Andre Ward v Allan Green

Actually going to put my post in a new thread..

I feel strongly Alan Green is one of the most over rated boxers in the world today. For me Andre Ward is not only the best Super Middleweight (Including Lucian Bute) but I have him top 5 P4P in the world today.

Yes Green has power in both hands but Andre Ward is extremely smart fighter with superb defensive skills. This is a fantastic matchup for Ward and it will be a lopsided win. Just not sure if Ward can get the KO so I will play Ward on Points and Ward to win by KO between rounds 10-12. I wouldn't rule out an early KO here at all but Alan Green showed toughness to hang on in there with Miranda when he was gassed quite early in that fight. Also the only criticism I have for Andre Ward is that at times he lacks that killer instinct when he has got his opponent in trouble..I think maybe Green can hang on till late.

I have parlayed Ward -600 with alot of things. Steve Molitor and Devon Alexander to me look very strong upcoming picks so maybe an idea to combine both. My biggest parlay here is (sorry to mention figures but it gives an idea what you could win if it hits) $6000 to win $8166.67 Ward and Alexander. That's a 2k win for what looks to me a VERY safe bet..

On the Ward fight I just can't be sure when or how he gets the win so I REALLY like parlaying here. I will take a chance on

Ward on points @ Evens

Ward to win between rounds 10-12 @ +800

I know a lot of people who Hate betting heavy odds against (e.g -600). I am not crazy about it myself to be honest but I feel Andre Ward and a Devon Alexander parley are very strong plays. No bet is a guarantee, especially in a boxing ring where one punch can change everything or a guy fights when he is not 100% and you find this out after the fight when your counting your losses but for me this looks a great way to make 2k (assuming you have 6k to gamble with, but it works the same for 600 or even 60 bucks)..

Hopes this helps people..

Quote Originally Posted by KingHenry30:

With you boss   Any lean in the Chavez/Duddy bout?

Henry I aint touching Chavez v Duddy with a barge pole. I hate both fighters, think they are both over rated and these are the fights I just will not play on. Some other good cappers may have a strong opinion but for me this is a no play. If pushed I would lean towards Chavez but honestly I wouldn't trust either man.

Maybe the over is the safest play here. Haven't seen a line for that yet. Duddy has heart but then again he cuts so easy. If I part with more then 50 bucks I'd be surprised and probably won't part with any..

I am on fire in the soccer section. Hitting like crazy in the world cup (check Vanzacks soccer thread). Will be doing my own thread as it seems I have a following now in the soccer section. Hopefully we can get some winners there..

Rich agree 100%. I normally don't play Parlay's and recommend against them. "When it comes to betting I have had 2 absolute certainties and they both lost" (Leicester Piggot, retired flat jockey). You have to except losing when it comes to betting. If you can't afford it don't bet but I feel this parlay is a very good bet if you can afford it. If not play on the points or late KO.

Rich is right about the prop bets here in this spot. I normally don't bet Props but I will be here. Ward will roll IMO but hard to know how he wins. Prop bet could very well be the way to go

Chavez is so garbage, I've seen this kid fight at least 40 times and none of his fights have been against anyone with a pulse and like his weak opponents so are his skills and his excitement factor. One of the most broing fighters I've ever seen who continuosly gets chance after chance to showcase his weak skills on any PPV they can stick him into.

That's about right King. I see no value in this prop bet..

You said you had a parlay that you bet 6k to win 8.16k. Ward is -950 and Alexander is -800. that parlay pays $.25 for each $1 bet. Did you parlay a prop or something? I'm a little confused. I like the winners though, just questioning the odds

That went pretty much according to plan. My +1000 pre tourney might be my best ever bet! Over to you Devon!