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CFL week 1

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Posts: 34
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 168
Posted: #26
calgary now -6 indigo worth a play still?
 
Captain
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Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 6055
Posted: #27
If I didn't have a play now, and the line was -6, I wouldn't be on Calgary.....it'd be a no-play.  I liked them up to and including -3.
 
Captain
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Posted: #28
1)  Sask +6-  Win

2)  Calgary -2- Loss

Even a great number can't help me get the win

3)  Eskimos +3-

Should be an interesting game.  

Here's an interesting stat.  When both teams score >20 points in a game in between two divisional rivals where the home team is a favorite up to and including -7, the home favorite has been 34-62-4 ATS and the OVER has been 80-20, which goes to 8-9 ATS and 17-1 OVER the first 5 weeks.

When an away dog visiting west division team scores >19 points, they are 48-10 in all games and 30-7 ATS in divisional games the  first six weeks of the season, and when the total is >55.........when BOTH teams in this scenario score >19 the record goes to 7-3 ATS and 3-7 OVER. 

Just food for thought, although it looks like usually the road team covers when both teams score, it doesn't necessarily go OVER when the total is high (obviously).
 
Captain
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Posted: #29
25-3-2 query favoring Edmonton.....18-12 straight up.

AD  and division = West  and week<5 and total>=50 and line>2.5
 
MVP
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Joined: Jun, 2001
Posts: 18838
Posted: #30
Foly Huck that is good.  

Indigo I knoe you like Edmonton.  I have not hedged my 
                
 BC -3.5 +113 wager yet.  If you held this position how do you play     it ?
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
 
Captain
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Posted: #31
I hate that question.....but if I am you, I get plus money with Eskimos +3- and take the guaranteed win regardless of result, and think that I am sooooo great at line movement analysis.

Remember though, you have liked the Lions the whole week and sometimes you approach guru-like status.
 
MVP
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Joined: Jun, 2001
Posts: 18838
Posted: #32
Sorry that you hate the question, I just respect your skills.


Actually I didn't like the side but when I saw this opportunity I took the risk. 

Thanks for your advice I do appreciate it 


Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
 
Captain
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Posted: #33
1)  Saskatchewan +6- Win

2)  Edmonton +3-  Win

Nice start....no play tomorrow....lean to Argonauts plus the points
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #34
3)  Calgary -2-  Loss

2-1 +.95 unit to start the season.

Early lines for next week I have:

Calgary -9  Ottawa   54

Sask +5  Winnipeg   52

Edmonton -7  Montreal   53

Toronto +3-  British Colombia   55
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