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Douglas Farmer

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers

Douglas Farmer

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Betting Analyst Years of Experience Icon17+ years experience
Betting Analyst
Years of Experience Icon17+ years experience Covers Email Icon Twitter Icon

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

Favorites
Team: Minnesota Timberwolves
Sport to bet on: College football
Sports movie: Finding Forrester
Sports snack: Whiskey
Covers feature: Line movement tracker
A "return to living" trip to Vegas before the 2021 football season started by seeing value on Georgia to win the national championship at +800. By then, mid-August, the consensus line was +650. So, I took my entire weekend's bankroll and put it on what I affectionately referred to as "Clifford." The logic was, Georgia should make the Playoff and by then, I'll be sitting on great value to hedge out. Except, I never hedged out. I just added to the investment all season long, including with live odds of +140. The joy was not in the win, but in the five months of vindicated conviction.
Best Betting Memory Icon Best Betting Memory
This may seem trivial, but it is the one that still aggravates me years later. There are few better bets in life than fading a Brian VanGorder defense. So when Bowling Green visited Notre Dame in 2019, I trusted the Irish to run it up on their former defensive coordinator, betting the Notre Dame team total Over 54.5. I think I am the only person in the world who vividly remembers Javon McKinley dropping an open crossing route inside the 10-yard line, forcing the Irish to settle for a field goal en route to a 52-0 win.
Best Betting Memory Icon Worst Beat

Clippers vs Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's NBA Game

Apr 13, 2025 • 10:22 AM ET

With both the Clippers and Warriors looking to avoid the Play-In games, our NBA picks are backing Kawhi Leonard & Co. on the road.

Jazz vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's NBA Game

Apr 13, 2025 • 10:09 AM ET

Our Jazz vs. Timberwolves predictions expect Minnesota to win going away and Rudy Gobert to be a big reason why.

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Apr 10, 2025 • 2:32 PM ET

The Timberwolves and Grizzlies are two teams that still have something to play for as they jockey for playoff positioning. Expect a defensive showcase as this game comes in Under the total.

Pelicans vs Bucks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Apr 10, 2025 • 1:12 PM ET

Back Antonio Reeves is the best way to profit on a game between two teams counting down the days until the regular season finale.

Nuggets vs Kings Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Apr 9, 2025 • 4:58 PM ET

The Denver Nuggets will play their first game since the firing of coach Michael Malone. How will it affect them? Douglas Farmer explains the best way to fade the Nuggets tonight vs. Sacramento.

MLB Player Props & Best Bets Today for 4-9: Witt Plays the Hits

Apr 9, 2025 • 3:16 PM ET

Even at a heavily-juiced price, Bobby Witt Jr. is valuable in his total hits market. He's gone hitless just twice in 11 games this season. Today won't be his third.

Florida vs Houston Predictions: 3 Reasons Why the Cougars Will Win Tonight

Apr 7, 2025 • 6:32 PM ET

Douglas Farmer breaks down the national championship matchup between Florida and Houston and provides three reasons why the Cougars will ultimately walk away with the title.

Florida vs Houston: Four Bets You Can Make at the Last Minute for the National Championship

Apr 7, 2025 • 2:44 PM ET

In a game where too much is known about both teams, Douglas Farmer digs deep to find four last-minute bets (with plenty of value) you can make for tonight's Florida vs. Houston National Championship game.

Houston vs Duke Prop Picks & Best Bets for March Madness Final Four Today

Apr 5, 2025 • 10:30 AM ET

Douglas Farmer's college basketball betting picks are keen on LJ Cryer and J'Wan Roberts making an impact for Houston as they take on Duke in the Final Four today.

March Madness Picks: Survivor Pool Predictions for the Final Four

Apr 4, 2025 • 5:58 PM ET

You can't go wrong with any of your Survivor picks this week as the Final Four pits all four No. 1 seeds. As Douglas Farmer explains, Florida is the team you want, ahead of a potential final vs. Houston or Duke.

Houston vs Duke Predictions: 3 Reasons Why the Cougars Will Win

Apr 4, 2025 • 9:30 AM ET

The Cougars' wealth of experience looms large in their Final Four clash and stands as one of three key reasons why Houston will advance past Duke.

Timberwolves vs Nets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Apr 3, 2025 • 1:51 PM ET

Donte DiVincenzo will be highly-motivated in his return to the court tonight, and that should help the Timberwolves sharpshooter clear his 3-pointer prop vs. the feeble Nets, per our NBA betting picks.

Chattanooga vs UC Irvine Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NIT Championship Game

Apr 3, 2025 • 1:32 PM ET

Chattanooga has relished the underdog role this year, and they once again look appealing while catching points vs. UC Irvine in the NIT title game, per our college basketball betting picks.

Pistons vs Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Apr 2, 2025 • 2:41 PM ET

With the Oklahoma City Thunder boasting the best record in the Association and set to take on an undermanned Pistons roster, the Western Conference frontrunners will have no trouble pulling away at home.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Apr 1, 2025 • 4:26 PM ET

Anthony Edwards, sans brace as well as teammates Donte DiVincenzo and Naz Reid, should come out firing vs. the rival Nuggets tonight, per our NBA betting picks.

Best NBA Player Props Today for April 1: Fired-Up Ant

Apr 1, 2025 • 2:29 PM ET

With the Timberwolves shorthanded due to suspensions, Anthony Edwards will be called upon to do even more than his usual fair share. We expect him to power through the pain and light up the scoreboard in Denver.

Tennessee vs Houston Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Today's March Madness Elite Eight Game

Mar 30, 2025 • 11:36 AM ET

Why stop now? The Cougars' defense has propelled the Big 12 champs to the Elite Eight, and we expect their dominance on that side of the court to limit Tennessee's production.

March Madness Picks: Survivor Pool Predictions for the Elite 8

Mar 29, 2025 • 12:18 PM ET

Instead of following my assignment editor’s demands and offering two best survivor picks, let’s acknowledge the reality that the “best” survivor picks depend on who you are as a person — not to mention which teams you still have at your disposal.

Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's March Madness Sweet 16 Game

Mar 28, 2025 • 3:11 PM ET

Third time's a charm and this is when it will matter the most for No. 3 Kentucky to try and pull off another upset over No. 2 Tennessee. A ticket to the Elite 8 awaits, but the Volunteers are guaranteed to not go down without a fight to break the trend of what they've experienced earlier this season against UK.

Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Mar 28, 2025 • 2:55 PM ET

Jaden McDaniels' hatred for the Suns lends itself to Douglas Farmer's best bet, as Phoenix's stars will be tormented all night long by the Wolves' wing defender.

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