The New York Liberty are looking for a series sweep when they meet the Dallas Wings for the fourth time this season.
Wings guard Arike Ogunbowale and Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu have been on fire since the Olympic Games break, and each should play a major role in tonight’s clash.
Find out why Ogunbowale’s points prop is the focus of my Liberty vs. Wings predictions and WNBA picks for Thursday, September 12.
Liberty vs Wings predictions
My best bet
Arike Ogunbowale Over 20.5 points (-120 at DraftKings)
My analysis
The Dallas Wings are riding the struggle bus.
The Wings began the season with high hopes, but early-season injuries, the Olympic Games, and uneven play have created a 9-27 group hoping to end a five-game losing streak when they take on the New York Liberty tonight.
Dallas plays the league’s worst defense, but it remains competitive behind the W’s second-leading scorer in Arike Ogunbowale, and she’s in line for a huge scoring night tonight.
The Wings have led the league in pace since the break, and Ogunbowale benefits from having forwards Satou Sabally and Natasha Howard on the court. Those ladies spread the floor, which allows a true scorer like Ogunbowale to beat defenders off the dribble, catch-and-shoot from the mid-range, or hit a step-back triple.
Ogunbowale will have her chances because the Liberty play the up-tempo hoops Ogunbowale thrives in. New York defends well, but Ogunbowale has been hard to slow since the break with 21+ points in six of her last seven games while averaging 26 points at home in that span.
The Liberty should give Ogunbowale the pace and the minutes she lives for. She lit up New York for 23 in a fast-paced Tuesday night affair and should comfortably clear 20.5 points tonight.
Liberty vs Wings same-game parlay (SGP)
Arike Ogunbowale 21+ points
Sabrina Ionescu 19+ points
Over 178
Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu should also thrive tonight. She’s been in a shooting slump but knocked down 55% from the field and 67% from downtown Tuesday night with 14 points in 26 minutes.
Ionescu should get 30+ minutes tonight and her clearing her scoring prop will fuel what I believe should be another high-scoring game. Dallas has allowed 95 points per night since the break, plays turnstile defense, and could surrender 100+ for the fourth time in five games.
Tonight’s matchup will be lightning-fast, and these clubs are Top 4 in scoring since the break.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Liberty vs Wings odds
Liberty vs Wings live odds
Get the latest Liberty vs Wings WNBA odds for tonight.
Liberty vs Wings opening odds
- Spread: New York -11.5 (-115) | Dallas +11.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: New York -750 | Dallas +525
- Over/Under: Over 177.5 (-115) | Under 177.5 (-105)
Liberty vs Wings spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Liberty are 2-3-0 ATS across their last five but 7-1 ATS in their previous eight road games.
- The Wings are 0-5-0 ATS across their last five and 3-7-0 ATS across their last 10 against teams with a winning record.
- The Over/Under record for the Liberty is 2-3-0 to the Over across their last five while the Wings’ last five have ended 4-1-0 to the Over.
Liberty vs Wings trend
Arike Ogunbowale has scored 21+ in seven of her previous eight games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Liberty vs. Wings.
Liberty vs Wings game info
| Location: | College Park Center, Arlington, TX |
| Date: | Thursday, 9-12-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Amazon |
Liberty vs Wings latest injuries
Liberty: None.
Wings: A. Kuier (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
