Sparks vs Mystics Predictions, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Although Dearica Hamby has seen her offensive output dip since the Olympic break, the Los Angeles Sparks forward continues to have a major impact around the rim. Jason Logan breaks it all down below in his latest expert handicap.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Aug 23, 2024 • 12:05 ET • 4 min read
Dearica Hamby Los Angeles Sparks WNBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It’s a battle of WNBA basement dwellers in D.C. when the Los Angeles Sparks take on the Washington Mystics on Friday night.

Both sides have also been bitten hard by the injury bug this season, most recently the Sparks, who are missing multiple starters in the second half of the schedule. That’s a big reason why the Mystics are favorites for just the second time all season.

Find out why my Sparks vs. Mystics predictions are zeroing in on Dearica Hamby's rebounding prop in our WNBA picks for August 23.

Sparks vs Mystics predictions

My best bet
Dearica Hamby Over 9.5 rebounds (+100 at BetRivers)

My analysis

Dearica Hamby is having trouble finding her form after the Olympic break, stumbling out of the blocks in the second half of the season. 

The Los Angeles Sparks forward is averaging less than 11 points over the last four games despite a season-long clip of 18 points an outing. Hamby has blown off this slump as just a “few off games”, but while her scoring touch is missing, her nose for the ball isn’t.

The Sparks’ 6-foot-3 forward has still been big on the boards, bringing down nine, 10, 11, and 13 rebounds in those four contests. She’ll have a chance to dominate the glass again tonight versus a shorthanded Washington Mystics team that could be down starting center Shakira Austin, who’s questionable due to illness.

Player projections for Hamby call for as many as 10.5 rebounds before making any adjustments for Washington’s missing pieces. The Mystics allow the fifth most rebounds per game to opponents, and Hamby has already had efforts of 11 and 18 boards against L.A. earlier this season.

Her rebounding prop is at 9.5 Over/Under, with the price on the Over spiking due to action. However, you can still find EVEN money being offered on Over 9.5 rebounds as of 11 a.m. ET on Friday morning.

Sparks vs Mystics same-game parlay (SGP)

Dearica Hamby Over 9.5 rebounds

Stefanie Dolson Over 9.5 points

Under 162.5

Hamby continues to control the glass and may have the paint all to herself tonight, with Austin coming down with an illness.

Stefanie Dolson steps into more touches if Austin is out. Her projections were flirting with 10 points before Austin’s status was downgraded to questionable, and she’s also a threat from outside.

Los Angeles is missing a ton of talent, especially in the backcourt, so the offense will be all over the place. Washington isn’t packing much of punch either, as these teams ranked 10th and 11th in offensive rating. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Sparks vs Mystics odds

Sparks vs Mystics live odds

Get the latest Sparks vs Mystics WNBA odds for tonight.

Sparks vs Mystics opening odds

  • Spread: Los Angeles +3.5 (-110) | Washington -3.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Los Angeles +140 | Washington -165
  • Over/Under: Over 161.5 (-110) | Under 161.5 (-110)

Sparks vs Mystics spread and Over/Under analysis

• Bookies opened Washington as a 3.5-point home favorite, which is just the second time all season the Mystics have been laying points. 

• That spread jumped to as high as -6 with L.A. again missing key players, but sunk to -4.5 when Austin was listed as questionable with an illness Friday morning.

• The Over/Under total hit the board at 161.5 points and climbed to 164 O/U before slimming to 162.5 points after Austin’s status update.

Sparks vs Mystics trend

Los Angeles has gone 0-3-1 O/U in its last four games since returning from the Olympic break. Find more WNBA betting trends for Sparks vs. Mystics.

Sparks vs Mystics game info

Location: Entertainment & Sports Arena, Washington, DC
Date: Friday, 8-23-2024
Tip-off: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ION

Sparks vs Mystics latest injuries

Sparks: Layshia Clarendon G (Questionable), Aari McDonald G (Questionable), Lexie Brown G (Out), Cameron Brink C (Out).

Mystics: Shakira Austin C (Questionable), Karlie Samuelson G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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