🤢🥴_ Fubah's 2023 Hoops Thread _😲🥵

IOWAs top 3 players all have 4 phuckn fouls in the 3rdQ.....unbelievable!

LSU now up 11 and their fav line has risen to -750....

Announcers just made the VALID point that CLARK was given a T for **NOTHING**

Added bet:  LSU -8.5

Makeup call......Williams given her 4th on OGrady.......BAD CALL!

This is sick.......IOWAs top 3 players all with 4 fouls and a whole quarter to go, down 14 pts already.....they are lameduck defenders now!! All they can do is stand there and watch the dribbler drive in for layups.....they can't risk actually defending because the refs will call another mystery foul and they are GONZO

Just sick......ther's no handicapping this type of spectacle

Did you see that?  The LSU guard deliberately ran into Czinano's arm then FLOPPED!!!

IOWA's best BIGMAN out with 5....she's their second best player by far!

congrats to lsu tigers and  kim mulkey

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

WNCAA Sunday final: 

loser    Hawkeyes -150

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

W   LSU -650 (live)  *BEST BET  

W   Added (live) bet:  LSU -8.5

=  2 - 1    with another *BestBet winner! 

@fubah2

 great scramble to turn an iowa loser into 2-1 and a profit, fubs 

Thank you! 

Oddball thing is, I actually made waaaaaay more profit this way, because I went all with over half my BR on the LSU live *Best Bet when IOWAs two key stars both received their 4th fouls with an entire quarter to play!!!!   Had this not occurred I would have sat on just my lone IOWA -150 bet and lost! So that awful officiating -- as also noted by the game announcers! -- actually resulted in a very tidy profit!

@fubah2

 thoughts on the championship game ?    

lucky break there   

Very     .....But I'll take it after suffering some previous bad beats.

I will have some thoughts to post on tonight's final, coming this afternoon...

Currently considering the feasibility for this matchup of a strategy I have used many times before when I think the game is going to be close:

I may bet the dog at a good spread then hopefully grab the fav at a smaller ML during the early going of the 1H - for a good shot at a middle!  Undecided so far...

Otherwise leaning to an OVER tonight.  Also undecided....

what about the other way       bet the ml fav now then wait for them to get a lead and then bet sandiegostate at a much larger spread    could more easily get a back door cover that way  and get your middle 

Yeah, I guess, but the problem with that is: what if it doesn't go according to plan?

If I take the heavy moneyline pregame (hoping to grab SDSU in-game at DD spread for a solid middle shot) it's possible they go on an early run and never look back!!   Then I'm stuck with a heavy fav who is losing and never a good chance to get SDSU on the spread to at least save some $$.

But my way is to take the big spread first, and hope they get a lead so I can grab UCONN at a much cheaper price somewhere around mid 1H for a decent middle opp....but if UCONN takes off and never looks back, ok, I miss a play on them.... but the worst I lose is the ATS bet on SDSU.  Less risky.

whut ?    r u saying -375 is too risky  even for u  ??      

LOL   Yes, in this particular matchup.  

I don't see UCONN with a 3.75x chance to defeat SDSU....too many uncertainties in a national title game.... I make it closer to 2.5x chance so I need a lower ML in that range.  If this was a mid-February game then I would likely bet that heavy ML pregame.  But in a title game, who knows to what level the players will raise their game performance. 

And of course officiating can quickly dictate the course of the game as we all witnessed in the Women's final yesterday.  THAT cannot be successfully & consistently handicapped no matter what anyone says!

And I am not comfortable with giving pts to get a lower juice using alternate lines in this matchup, although I do that often in football with great success...

how about the game total  ??

Both these teams scored 72 points last game to get here.  The total is 131 and I am leaning to the over.

I'm thinking a wide open run and gun  just like we saw in the FAU-SDS game on Saturday.

I agree the OVER  has some merit tonight..... undecided, but I would lean that way for sure

FINAL...

In SDSU playoff games (8) their pt differential is +61 pts .... or +7.65 per

In UCONNs playoff games (7) their pt differential is 103 pts ... or +14.7 per

Hence the game spread

No guarantees that diff will continue though

              Wrap-up NCAA Women 2023:

                   2023 Women's *Best Bets: 31 - 13  (70.4%)

Final 2023 WNCAA YTD:  53 - 28 (65.4%) for +70.75 units*

           [ 2022 WNCAA: 125 - 83 (60%) with 59 - 35 *Best Bets ]

*....if grading each bet as if to-win a mean avg 5-units (like others do on this forum with their picks!)....Or, if insisting on comparing all forum W/L records by the same equal standard - ie, every pick as if betting to win one unit - then +14.15 units

killer season, congrats