Well Duke let us down yesterday. We have lost all 7 teaser/parlay's by 1 team, but that's the game with these types of bets. Gonna throw some NIT games in today.
North Texas vs. Sam Houston St. U129 (-476)
As you should know by now I'm not a fan of playing O/U's as you lose 1/2ish the value you get in terms of these bets. With that said this is one of those instances where I will play the total. Both of these teams play slow 323rd and 363rd (dead last) in terms of tempo. These defenses are also top tier as they rank 15th and 28th in defensive efficiency. In both teams last 9 games, they have gone 8-1 (SHS) and 6-3 (NT) against this number, but this will be the best defense either have played during those stretches. I think both teams will struggle to hit 60 in this game.
Florida Atlantic -5.5 (-526) vs. Fairleigh Dickinson
Fairleigh Dickinson didn't win the game against Purdue, Purdue lost it. Edey went 7/11 from the field while the rest of the team went 12-42 (28.6%) and they shot 5/26 from deep (19.2%). FAU has multiple options that can produce and shoot the 3-ball well. FAU played 9 teams ranked 200 or worse and won by an average of 21.6 points. Give me the Owls and lay the points to end FD's Cinderella story.
Pittsburgh vs Xavier Over 135 (-476)
Another O/U pick. I know the trend is the under so far in the tournament but both of these teams score. These teams rank 7th (Xavier) and 27th (Pitt) in offensive efficiency. The spread has already dropped 5 points from where vegas pegged it originally. Both of Pitts games in the tourney so far were low scoring while Xavier was over this number in their first matchup. But leading up to the tournament, in their last 10, Xavier went 8-2 against this number (Villanova, Marquette) and Pitt went 9-0-1 (push to BC, where BC only scored 58). I think this number hits relatively easily despite the current unders trend we are seeing.
TCU +13.5 (-588) vs. Gonzaga
TCU's defense and Gonzaga's lack of defense should keep this game close. TCU played 14 top 25 teams this year and would've covered 11 of those by this number, while Gonzaga played 8 teams ranked in the top 25 and their opponents all covered this number with the exception of their last game against Saint Mary's.
Betting Odds:+100 Bet 1.25 Units to win 1.25 Units
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Well Duke let us down yesterday. We have lost all 7 teaser/parlay's by 1 team, but that's the game with these types of bets. Gonna throw some NIT games in today.
North Texas vs. Sam Houston St. U129 (-476)
As you should know by now I'm not a fan of playing O/U's as you lose 1/2ish the value you get in terms of these bets. With that said this is one of those instances where I will play the total. Both of these teams play slow 323rd and 363rd (dead last) in terms of tempo. These defenses are also top tier as they rank 15th and 28th in defensive efficiency. In both teams last 9 games, they have gone 8-1 (SHS) and 6-3 (NT) against this number, but this will be the best defense either have played during those stretches. I think both teams will struggle to hit 60 in this game.
Florida Atlantic -5.5 (-526) vs. Fairleigh Dickinson
Fairleigh Dickinson didn't win the game against Purdue, Purdue lost it. Edey went 7/11 from the field while the rest of the team went 12-42 (28.6%) and they shot 5/26 from deep (19.2%). FAU has multiple options that can produce and shoot the 3-ball well. FAU played 9 teams ranked 200 or worse and won by an average of 21.6 points. Give me the Owls and lay the points to end FD's Cinderella story.
Pittsburgh vs Xavier Over 135 (-476)
Another O/U pick. I know the trend is the under so far in the tournament but both of these teams score. These teams rank 7th (Xavier) and 27th (Pitt) in offensive efficiency. The spread has already dropped 5 points from where vegas pegged it originally. Both of Pitts games in the tourney so far were low scoring while Xavier was over this number in their first matchup. But leading up to the tournament, in their last 10, Xavier went 8-2 against this number (Villanova, Marquette) and Pitt went 9-0-1 (push to BC, where BC only scored 58). I think this number hits relatively easily despite the current unders trend we are seeing.
TCU +13.5 (-588) vs. Gonzaga
TCU's defense and Gonzaga's lack of defense should keep this game close. TCU played 14 top 25 teams this year and would've covered 11 of those by this number, while Gonzaga played 8 teams ranked in the top 25 and their opponents all covered this number with the exception of their last game against Saint Mary's.
Betting Odds:+100 Bet 1.25 Units to win 1.25 Units
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