Williams/Wright.....

Quote Originally Posted by LetMeSpin:

My plays for tonight, unless something changes, will be:

Paul Williams -220 (whatever reduced line is)
with a touch on Paul Williams ITD +292

I saw what I needed to see at the weigh in. Williams looks less emaciated than at 147, Wright looked drained and a touch soft. Winky won't be able to keep pace with Williams, and I can't see him backing him up. His only chance is to come forward and make Williams stop throwing. The first Quintana fight is not close to a blue print for Winky who doesn't have the young legs to circle and dance around Williams for 12 rounds. I expect to see Williams carrying rounds on high activity, and late in the fight Winky could find himself in trouble from stamina issues due to the layoff or fighting at Williams's pace. For what it's worth, I'd say Winky ITD is a donation. He has no voltage and no will even to step on the gas if he had a chance. Paul has a great chin, and there is no chance of him quitting in a fight of this magnitude.

I'm not too interested in the heavyweights, but I don't really see Arreola losing. I'd say the under at +155 is a decent bet. McCline is really bad, and going the distance with Mike Mollo last time out can't be encouraging to his backers. Say what you want about Arreola's conditioning, but you have to know he's more durable (and dangerous) than Mollo.

Quote Originally Posted by G8RB8:

Quote Originally Posted by walktheline:



Opened at +875... but I'm not sure I  would read too much into it. 5Dimes has had that kneejerk type of reaction on ITD props before.