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#1
Steve Cunningham +280 vs. Adamek
Cunningham has been a hard luck fighter. He was knocked down three times vs. Adamek the first time, in a split decision loss, so it's hard to call it "luck," but you could certainly see the fight going another way. Adamek is more of a boxer now, but still an inferior one to Cunningham. If he fails to pressure Cunningham constantly, he might provide Cunningham the chance to win on points. In interviews, Cunningham correctly identifies tactical mistakes from the first fight and speaks of paying close attention to game plan for the second. Not that Cunningham is a kid, but Adamek has slowed down and was badly outboxed by a one armed Eddie Chambers. Too many factors suggest the possibility of a Cunningham decision for him to be this much of a dog. Some fear of a bad decision in favor of Adamek, but I'll be happy if it comes to that point.
1 to win 2.8
Takashi "you ain't nothing but a" Uchiyama -475 vs. Bryan Vasquez.
Earlier in the week, Uchiyama was as much as -1500. It's boxing so you have to wonder about that. However, there is no news of any kind of issue for Uchiyama. I believe someone simply saw those odds and, realizing Vasquez is a fine fighter, and perhaps dismissing Uchiyama because of his nationality, took a shot. And at that price it may have been worth it.
However, Vasquez is just a solid guy, without exceptional speed or work rate and with power that looks average and a low KO rate. He's fighting a taller, stronger, more athletic fighter with devastating power and a comparable skill level. The fight will be in Japan, where Uchiyama is a money making star. Vasquez is a Costa Rican who doesn't make money anywhere. When you add it all up, Vasquez has no advantages and his only path to victory is to overwhelm Uchiyama's many advantages with the night of his life and a bad night by Uchiyama.
10 to win 2.1
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