Okay, but your key word there is "flush".
In his prime no one would have called Tito a slick counterpuncher. He was an accurate and deadly stalker. Now not having fought in two years, he's going to time Roy with power shots? I can see him scoring big when or if Roy puts up the earmuffs on the ropes, but I don't see him landing anything remotely like what Tarver got through. I don't see much point in calling that a "lucky" punch, because in the end a KO is a KO, but Roy never saw that one coming. Tito is orthodox in every sense of the word.
The Magic Milk Dud also had thirty-nine minutes to study Roy up close. Tito hasn't.Glen Johnson stormed Roy before he had a chance to get into a rhythm. Tito can't/ won't do that.
Tito wins only if Roy gets cute and backs up with his hands down. Since there's a small to decent chance that at some point in the fight that happens, there is certainly value in +250. I'd rather take my dog chances though with the Foul Pole at +165.
Okay, but your key word there is "flush".
In his prime no one would have called Tito a slick counterpuncher. He was an accurate and deadly stalker. Now not having fought in two years, he's going to time Roy with power shots? I can see him scoring big when or if Roy puts up the earmuffs on the ropes, but I don't see him landing anything remotely like what Tarver got through. I don't see much point in calling that a "lucky" punch, because in the end a KO is a KO, but Roy never saw that one coming. Tito is orthodox in every sense of the word.
The Magic Milk Dud also had thirty-nine minutes to study Roy up close. Tito hasn't.Glen Johnson stormed Roy before he had a chance to get into a rhythm. Tito can't/ won't do that.
Tito wins only if Roy gets cute and backs up with his hands down. Since there's a small to decent chance that at some point in the fight that happens, there is certainly value in +250. I'd rather take my dog chances though with the Foul Pole at +165.
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