🤢🥴_ Fubah's 2023 Hoops Thread _😲🥵

Yeah, boxscore metrics looks reasonable -- ASSUMING they are motivated to comeback.... 

LIVE ACTION bet: Okl.State -1.5-115 to win game..... down 4 pts with 6:30 mins to go in 1H

So I took the bet on reasonable boxscore metrics but with a hunch the Ka-boys are duly motivated to be in the NIT......they were down 4 when I made the live bet and now they are down 9 with 4mins left in 1H......plenty of time to turn it around but motivation might be an issue......unknown........they are by far the better team, but they are on the road, and Youngstown is DEFINITELY motivated!!

I expect the Ka-Boys to be motivated in the 2H now that they realize this is no cake walk over a beatable opp.  So I expect their shooting to improve and pull ahead.   Then the story might become the referees.....

tx

FWIW......I would look at some of these 1st  half spreads and moneylines,  both Y state and UCF.....were steamed down..... Don't believe the public looks at derivative market.....which has value

Gators appear to be UNmotivated

Good point! 

Watch how the  pregame favs that are DOWN @HT emerge from the HT break.........IF duly motivated they should surge on a run or two within the first 6 or 7 mins.....

....and FLORIDA has not....after the 4.25 mins being outscored 4 - 6.....I wanna take UCF but the price is way to high....

Just an observation, but watching Texas Southern play is more painful than getting a root canal without novocaine. 

There are records out there on NBA teams 1Q /half  available  that shows what teams start fast and slow, I know the thread is about College Baskets but, just thought that market can be exploited......

...and apparently OSU has not either      down another 3 in early 2H

*BestBets record improves to   65 - 23
16 - 2 *BBs since returning from our week-long Reunion/Retreat in Hawaii with my fellow National Guard alums

                 NIT PICKING

V.T. Hokies  @Cinci Bearcats
My ratings: #72 @#58

   Bearcats should have a decided edge here, at home.
In all my capping I ignore CBK results/records prior to Christmas.
Hokies are 9 - 13 playing in a GOOD conference.
Bearcats are 12 - 8 in an equally GOOD conference.
Hokies just 2 - 8 OTR in a GOOD conference.
Bearcats 7 - 2 on homecourt in an equally GOOD conference.
Versus similar opp to Bearcats, Hokies 0 - 3 OTR
Versus similar opp to Hokies, Cinci was 3 - 1 on homecourt.
Cinci played VERY WELL down the stretch, losing only to superior teams (Houston;Memphis), both away from home, though one of those was a nailbiter!
Hokies also played well down the stretch, though untested against a team of Bearcats' calibre until they met NC State in their final game - on neutral floor - and got blown by 20.

Neither team suffered in conf schedule injuries significant enough to subjectively adjust their conf records to reflect those losses.
And tonight, no apparent injuries/opt-outs to either team.....so far!

Pretty straight forward for me at least: Cincinnati has a significant edge even more than the ranking comparison suggests!!....*BUT*  I'm not making any bets until I see everything is jake in the pregame warmups! Those last minute, totally unexpected #$%&! lineup alterations are a nightmare. I went 4 - 1 yesterday but lost $$ because of it

Wahoo,Cowboys up by 1!

Oy VEY!!!  Is Clemson going to choke - AT HOME - vs a huge underdog??

Great call on the cowboys!!

Another good call!   You're getting the hang of this

Thanks. It was a little dicey there at the end. Saw YSU a couple times this year and they were pretty out of control. Couldn’t see a motivated Big 12 team lose to them even on the road. 

Next up - waiting for the Hokies to go on a little run to drive that ML down to lay some $ on Cincy. 

Hope you got in! 

CLEMSON  - playing UNmotivated due to being snubbed - at home - get upset by a weakling team.

Pulled the trigger on the Bearcats getting -180 ML. Maybe a little premature but under -200 is still a decent number for a home favorite.