as they visit the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena.
The Liberty (26-8) have lost two of their last three games, and are only narrow favorites over the Storm (19-11) in tonight’s WNBA odds.
I believe New York can regain its form and will take advantage of a generous line in my free Liberty vs. Storm predictions and WNBA picks for August 30.
Liberty vs Storm predictions
My best bet
Liberty -3 (-108 at DraftKings)
My analysis
The New York Liberty have looked like the best team in the WNBA all season long, but you wouldn’t know this if you had only watched them over the past week. After dropping a game to a fellow championship contender in the Connecticut Sun, New York bounced back with a road win over the Phoenix Mercury. However, that was followed by a six-point defeat on Wednesday night at the hands of the Los Angeles Sparks, the team with the worst record in the league.
That’s not cause for panic in New York. The Liberty still have one of the most talented rosters in the WNBA, and they’ve only lost six games all season. New York has been elite on both ends of the court, with the combination of Breanna Stewart (20.1 ppg) and Sabrina Ionescu (19.3 ppg) giving the Liberty a level of scoring punch that few teams can match.
The Liberty match that attack with sharp defense. New York ranks third in defensive rating (94.4) and are holding opponents to just 42.5% shooting from the field. They don’t give up free points at the foul line either, as opponents get a league-low 14.8 free throw attempts per game.
New York faces one of their tougher opponents tonight. The Seattle Storm has nearly as much offensive firepower behind Jewell Loyd (20.4 ppg) and Nneka Ogwumike (17.2 ppg), and like the Liberty, they are among the top defensive teams in the WNBA.
But two factors have me favoring New York tonight. First, the Storm aren’t playing great as of late themselves, losing three of their last five and going just 1-8 against the spread in their last nine games overall.
Then there’s the fact that the Liberty continue to play up — or down — to their opponents. I’ve bet against New York when it has been a big favorite this year with great success. But outside of those games, the Liberty have been good for backers, going an incredible 15-3 ATS if we exclude games where they were double-digit favorites. I’m taking the Liberty to bounce back with a big road win tonight.
Liberty vs Storm same-game parlay (SGP)
Liberty -3
Under 163
Sabrina Ionescu Under 19.5 points
These are two of the best defensive squads in the WNBA, and both average totals that come in below tonight’s Over/Under. These two teams have also hit the Under in each of their last four head-to-head meetings, including a 74-63 defensive slog in their last game.
With both teams clamping down, I’ll throw in a bet on Ionescu to score Under 19.5 points tonight. There are a lot of players who should probably be favorites to come in Under their points totals in this one, but Ionescu is my best bet of the bunch, as she has scored 18 points or fewer in four of her last five games.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Liberty vs Storm odds
Liberty vs Storm live odds
Get the latest Liberty vs Storm WNBA odds for tonight.
Liberty vs Storm opening odds
- Spread: New York -1.5 (-110) | Seattle +1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: New York -120 | Seattle +100
- Over/Under: Over 163.5 (-110) | Under 163.5 (-110)
Liberty vs Storm spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Storm are 15-10 against the spread this year, but 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.
- The Over has a 14-12 record when the Liberty play this season, while the Under has the 14-10-1 edge in the Storm’s games this year.
- New York is playing to an average total of 161.7 ppg this season, with Seattle averaging a nearly identical 161.6 ppg total for the year.
Liberty vs Storm trend
The Liberty are 5-0 vs. the Storm over the past two seasons, winning all five games by at least four points. Find more WNBA betting trends for Liberty vs. Storm.
Liberty vs Storm game info
| Location: | Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA |
| Date: | Friday, 8-30-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ION |
Liberty vs Storm latest injuries
Liberty: Jonquel Jones F (Questionable).
Storm: Jordan Horston F (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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