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Plays for the Week

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Veteran
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Posts: 4377
Posted: #1
2006 Results (March-July): +19.2 units (+$1,920)
2007 Results: +42.25 units (+$4,225)
Last two weekends played: -1.55 units (-$155)
2008 to Date: -16.04 units (-$1,604)

Tonight
.25 of a unit on Garcia (+2000) vs Arreola
Had to make a small blind play on Garcia with the weight that Arreola came in at.  He can't be taking this fight seriously coming in at that poundage.

1.5 units on Kimbrough (Even) vs Clark
Kimbrough isn't very much, but he gets SO much generosity on the cards in West Virginia that I had to make a play at the odds.  If Clark was a puncher I probably would be off of the fight, but even if he wins 7 rounds they will still find a way to give this Verquan.

.30 of a unit to win 1.12
Williams-Kolle under 7.5 (-155)
Arreola-Garcia under 5.5 (-195)
Kimbrough (-110)

Got a couple of more that I am on which I will post in a bit, but I figured I would go ahead and post these since they are tonight.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
All good plays.  Arreola is indeed taking this guy lightly.  Don't look for Arreola to ever come in below 250 from now on though, as he has taken up weightlifting.  He has spent more time building muscle and unfortuantely less time in the boxing gym.  Let's hope he gets past this one tonight, except for your action of course.
 
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Posted: #3
Other plays that I am on....

Got Mosley ITD and Berto closing my parlay from last week and starting another one for some upcoming futures.
.80 to win 4.25
Caballero-Meija under 5.5 (-290)
Cordoba (-525) vs Perez
Kid Diamond (-225)
Huck (-310)
Murat (-1300)
Mosley ITD (-138)
Berto (-900)

50 of a unit to win 4.9
Mosley ITD (-138)
Berto (-900)
Abraham-Marquez under 8.5 (+115)
Klitschko (-145) vs Peter
Calzaghe (-320) vs Jones
Taylor (-550) vs Lacy

Saturday
2.1 units on Inkin (-140) vs Zuniga
I played Zuniga against the undefeated Russian as a dog based off of how easily Oganov was to hit, but I am going against him here.  Inkin is technically sound and a pretty good boxer.  I think he fights his fight and wins a decision in a tactical fight.  German ties won't hurt either.

.65 of a unit on Crapper Lewis (+300) vs Eastman
Both are pretty faded at this point and both are from Guyana so who knows whom the judges will prefer.  I don't think Eastman should be giving up this kind of chalk to anyone at this point.  Hopefully Six Heads doesn't have to drop another deuce mid-fight.

Anyone have any insight into Burns opponent (Weepaul specifically)?  I want to go against Ricky and would appreciate any input.  Wish I could have gotten one of the early Salcido lines, I will wait for outcome props to open up and probably play him by decision.
 
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Posted: #4
Futures....

2 units on under 8.5 (+115) in Abraham vs Marquez
2 units on under 8.5 (+110) in Abraham vs Marquez
1.45 units on Klitschko (-145) vs Peter
 
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Posted: #5
The extra flab didn't have much of an effect on Arreola, that may have been a tad early, but it was only a matter of time.  Small Garcia bet down the tube, but the under got the parlay going.

Funny interview with James Toney.  He really didn't look that fat, man his speech has gone downhill in the last five years.  I didn't realize that he was fighting Tony Thompson in December, I thought he was nearing a deal for Audley Harrison.
 
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Posted: #6
WOW!!! Goodnight Mr. Kolle.
 
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Posted: #7
Will be a very good night if Kimbrough wins.

Any strong opinions on Arslan-Jones?  Is there any reason not to play Jones except for the obvious home court edge for Arslan.  I know he has been off a while, but IMO he is the more talented fighter, he's faster, and he has just as much power.  I still find it unreal that he ever fought at 147 and 154.  I would love to hear some feedback.

Weepaul would still like to hear some scoop on Akaba.

Haven't played him yet, but am I the only one giving Virchis a shot to Yanqui Diaz JCG.
 
Captain
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Posted: #8
Very nice call on the Williams under. 

I'm considering a Jones play myself.  At +200, that's great value as he's a better boxer than Arslan.

And there appear to be a good number of people on Virchis, as the line has been moving down all day.  It's gone from around +165 to +140 at Bodog.  I'm considering that one, too.


 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
I may play Jones. The hope would be that Arslan expects another Wilson because Jones is a much much better boxer. Arslan gets the huge home field edge though which is cause for concern if the fight is close.

Leaning Gomez vs. VV but can't really get myself to bet it. Hopefully people bet Virchis all the way down to pickem by Friday.

Good luck.
 
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Posted: #10

Toney is an idiot.  He got into it with some civilian out in the parking lot last night.  Security had to come break it up.  What a fkng moron he is.

 
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Posted: #11
.25 of a unit on Garcia (+2000) vs Arreola

1.5 units on Kimbrough (Even) vs Clark

.30 of a unit to win 1.12
Williams-Kolle under 7.5 (-155)
Arreola-Garcia under 5.5 (-195)
Kimbrough (-110)

Won a massive .20 of a unit for the night.  Gotta think Clark probably won 8 rounds if he was a able to get a draw against Verquan in West Virginia.  Not even the home cooking could get me the W.
 
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Posted: #12
A couple of plays on the Salcido fight.

1.10 units on Salcido by 10rd decision (+238)
.40 of a unit on the DRAW (+1500) in Salcido-Escobedo
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by A2C:

Very nice call on the Williams under. 

I'm considering a Jones play myself.  At +200, that's great value as he's a better boxer than Arslan.

And there appear to be a good number of people on Virchis, as the line has been moving down all day.  It's gone from around +165 to +140 at Bodog.  I'm considering that one, too.




Yeah, I haven't pulled the trigger yet, but I probably will on both.  I more so referring to the lack of support for Virchis on this board.  I think some late JCG will come in, hopefully the odds rise a tad.
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by realthrowback:

Toney is an idiot.  He got into it with some civilian out in the parking lot last night.  Security had to come break it up.  What a fkng moron he is.



Sounds like typical Toney.
 
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Posted: #15
That was a good Paul Williams destruction yesterday.
 
I like Mosely tomorrow because, like everyone else Mayorga loses to, he throws the straighter punches and they will get there first. I dont know if i see a KO in this fight though. I dont see Shane as a guy with power to KO anyone at this point
 
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Posted: #16
1.10 units on Salcido by 10rd decision (+238)
.40 of a unit on the DRAW (+1500) in Salcido-Escobedo

Well that turned fast.  Tough one to swallow.  Said my peace in A2C's thread, but Salcido is too quick for his own good.
 
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Posted: #17
Went ahead and pulled the trigger on a few more.

1.25 of a unit on Virchis (+150)
Hate to go against the forces.

.50 of a unit more on Lewis (+285) vs Eastman

.30 of a unit to win 5.25
Mosley ITD (-110)
Berto-Forbes Under 11.5 (+165)
Virchis (+150)
Jones-Arslan Over 9.5 (-215)



 
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Posted: #18
 
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Posted: #19
Gomez won a desicion.
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by PsyYoda:

Gomez won a desicion.


Yep, the powers were correct again.  Read like a great performance by JCG, I'm surprised that he was able to drop Virchis.

Good call Yoda.  2-0 now. 
 
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Posted: #21
2.1 units on Inkin (-140) vs Zuniga
1.25 of a unit on Virchis (+150)
.30 of a unit to win 5.25
Mosley ITD (-110)
Berto-Forbes Under 11.5 (+165)
Virchis (+150)
Jones-Arslan Over 9.5 (-215)

Well I wasted another Saturday in Clemson watching my under achieving alma mater lose another classic Bowden signature game against a less talented opponent.  Why I continue to buy into us being a solid football team is beyond me.  We are the ultimate softies, the way our players play completely reflects the coaching style of our staff.  Didn't get to see any of the German action, was a break even afternoon though. 

Still kicking myself for not pulling the trigger on Jones, I talked it up all week then balked at placing the bet, sounds like he completely dominated Arslan.  Good luck to all tonight.  I am going to look some odds over again to see if I want to do anything else besides let the parlay play out.
 
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Posted: #22
You gotta love 5dimes and their props for these HBO cards.  Hopefully Lederman shows up tonight.  A couple of lottery tickets thrown in.

Berto-Forbes
1 unit on Berto -8.5 pts. handicap on Lederman's card (+100)
.75 of a unit on under 11.5 rounds (+160) in Berto-Forbes
.20 of a unit on Berto KO Round 9 (+1800)
.20 of a unit on Berto KO Round 10 (+1800)

Mayorga-Mosley
1.35 units on Lederman Mosley points handicap -9.5 (-135)
.25 of unit on a 1st round KD or KO (+1400)
I think it could get really crazy early.
1.5 units on fight won't go distance (-150)
Playing this instead of Mosley ITD which I have in the parlay just in case Mayorga lands something massive that Shane doesn't see.

 
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Posted: #23
I thought Berto really stunned Forbes with that uppercut in the first round.
 
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Posted: #24
More Mosley-Mayorga...

.50 of a unit on KD or KO before round 4 (+335)
.75 of a unit on KD or KO before round 7 (+155)
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:

You gotta love 5dimes and their props for these HBO cards.  Hopefully Lederman shows up tonight.  A couple of lottery tickets thrown in.

Berto-Forbes
1 unit on Berto -8.5 pts. handicap on Lederman's card (+100)
.75 of a unit on under 11.5 rounds (+160) in Berto-Forbes
.20 of a unit on Berto KO Round 9 (+1800)
.20 of a unit on Berto KO Round 10 (+1800)

Mayorga-Mosley
1.35 units on Lederman Mosley points handicap -9.5 (-135)
.25 of unit on a 1st round KD or KO (+1400)
I think it could get really crazy early.
1.5 units on fight won't go distance (-150)
Playing this instead of Mosley ITD which I have in the parlay just in case Mayorga lands something massive that Shane doesn't see.

Full.. did you really think a sweep without a knockdown was in order? The Lederman card Berto prop was a shitty bet, even though it doesn't look like it only losing by a half round. C'mon man....

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