The Connecticut Sun will try to remain the last undefeated team in the WNBA when they host the Dallas Wings on Friday night.
The Sun (6-0) are coming off a 23-point win over the Phoenix Mercury on Tuesday, and are once again heavy favorites in our Wings vs. Sun predictions. However, Dallas has won two in a row and I think it can challenge Connecticut in its home-building tonight.
Find out more in my WNBA picks for May 31.
Wings vs Sun predictions
My best bet
Wings +9 (-108 at DraftKings)
My analysis
Although the Connecticut Sun came into 2024 with high expectations, few could have expected a 6-0 run to start the season.
Connecticut has dominated on both sides of the ball, ranking first in the WNBA in defensive rating and second in offensive rating. The Sun also have five players averaging double figures on the season, led by DeWanna Bonner (20.3 points per game).
Yet for all of its success, Connecticut hasn’t been a darling for bettors. The Sun have only covered once in their last five games, as the blowout win over the Mercury ended a streak of four wins by seven points or less.
The Dallas Wings, on the other hand, have covered in four of their five games this season. The Wings have done so as underdogs in each of their last three games — all on the road — winning two of them outright. Arike Ogunbowale is leading the league in scoring with 28.8 ppg, even managing to score 20 points against the Sparks on Sunday despite going 0-for-8 from downtown.
The Wings can’t produce the same shutdown defense as Connecticut, but they do have the offense to keep up with the Sun. Dallas gets a lot of second chances, as it leads the WNBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 40.3%, and the Wings play at the fastest pace in the league — two factors that should help them challenge the Sun defense.
In these two teams' four meetings last year, the Wings managed to win two games outright, ultimately going 2-1-1 against the spread in the season series. While the Wings may not be quite the same team without Satou Sabally in the lineup for the first half of the season, Dallas is otherwise intact from last season, when it made the league semifinals — the same stage as the Sun.
Ogunbowale alone should keep Dallas in this game, and the Wings also have enough of a post presence to challenge Bonner and Alyssa Thomas (14.5 ppg) on the boards down low. Dallas should remain competitive into the final minutes, ultimately covering what is a generous spread in tonight’s contest.
Wings vs Sun same-game parlay (SGP)
Wings +9
Over 160
Arike Ogunbowale Over 23.5 points
The Stars should push the tempo tonight, which will help keep them in the game and boost offensive numbers. That’s why I’m also taking the Over in my same-game parlay, as the total has come down several points since opening and is now low enough to make a move on.
While I’m banking on points, I’ll also throw a bet on Ogunbowale to hit the Over on her scoring prop. The star guard has reached at least 24 points in four of five games this season.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Wings vs Sun odds
Wings vs Sun live odds
Get the latest Wings vs Sun WNBA odds for tonight.
Wings vs Sun opening odds
- Spread: Dallas +7.5 (-110) | Connecticut -7.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Dallas +240 | Connecticut -300
- Over/Under: Over 165.5 (-118) | Under 165.5 (-125)
Wings vs Sun spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Sun opened tonight’s game as 7.5-point favorites. The consensus spread has since jumped to Connecticut -9 at most books.
- Connecticut is undefeated on the season and has won its games by an average of 10 points.
- Tonight’s total opened around 165.5 at most sites. That number has come down significantly, with various sites offering Over/Under numbers ranging from 160 to 161.5.
- The Over is 4-2 in Connecticut’s games this season, and holds a 3-2 edge when Dallas takes the court.
Get WNBA League Pass Free with FanDuel
Opt-in and place a wager of $1 or more on any WNBA market between now and June 16 and get a FREE month of WNBA League Pass!
See FanDuel T&Cs
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).
21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).
Wings vs Sun trend
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last five games, while Dallas is 4-1 ATS on the season. Find more WNBA betting trends for Wings vs. Sun.
Wings vs Sun game info
| Location: | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT |
| Date: | Friday, May 31, 2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Fubo Sports |
Wings vs Sun latest injuries
Wings: Natasha Howard F (Out), Jaelyn Brown G (Out), Satou Sabally F (Out), Awak Kuier F (Out).
Sun: No injuries to report.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
