The 2024 WNBA Commissioner’s Cup continues Thursday night with a matchup between the Seattle Storm and Dallas Wings in Arlington, TX.
The Storm have won seven of their last eight games and are 3-1 in the Commissioner’s Cup. The Wings are now 0-4 in the Commissioner’s Cup and have lost five straight games overall.
My Storm vs. Wings predictions run down the spread and total for this Commissioner’s Cup battle as I give my best WNBA picks for June 13 featuring a Nneka Ogwumike prop.
Storm vs Wings predictions
My best bet
Nneka Ogwumike Over 16.5 points (-128 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The Seattle Storm have four losses this season, but three of those are to the same team – the Minnesota Lynx. Against every other team in the WNBA, they are 8-1. This will be the first matchup of the season against the Dallas Wings and because of their head-to-head loss to the Lynx, the Storm are eliminated from the Commissioner’s Cup.
However, this game still counts towards the regular season record and Seattle is trying to keep up with the top teams in the league, currently sitting at fourth in the league standings. The Storm have one of the better offenses in the WNBA and will look forward to facing one of the worst defenses in the league. The Storm average 82.8 points per game and the Wings allow an average of 85.4.
The Wings especially struggle allowing two-point field goal attempts and the Storm rank third in the WNBA in that very category on offense. Nneka Ogwumike is especially deadly in that area. She averages 11.6 attempts per game from within the 3-point line and shoots 61.5% on those attempts. This has led to an 18.2 point per game average.
The Wings also struggle in allowing offensive boards to their opponents and second-chance points. The Storm are the third-best offensive rebounding team in the league and Ogwumike averages 1.8 offensive boards per contest. She is coming off a 26-point performance in which she shot 10 of 14 from inside the arc and had two offensive rebounds against a much tougher opponent in the Las Vegas Aces.
Last week, Dallas allowed a rusty Brittney Griner to shoot 11 of 15 within the arc and tally up 24 points and five offensive rebounds. They will struggle again with Ogwumike, who averaged 20.8 points per game last year against the Wings for the Aces.
Storm vs Wings same-game parlay (SGP)
Nneka Ogwumike Over 16.5 points
Ezi Magbegor Over 8.5 rebounds
Storm moneyline
30% boost available
I talked about the Wings' issues with allowing offensive rebounds, and the leading offensive rebounder for the Storm is Ezi Magbegor. She averages 3.1 offensive boards per game and had six in her last contest against the Aces. She averages 9.4 total rebounds per game, and you can get her total at 8.5 here.
Finally, let's finish off the parlay with the Storm to win the game outright. The spread is a little too high for me given that the Wings are at home and have been on the cusp of getting rid of the losing streak with close games. This parlay is eligible for FanDuel's 30% WNBA profit boost.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Storm vs Wings odds
Storm vs Wings live odds
Get the latest Storm vs Wings WNBA odds for tonight.
Storm vs Wings opening odds
- Spread: Seattle -7 | Dallas +7
- Moneyline: Seattle -299 | Dallas +252
- Over/Under: Over 162 | Under 162
Storm vs Wings spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Storm opened as 3-point favorites, but the line moved all the way up to 7.5 points before landing at 6 on Thursday afternoon.
- The underdog has covered in seven of the last 10 matchups.
- The total opened at 160 but climbed as high as 162.5 before landing on 161 on Thursday afternoon.
- Five of the last seven matchups have gone Over the total.
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Storm vs Wings trend
The Storm are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. Find more WNBA betting trends for Storm vs. Wings.
Storm vs Wings game info
| Location: | College Park Center, Arlington, TX |
| Date: | Thursday, 6-13-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN |
Storm vs Wings latest injuries
Storm: None.
Wings: J. Brown (Ques), S. Sabally (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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