For those of you who are new to the CFL, which I was last year pretty much. The game is similar to arena football, no lead is safe because the clock stops after every play in the last 3 minutes. It is very difficult to sit on a lead. Because there are only 3 downs, not 4 like American football, the running game is even less of a thing than the NFL is now becoming. The average total has been 51.5, which is higher than the NFL, but because there's only 3 downs it is more difficult to sustain drives,....it's nice for contrarian bettors because the public likes to bet OVERs and favourites.
The default play is underdogs and UNDERs.
In my database going back to 2007, underdogs have covered 55% of the time and UNDER has covered 53.4% of the time.
One final piece of advice from a guy that is terrible at line shopping......if you're betting favourites bet them early in the week, and if you're betting the dogs/unders, wait as the public will bet them up maybe 60-65% of the time.
I use King of Covers CFL contest to see where the public is at with their CFL betting. I feel like I can get an honest read of who Joe Public is betting, versus sites that purport to give you that information. Covers has no reason to falsify their information whereas I am not so trusting of other sites. I want to know public percentage betting, NOT how much money has been wagered. That is a discussion in itself.....good fortune all this year.
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Ok, friended you guys.
For those of you who are new to the CFL, which I was last year pretty much. The game is similar to arena football, no lead is safe because the clock stops after every play in the last 3 minutes. It is very difficult to sit on a lead. Because there are only 3 downs, not 4 like American football, the running game is even less of a thing than the NFL is now becoming. The average total has been 51.5, which is higher than the NFL, but because there's only 3 downs it is more difficult to sustain drives,....it's nice for contrarian bettors because the public likes to bet OVERs and favourites.
The default play is underdogs and UNDERs.
In my database going back to 2007, underdogs have covered 55% of the time and UNDER has covered 53.4% of the time.
One final piece of advice from a guy that is terrible at line shopping......if you're betting favourites bet them early in the week, and if you're betting the dogs/unders, wait as the public will bet them up maybe 60-65% of the time.
I use King of Covers CFL contest to see where the public is at with their CFL betting. I feel like I can get an honest read of who Joe Public is betting, versus sites that purport to give you that information. Covers has no reason to falsify their information whereas I am not so trusting of other sites. I want to know public percentage betting, NOT how much money has been wagered. That is a discussion in itself.....good fortune all this year.
Year two of the RR coaching regime. We get to take a West team as away dog against the inferior Eastern Division.
Looking at my database, I find that Western Division teams have been 19-7 ATS versus the East as away dogs the first six weeks of the season....this tightens to 15-3-1 if the line is >=3 points, winning 12 games outright and covering by an average of 6.97 points/game.
Roughriders to get the money.
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Thanks Habs.
2) Roughriders of Saskatchewan +6-
Year two of the RR coaching regime. We get to take a West team as away dog against the inferior Eastern Division.
Looking at my database, I find that Western Division teams have been 19-7 ATS versus the East as away dogs the first six weeks of the season....this tightens to 15-3-1 if the line is >=3 points, winning 12 games outright and covering by an average of 6.97 points/game.
Hey Indigo, I really like a ply since you like the Roughrider+ the points. With the trend of unders as well I am liking Montreal under 29 Points. Let me know your thought if you have a moment?
Generally teams are sloppy especially on the offensive side to start the season.
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Hey Indigo, I really like a ply since you like the Roughrider+ the points. With the trend of unders as well I am liking Montreal under 29 Points. Let me know your thought if you have a moment?
Generally teams are sloppy especially on the offensive side to start the season.
Indigo - after reading your thread (and having followed you in the WNBA forum), I went with the dog and the under today. Both winners! Thank you and keep up the great capping!
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Indigo - after reading your thread (and having followed you in the WNBA forum), I went with the dog and the under today. Both winners! Thank you and keep up the great capping!
We get to take the Eskimos at greater than 3.......was hoping the line would get off three, as 3 is not as important in CFL betting with some different scoring options available in this football code, but it still is a common number for game differential results. We still would have taken them at +3, but we don't have to tell our bookmaker everything do we?
We get a west division team taking points, which history has shown is a good percentage play, especially early in the season. Much respect to Wally and his team, but we're getting the premier offensive team in the league and the Grey Cup champs from two years ago, taking more than a field goal. Do it for us Mister Riley!
We'll taketh what the linemakers giveth.
Good fortune.
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Summary of this week.
1) Saskatchewan +6- Win
2) Calgary -2-
3) Edmonton +3-
We get to take the Eskimos at greater than 3.......was hoping the line would get off three, as 3 is not as important in CFL betting with some different scoring options available in this football code, but it still is a common number for game differential results. We still would have taken them at +3, but we don't have to tell our bookmaker everything do we?
We get a west division team taking points, which history has shown is a good percentage play, especially early in the season. Much respect to Wally and his team, but we're getting the premier offensive team in the league and the Grey Cup champs from two years ago, taking more than a field goal. Do it for us Mister Riley!
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