Thanksgiving Weekend Plays

Quote Originally Posted by bigeiii:

I agry on (over) the Hill Fullbrights. I saw how pissed off VH was during the pressor last week due to the Marketing Poster snub.

Almost agry on made in H as well. As he was real close to my boy status w/ me, but he got caught up in the good life a bit too much, got too political for his own good. I like the addition of Freddie Roach, as RK seemed to be getting a bit stale vs. the Spinks jinx. Alejandro can bang & he can be Stopped. So I'm looking at a Total or 2 ITD plays, if the $ is right.

Have KC out as a closer from last week, his guy is kinda a nut, so you never know in a high velocity slugging match who catches whom 1st. Gonna let that one lay, as the P.Dub look-a-head factor bothers me here a touch.

Lottsa Universium/KPK/Deutschland influnce chalk. Inkin, Zsolt, Ulrich, Regina. All with the obvious homecourt advantages and associated scoring maths in their favor over there.


bigeiii

Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:

All plays and units wagered posted
2006 Results (March-July): +19.2 units (+$1,920)
Last Week: +1.82 units (+$182)
2007 to date: +35.30 units (+$3,530)

First off I wish everyone a great Thanksgiving with their families.  It's hard to top stuffing your face with turkey and watching football all day with your loved ones. 

I am only down on two plays as of now......

2 units on over 9.5 rounds (+120) in Vargas-Mayorga
Going against public perception here;  I am sure most expect this to be a quick night with all the smack talk and the styles of the two.  If money pours in on the under a bit more I might take out some more on this if it nears +150.  These aren't the same guys we watched 4-5 years ago.  With the fight being at 166 lbs. I just don't think either guys power will do much damage.  I think Vargas will be sluggish at this weight and not too active, plus I think he takes Mayorga's shot just fine.  Mayorga hasn't shown power north of 147 lbs. and think he reciprocates and takes Vargas's shots just fine also.  An overall rip off of a PPV if you ask me, they won't be getting a cent from me.  Don't buy in to the smack talk either, they have to sell this fight somehow; my money says they give each other a pat on the back or hug after the fight.   I support solid PPV's and head to the computer for the rest. 

.60 of a unit on Virgil Hill (+425) vs Arslan
Arslan is pretty sluggish and can be outboxed, this is one thing Hill can still do.  Of course you have to be leery of a home country decision though.

Looking to play Karmazin in some fashion when odds are offered for that one.

Quote Originally Posted by A2C:



Your analysis of the Mayorga-Vargas o/u is very solid.  In fact, it's so compelling that I've been wavering on whether to make it one of my bets for the weekend.  But I came across an article where Mayorga said he put $1 million on himself to win by KO, and that seems to hurt the over wager, as Mayorga could use all his energy going for the KO early, and then he could just give up if it doesn't happen.  Any thoughts on this new information, Fullbrights?  Amazing that this is one of the only remaining sports where it's not taboo to wager on yourself.

Quote Originally Posted by A2C:

Fullbrights, you're probably right about that Mayorga betting crap not being true.  GL on the over tonight -- you've done a great job analyzing it, and I think you'll bring in the $$$