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Douglas Farmer

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers

Douglas Farmer

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Betting Analyst Years of Experience Icon17+ years experience
Betting Analyst
Years of Experience Icon17+ years experience Covers Email Icon Twitter Icon

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

Favorites
Team: Minnesota Timberwolves
Sport to bet on: College football
Sports movie: Finding Forrester
Sports snack: Whiskey
Covers feature: Line movement tracker
A "return to living" trip to Vegas before the 2021 football season started by seeing value on Georgia to win the national championship at +800. By then, mid-August, the consensus line was +650. So, I took my entire weekend's bankroll and put it on what I affectionately referred to as "Clifford." The logic was, Georgia should make the Playoff and by then, I'll be sitting on great value to hedge out. Except, I never hedged out. I just added to the investment all season long, including with live odds of +140. The joy was not in the win, but in the five months of vindicated conviction.
Best Betting Memory Icon Best Betting Memory
This may seem trivial, but it is the one that still aggravates me years later. There are few better bets in life than fading a Brian VanGorder defense. So when Bowling Green visited Notre Dame in 2019, I trusted the Irish to run it up on their former defensive coordinator, betting the Notre Dame team total Over 54.5. I think I am the only person in the world who vividly remembers Javon McKinley dropping an open crossing route inside the 10-yard line, forcing the Irish to settle for a field goal en route to a 52-0 win.
Best Betting Memory Icon Worst Beat

St. John's vs DePaul Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Feb 19, 2025 • 3:54 PM ET

Rick Pitino's squad has shot up the ranks in defensive efficiency and is clearly the best in the country over the last month or so. That doesn't bode well for a punchless DePaul team listed as a 12.5-point underdog.

NC State vs North Carolina Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Feb 19, 2025 • 1:47 PM ET

Facing a Tar Heels program that boasts elite interior defense, points will continue to be hard to come by for the Wolfpack's woeful scoring unit.

College Football Picks, Predictions: 3 Futures to Bet Now

Feb 19, 2025 • 9:47 AM ET

Douglas Farmer has earmarked three programs worth considering when wagering on the next college football national champion, including the Penn State Nittany Lions, who return a large number of their top players from last year's strong team.

Minnesota vs UCLA Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Feb 18, 2025 • 3:11 PM ET

The UCLA Bruins have started to catch fire, and we expect the home side to pull away and frustrate Minnesota with their defense tonight.

Arizona vs Baylor Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Feb 17, 2025 • 4:17 PM ET

With Baylor playing at home, Douglas Farmer expects them to dictate the tempo of the game which is why he believes points will be at a premium on Monday night.

Duke vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Feb 17, 2025 • 2:38 PM ET

Once known for their elite defense, the Virginia Cavaliers have struggled this season. Douglas Farmer believes the Blue Devils' highly efficient offense can run up the score on the road.

2025 NBA All-Star Game Predictions, Picks & Odds: Edwards Shines in San Francisco

Feb 16, 2025 • 6:37 PM ET

The NBA is taking another shot at making its All-Star weekend worth watching, and if anyone is willing to put in the effort, it's Anthony Edwards.

DraftKings NBA Pick6 Picks for Tonight's All-Star Game: Fantasy Basketball Lineup for Feb. 16

Feb 16, 2025 • 1:03 PM ET

With the NBA trying a new format this year, Douglas Farmer has a Pick6 lineup for tonight's festivities.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Feb 13, 2025 • 1:17 PM ET

All-Star weekend is almost here, but before we get to that; there's a handful of games that need to be played tonight and one will be between the red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder as they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves. OKC may have a few lessons to teach the T-Wolves, but the home team will need to pay attention.

Bucks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Feb 12, 2025 • 11:12 AM ET

Anthony Edwards has scored 40+ in three straight and even if he falls short of that round number tonight, the depleted Bucks (without Giannis) will struggle to limit him too much.

Grizzlies vs Suns Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Feb 11, 2025 • 1:35 PM ET

The Phoenix Suns are on pace to be the worst ATS team in NBA history, while the Grizz are on pace to be the best ATS in NBA history. Take Memphis -4.

Best NBA Player Props Today for Feb. 11: Towns Dominates the Glass in Indy

Feb 11, 2025 • 11:59 AM ET

Karl-Anthony Towns' first season as a Knick has brought an increase in production on the glass, and we expect the five-time All-Star to make his presence felt against the Pacers tonight.

Warriors vs Bucks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Feb 10, 2025 • 3:18 PM ET

With Giannis Antetokounmpo out and the Bucks forced to chase Steph Curry all over the court, Jimmy Butler will get some wide-open shots from downtown, helping him clear his scoring prop tonight in Milwaukee.

Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Feb 10, 2025 • 1:53 PM ET

Are the Cavaliers great? Yes. Should they be 9.5-point favorites against the Timberwolves? No, and Douglas Farmer tells you why below.

Super Bowl Broadcast Prop Predictions: Add Another Chapter to the Brown Sideline Book Drama?

Feb 9, 2025 • 2:18 PM ET

Douglas Farmer's NFL betting picks and predictions guide you through the litany of available Super Bowl 59 Broadcast Props, including the color of Tom Brady's tie (if he wears one) and the next book AJ Brown will be thumbing through on the sideline.

Best NBA Player Props Today for Feb. 9: Count On Cunningham

Feb 9, 2025 • 11:02 AM ET

Cade Cunningham has taken a massive step forward on offense this year, and the Hornets are about to find that out the hard way.

Can You Really Bet on That? The Wildest and Most Fun Super Bowl Prop Bets Available

Feb 8, 2025 • 9:38 AM ET

Super Bowl 59 is drawing near which means it's time for everyone's favorite piece — Can You Really Bet on That? Douglas Farmer breaks down the wildest Super Bowl 59 prop bets ahead of Sunday's Big Game.

Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Feb 6, 2025 • 1:45 PM ET

With Minnesota maintaining an elite defense and Houston set to match up well against Minnesota's offensive stars, Douglas Farmer expects a low-scoring showdown at the Target Center tonight.

Pelicans vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Feb 5, 2025 • 3:45 PM ET

The Nuggets have covered big spreads at home for some time and shouldn't have any trouble toppling the woeful Pelicans by at least 11 points tonight.

Bulls vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Feb 5, 2025 • 1:54 PM ET

Our Bulls vs. Timberwolves predictions expect Coby White to shine with Zach LaVine no longer in the mix.

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