Wings vs Aces Predictions, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Satou Sabally has been getting buckets all season long and will have a particularly favorable matchup against a short-handed Las Vegas lineup tonight. She highlights our Wings vs. Aces predictions below.

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst
Sep 19, 2024 • 14:30 ET • 4 min read
Satou Sabally Dallas Wings WNBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Wings have been eliminated from playoff contention, but the team will look to finish its disappointing season on a high note against the Las Vegas Aces, who will be resting at least four starters.

With two-time Defensive Player of the Year A’ja Wilson out of action for Las Vegas, my Wings vs. Aces predictions like Satou Sabally to dominate the paint in this season finale. Read my WNBA picks below to find out why we're taking the Over on her scoring prop tonight. 

Wings vs Aces predictions

My best bet
Satou Sabally Over 19.5 points (+115 at bet365)

My analysis
Satou Sabally has appeared in just 14 games this season, but she's been impactful as a scorer since making her late-season debut. She’s averaging 17.4 points per game this season and simply needs to be average tonight to hit the Over on her standard 17.5 points prop. I’m not satisfied settling for that line, so I’m taking the alternate points prop at 19.5. 

She’s dropped 18+ points in nine of 14 games on the season including five 20-point efforts. Over her last two, she’s scored 27 and 18 points, and her season-high 28 points came against a Las Vegas Aces team sporting its full starting five.

Two-time defending Defensive Player of the Year A’ja Wilson will rest tonight alongside three other Aces starters. That means the 6-foot-5 Sabally can take advantage of this favorable matchup and dominate in the paint as a scorer.

I’m confident betting this line up to 19.5, where we can get plus-money odds for only one more made basket. This feels like easy money for her in a phenomenal spot.

Wings vs Aces same-game parlay (SGP)

Satou Sabally Over 19.5 points

Natasha Howard Over 6.5 rebounds

Arike Ogunbowale Over 19.5 points

Natasha Howard is averaging 6.7 rebounds per game this season and has hit the Over on this prop in a healthy 14 of 26 appearances. She's second on the team in rebounds per game behind only Teaira McCowan (8.1), who's suspended for tonight’s matchup. No McCowan and a vulnerable frontcourt sans A’ja Wilson make this Howard prop a no-brainer addition to our SGP.

Arike Ogwunbowale’s scoring prop is set at 21.5 and I even considered bumping it up to 24.5 to get plus-money odds on the alternate line. Instead, I’m going to play it safe and use the lower alternate line to beef up our three-legger.

She's averaging 22.2 points per game this season and has reached the 20-point mark in nine of her last 11 appearances. LV will be running backups against Dallas tonight, offering Ogwunbowale a chance to shine as a scorer.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Wings vs Aces odds

Wings vs Aces live odds

Get the latest Wings vs. Aces WNBA odds for tonight.

Wings vs Aces opening odds

  • Spread: Dallas +8.5 | Las Vegas -8.5
  • Moneyline: Dallas +350 | Las Vegas -450
  • Over/Under: Over 177.5 | Under 177.5

Wings vs Aces spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Aces are 8-2 straight up across their last 10 games and 8-1-1 ATS in those contests.

  • The Wings have won just two games in their last 10 outings, but the team has covered the spread in four of them. 

  • Minnesota has hit the Under in three of its last four and five of its last seven. Connecticut has hit the Under in five of its last six.

  • Las Vegas is just 2-8 to the Under across its last 10, with the Under cashing in seven straight.

Wings vs Aces trend

Las Vegas had won nine straight against Dallas before the Wings surprised the Aces with a 93-90 home victory on August 27. Despite the Aces’ lopsided win-loss record against the Wings, Dallas has covered the spread in three of its last five meetings. Find more WNBA betting trends for Wings vs. Aces.

Wings vs Aces game info

Location: Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Date: Thursday, 9-19-2024
Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: Fubo Sports

Wings vs Aces latest injuries

Wings: Stephanie Soares C (Out), Teair McCowan C (Out).
Aces: Chelsea Gray G (Questionable), Kelsey Plum G (Questionable), Jackie Young G (Questionable), A'ja Wilson C (Questionable), Kierstan Bell G (Questionable).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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