All Forums | Boxing

Boxing Picks

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 23850
Posts: 116
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2010
Posts: 391
Posted: #76
What u think bout this Hernandez vs Rodriguez fight tonite??
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by plike112:

What u think bout this Hernandez vs Rodriguez fight tonite??

Sorry didn't see this, but I had no play on it anyway. 

So won .75 on MK/CF, lost the same on LM/LP and won .727 on Bellew over. Into the teens for +13.197  Rounded down in the past so I'm going to just call that 13.2
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #78
Back from a little Urpeen vacation. I like Gavin to outclass Vassell. Gavin gets underrated because he doesn't care about blowing guys out. He fights controlled and to win. He'll do it again here and hopefully cut through all of Vassell's rough stuff and not get cut by butts. 

2 to win w. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #79
Argh. 2 to win 1, obviously. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #80
Another day another dollar. +1 and we are up 14.2.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #81
Gonna take the +120 on Nathan Cleverly. Kovalev is skilled and obviously punches like a monster, but Cleverly can be slippery and I think is more skilled and is much more experienced. If it goes to decision, Cleverly will have thrown more punches by a lot, fighting in Wales. Clev could get the KO on conditioning if Kovalev punches himself out. Obviously, Kovalev could get a KO too. If it happens, it happens.

1 @ +120 to win 1.2
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #82
Narh over Ray Robinson, +180. Robinson has a new trainer and I don't see the footage or the track record to suggest he should be a big favorite here. Half a unit to win .9. 
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 41623
Posted: #83
you think the fortuna fight goes the distance? I am on Fortuna by decision +200.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #84
It's a real possibility. A guy from another place whose opinion I respect made the same bet. I passed, but because I didn't have time to really work on it, not because I saw reason to think he was wrong. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2013
Posts: 99
Posted: #85

FIne reviews. THanks for the thorough analysis.

THe only match my book offers for this Saturday is:

D. Guinn +900 vs T. Adamek -1600

Any recommendations other than to get another BOOK

 

I read the review of Adamek up top from his previous fight.

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 41623
Posted: #86
i can't believe that judge scored it 99-91 franco what fight was he watching. i was robbed
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 13652
Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by Professional1:

you think the fortuna fight goes the distance? I am on Fortuna by decision +200.


Lies within the judges hands for a nice payout. Good luck.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #88
Sorry for not replying, guys Sometimes the threads here look like there are no new replies when there are. 

Texas, you really should get another book. 5d is the only US facing one with good boxing options, but they have excellent ones. Only problem is that I feel their oddsmakers are sharper than overseas a lot of the time, but we have to make do. 

Down to 13.7 thanks to "The New Sugar Ray."  I almost played that bigger. The dude did not look like much in the clips I saw, but sounds like he beat the crap out of a solid vet.

I think now is the time to hit Manny P -450.  I don't see how it gets better than that, and it's surprising to me how long that number's been around.  I don't see how Rios deals with Manny's speed, agility and barrages of punches.  We know Top Rank put a lot of thought into Manny's next fight and need badly for him to win. And if it does go to the cards, I imagine the judges will know that they are voting on whether or not to inject tens of millions more into the boxing industry.  So I see layers of security here. Tempted to play it even harder but I'll stick with:

Many to beat Rios: 7 units @ -450 to win 1.55
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #89
Geale to decision Barker. Geal is the better athlete, the slicker boxer and, most importantly, has a significantly higher work rate. It's going to be hard for Barker to overcome that. But Geale probably doesn't have the power to stop him. Also like Barker's promoter coming right out and saying they want to take the belt back to England and milk it for cash. That's not going to win any friends. 

1 to win 1.05. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #90
Busy weekend. Just a pick based on boxrec records here.  One guy has never been KOed and has 9 KOs in 49 wins. The other has a decent KO rate, only been stopped by JuanMa and PDL. Also a TD and a DQ on his record. Don't see how the price can be right. 

Saucedo/Medina ovr 9.5 -180

1.8 to win 1.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #91
Lost 1.5 on the recent run, though in real life I lost a lot more than that on Geale.  At +12.8 . 

I'm on Floyd in a lot of different ways, but the single best bet might be Floyd by 12 rd Dec, -145. 1.45 to win 1.

Smith Molina is going over. -420 be damned.  Tempting to go for broke here, but I'm a bit cold and don't want to get into chasing mode.  2.1 to win .5.  
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #92
+1.5 on the Floyd card. Back to +13.3.  

.5 to win 1.2 on Tavoris Cloud +240.  Simple public fade. Tavoris lost as a favorite to Hopkins, who looked better than many expected.  Adonis landed a big punch on Dawson, when Dawson may not have really been at the best point in his career.  We knew Stevenson had one punch power, but we're dazzled by it anyway. Voila, two guys who probably aren't that far apart are priced very far apart.  

I'll be delighted if Stevenson loses anyway, given that he used to beat and rape underage girls.  Might as well sweeten the pot. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #93
Been too busy to do this much. However, I already capped Trout/Lara before. I got Trout by decision. His ability to move without giving ground could make Lara look like a runner. I expect judging to favor Trout anyway, in case it's close.  Lara will need to rely on his power, which could come through, of course. But hopefully Trout wins the territorial and volume battles to take it in 12.

Trout Dec. +160. 1 to win 1.6

"Sturm in Germany" doesn't mean what it once did. Barker showed more than I thought he had against Geale. I got destroyed on that fight, but he earned some respect from me. Now, I think Barker and Hearn see a fight that will look great on the resume, but a fighter who is on his way to retirement. 

Barker Dec +145 1 to win 1.45. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #94
OK. Housekeeping. Lost .5 on Cloud. Won 1.55 on Manny. We're at +14.35 units here. Pretty decent? 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #95
Down a couple to 12.35.  

I don't have time to really sit around working on all these fights anymore, but I am still playing the big ones if I think there's some value, In the case off tomorrow's fight. I think it goes the distance something like 75% of the time, if not more. Bradley has been kind enough to demonstrate that he's nearly unstoppable. It would be a shock if he stopped Manny. Meanwhile, Manny's days as a KO artist seem to be past. We'll probably see a repeat, with Bradley working skillfully and consistently and many unleashing dominant bursts of activity. Neither a recipe for a stoppage. Of course, it is boxing...

2.45 at -245 to win 1 on Fight Goes The Distance. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2014
Posts: 221
Posted: #96
Quote Originally Posted by Boxscout:

Down a couple to 12.35.  

I don't have time to really sit around working on all these fights anymore, but I am still playing the big ones if I think there's some value, In the case off tomorrow's fight. I think it goes the distance something like 75% of the time, if not more. Bradley has been kind enough to demonstrate that he's nearly unstoppable. It would be a shock if he stopped Manny. Meanwhile, Manny's days as a KO artist seem to be past. We'll probably see a repeat, with Bradley working skillfully and consistently and many unleashing dominant bursts of activity. Neither a recipe for a stoppage. Of course, it is boxing...

2.45 at -245 to win 1 on Fight Goes The Distance. 

not clear what your pick is here
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #97
Sorry man, I thought that was pretty clear. 2.45 to win 1. The play was Fight Goes the Distance at -245. 

+1 taking us to +13.35.

Someone said Floyd has been talking up the KO. If so, god bless him. I bet the crap out of Floyd by Dec at -188. Thought the ship had sailed at -215 (still not terrible) and now it's -157. 

Look, Maidana's never been stopped. The guy, like Bradley, is not stopping even if he gets dropped hard. It will take a sustained, relentless attack. Floyd isn't doing that. Boxing is only part of a bigger game for him. The object of that game is to retire at 50-0, with a gazzilion dollars and with as little damage to his mind and body as possible. He'll be quite content to coast to a dominating win without taking any big punches or risking a return of his hand injuries. It's the smart thing to do and he's the smartest fighter there is. 

3 units on Floyd by decision at -157 to win 1.91 units. 

In reality, I mixed in a bit on floyd to win ANY decision at -170, just in case something crazy happens since, in reality, I'm betting way more on this than proper BR management would dictate. 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2006
Posts: 3161
Posted: #98
Quote Originally Posted by dbonner00:


not clear what your pick is here

 you have any more of them drugs your taking? do you want him to send you a letter??

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #99
I'm stuck at home for a while so I'm gonna do a few more.  That last Floyd win brings us up to 15.26.  Maybe we can make 20! 

5d has a nice line on George Groves -140 to beat Badu Jack.  Jack is good, but I don't think he has the stopping power to exploit Grove's chin, which isn't horrible, but is a vulnerability.  Therefore, I think Groves wins on volume. He has the ability to throw more in general, and he has a greater diversity of punches, so he should find more situations.  Won't be a walk in the park, but he should get there. 

I don't worry about this stuff TOO much but this is also kind of a must win for Groves, where Jack has already exceeded expectations.  

Anyway, 1.4 to win 1. 
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 109
Posted: #100
Klit/Fury under. +125 on 5d

This used to be +135 and, if you are in Vegas, William Hill has it +130.  I think it should be more like +100.  

Wlad by KO is around +100.  I think he gets it done.If he does it will probably be sooner just because that's how it is, but also because fighting Fury is exhausting as he hangs his massive body all over you. 

I normally back Fury but I think his lack of focus can be a problem here. He's a bit sloppy, which he can get away with as a giant, normally. But Wlad should exploit these things, and it is a giant step up in class. 

The reason it's as close as it is, is that Wlad's struggled to stop huge guys before. But it doesn't look like Tyson's chin is his strong point.

Plus, there is the chance of Fury getting the stoppage. He isn't a HUGE dog, and he can punch and we Wlad ain't called Dr. Iron Chin.  

Then there's a tiny bit extra value from random boxing crap like injuries, quitting, etc. 
All Forums | Boxing
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.