CFL week 14 lines/picks

1-2 last week, 33-22 season to date

Hamilton and Saskatchewan looking very good.  Calgary may be ready to fade, as their franchise receiver is out for the season.

                   Indigo lines.

Alouettes        +3'            Lions            54

Tiger Cats       +2'            Stampeders  52

Saskatchewan  -6             Redblacks     54'

Two of the lines are up.

Mine in brackets.

Alouettes   +3    (+3')      Lions    50   (54)

Tiger Cats +1'    (+2')      Stamps  52  (52)

The one obvious discrepancy of mine/theirs  is the total between the Lions and the Alouettes.  I'm not convinced that the defense of the Alouettes is ready for prime time.

Here's a couple of queries for those two games.

tA(YPPA-o:YPPA)-oA(YPPA-o:YPPA)>0  and H and not DIV  and tA(W)>.5

a team with the yards/pass attempt advantage at home in a non-divisional game with a winning percentage of >50% has been 47-64 ATS, 3-6 ATS as a home dog, AGAINST the Tiger Cats

Then, we'll change a few parameters, making home non-divisional dog having their opponent have the passing yards/attempt differential advantage and being <50% winning percentage......voila! those teams have been 44-31 ATS.....indicating a possible play ON the Alouettes.

A non-divisional away favorite that has won less games out of their last three than their opponent has been only 3-6 ATS....versus the Stampeders and the Lions.

tS(W, N=3)<oS(W, N=3) and AF and not DIV

A non-divisional away favorite that has a winnng percentage of <50% has been 8-13 ATS, VERSUS Lions

tA(W)<.5 and AF and not DIV

A non-divisional away favorite that has a winning percentage of >50% has been 39-47 ATS, though these teams have been only been 4-13 ATS in September games, going 5-12 straight up in the process.   VERSUS the Stampeders

tA(W)>.5 and AF and not DIV and month

Evidently, Travis Lulay is questionable versus the Alouettes due to a helmut to chin hit last week, my opinion of his back-up has not changed.....Jennings is an auto-fade if he gets the start,.....Alouettes will be my play of the year if Lulay is out.

And Winnipeg?   

Just do it Bombers, your season is on life support and it's time to give Streveler his shot.

Travis Lulay, according to the ever reliable Freaky Freddies is a go for this week's upcoming games.  No game of the year then if he is playing.

I haven't liked the card either last week or this one either,.......why there's only three games on the schedule seems a bit weird.

I'll post my college and pro card here,...went a scintillating  7-10 on my picks last week....I'll try this one more time and if they lose again, that'll be it for my posting, and I'll surmise that I am hexing myself or some  other unexplainable phenomena.

Pros:

1)  Browns +8

2)  Ravens pik

College

1)  Hawaii +7

2)  Troy +8' (very bad line, yes I know)

3)  Rutgers +3

4)  UCF -14'

5)  Central Michigan +14

6)  Texas San Antonio +21'

7)  UMass +4

8)  Miami, O +14 

9)  Houston +2

10) San Diego State +3'

11) Ohio State -12

12) North Texas +7'

I also have a futures WNBA play on the Storm at +1767 that I bought after they killed the Los Angeles Sparks by 30 points on LA's  home court a few months ago. 

May hedge and take the Mystics moneyline for game 3.

4)  UCF cancelled game, substituting Fresno State +110

13)  USC +13'

Hey Indigo  could you please tell me Which is USC+13.5.  Maybe USC +3.5? 

sorry, that is correct, the University of Southern California +3', I asked the bookmaker if he'd give me 13', but he said he'd only give me 3.5.....

Play:

1)  Alouettes +3', -115

Non-divisional home dogs when their opponent's winning percentage is  less than 50% are  13-8 ATS, 7-2 if their record is less than their present opponent (4-5 straight up).

Though I love Travis Lulay, the new Montreal quarterback is his equal.

Good fortune.

Play:

1)  Montreal +3' loser

33-23 ATS season to date.

College plays went 5-6 ATS, last time I'll post them, as if I'm not winning I'm not displaying them.

In the pros I'm taking....

1)  Bucs +3', -120

2)  Giants +3

3)  Browns +9'

4)  Raiders +6'

5)  Lions +6

6)  Dolphins +3

If Rogers is out I'll play the Vikings up to -10 over the Kizers.

This week:

1)  CFL 0-1  as Alouettes quarterback Pipkin turns into a pumpkin at midnight, can the Here's Johnny Show be too far behind?

2)  College 5-6-2.........pathetic

3)  NFL 5-1........ with the Giants remaining, as Ryan Fitzpatrick sells his soul to the devil in exchange for a season in the limelight.

Nice NFL Week I was pretty much the same as you poor CFL and Really poor college but 4-1 NFL with Bears and over tonight.