Sherwood likes Toronto this week:
Toronto +9 over B.C. LIONS
10:00 PM EST. This line is completely out of whack because the Lions have reeled off three wins in a row and employ the CFL’s most well-known QB while the Argos just got destroyed by Saskatchewan.
B.C.’s three-game winning streak has occurred against Ottawa twice and Montreal once. Montreal’s starting QB, Vernon Adams was suspended for that game and the Lions needed a late TD to overcome a late deficit. B.C. has zero notable wins this year but plenty of blowout losses. This line suggests that they have turned a corner but that’s complete hogwash, as they are as bad right now as they were when they were losing games by four TD’s most of the year.
We know the Argos are garbage too but they are no worse than the Lions. When B.C. played in Toronto early in the year, the Argos lost by a single point but Toronto has improved since then, while the Lions have not. We write a lot about "bad favorites" since it's such an important concept but this one is way over the top and is absolutely a bad line posted by oddsmakers that don’t understand or have a grip on the CFL. We must try and take advantage.
We expect this line to drop to -7 or less by game time and we would still recommend the Argos. For now, grab the 8½-points put em in your pocket and don’t stop to talk to anyone on the way out. The price here is a steal.
Over their last nine games Montreal is 5-4 SU but has trailed at halftime in eight of those contests. They have a first-half scoring margin of minus-6.2 ppg in that span.
These teams tangled back on August 25 and Toronto had a 16-6 lead going into halftime before Montreal came from behind to win."
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